Giants vs Padres Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 8

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jul 08, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Padres (48-36) are -160 favorites vs the Giants (41-40)
  • Giants starting pitcher: Samuel Long (0-1), 1.78 ERA
  • Padres starting pitcher: Blake Snell (0-5), 5.13 ERA
  • Watch the game on MLB Network

The San Francisco Giants (+135) visit PETCO Park to take on the San Diego Padres (-160) on Friday, July 8, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in San Diego.

The Padres are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).

The Giants vs Padres Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Giants are 41-40 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 42-42 ATS.

Giants vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Giants+1.5 -160O 7.5 -110+135
Padres -1.5 +135U 7.5 -110-160

Giants vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Friday‘s matchup with 69.5% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Giants and Padres and up-to-date player injuries.


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Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Wilmer Flores has hit the Hits Under in 6 of his last 7 away games (+7.60 Units / 71% ROI)
  • Wilmer Flores has hit the RBIs Under in his last 7 away games (+7.00 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Wilmer Flores has hit the Runs Under in 6 of his last 7 away games (+4.75 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Wilmer Flores has hit the Total Bases Under in 6 of his last 7 away games (+4.70 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Tommy La Stella has hit the Singles Over in 4 of his last 6 away games (+3.00 Units / 50% ROI)

Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Jurickson Profar has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 19 games (+10.40 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Jurickson Profar has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 19 games (+9.80 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Jake Cronenworth has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 12 games (+8.50 Units / 71% ROI)
  • Jurickson Profar has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 20 games (+7.35 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Jake Cronenworth has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 6 games at home (+6.35 Units / 60% ROI)

Padres vs Giants Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
C.J. Abrams 0.5 +750 0.5 -3000
Eric Hosmer 0.5 +575 0.5 -1400
Jake Cronenworth 0.5 +575 0.5 -1400
Jurickson Profar 0.5 +525 0.5 -1200
Luke Voit 0.5 +210 0.5 -350

Padres vs Giants Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Austin Nola 0.5 -200 0.5 +140
C.J. Abrams 0.5 -160 0.5 +110
Eric Hosmer 0.5 -250 0.5 +160
Jake Cronenworth 0.5 -250 0.5 +160
Jurickson Profar 0.5 -200 0.5 +150

Padres vs Giants RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Austin Nola 0.5 +210 0.5 -350
Eric Hosmer 0.5 +200 0.5 -300
Jake Cronenworth 0.5 +185 0.5 -275
Jurickson Profar 0.5 +210 0.5 -350
Manny Machado 0.5 +125 0.5 -175

Padres vs Giants Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Blake Snell 6.5 -125 6.5 -110
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 41 of their last 73 games (+11.60 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 19 away games (+8.85 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 29 games (+5.60 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 32 of their last 59 games (+8.15 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 39 games at home (+8.05 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 48 of their last 83 games (+5.15 Units / 5% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 10 games (+1.55 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 42 of their last 83 games (+0.35 Units / 0% ROI)

Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 39-42 against the Run Line (-4.95 Units / -5.09% ROI).

  • 41-40 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.9 Units / -12.83% ROI
  • 39-37 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.9 Units / -2.13% ROI
  • 37-39 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.3 Units / -7% ROI

Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 42-42 against the Run Line (-0.65 Units / -0.62% ROI).

  • 48-36 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.75 Units / 3.26% ROI
  • 37-45 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.85 Units / -12.94% ROI
  • 45-37 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.1 Units / 4.38% ROI

Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 18% (18/99) against Sam Long this season — 9th lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 27% — eighth Percentile.

Sam Long has struck out just 15% (14/91) of right-handed batters he faced this season — 13th lowest among among 103 qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 25% — 12th Percentile.

Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 19% (49/252) against Sam Long since the start of last season — 5th lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 27% — fifth Percentile.

Right-handed batters are hitting just .133 (11-for-83) against Sam Long this season — 3rd best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .229 — 98th Percentile.

Blake Snell: Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Blake Snell has walked 11 of 50 batters (22%) with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 40 total IP; League Avg: 9% — first Percentile.

Blake Snell has walked 76 of 567 right-handed batters (13%) since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 121 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 0 Percentile.

Blake Snell has walked 92 of 729 batters (13%) since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 121 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 0 Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .370 (17 GB hits out of 46 GBs) against Blake Snell this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 40 total IP; League Avg: .227 — first Percentile.

Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Padres

The Giants are just 5-6 (.455) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Giants are just 5-9 (.357) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Giants are 20-5 (.800) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .714.

The Giants are 19-100 (.160) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .085.

Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Giants

The Padres are 13-4 (.765) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — tied for 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .714.

The Padres are 6-25 (.194) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .109.

The Padres are just 35-6 (.854) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .891.

The Padres are just 38-5 (.884) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .919.

The Giants are batting just .118 on pitches out of the zone this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .157.

The Giants are batting just .212 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .266.

Giants hitters have drawn 654 walks in 6,730 PA’s (10%) against RHP since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Giants hitters are slugging just .157 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .216.

Padres hitters have a swing rate of just 58% with two-strikes since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 61%.

Padres hitters have chased 36% of pitches out of the zone with two-strikes since the start of last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 40%.

Padres hitters have an OPS of just .652 (1,466 PA’s) at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .716.

Padres hitters are slugging just .345 at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .401.

Giants pitchers have walked 627 of 9,041 batters (7%) since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Giants pitchers have won 51% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Giants pitchers since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

The Padres have won 55% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Padres pitchers have walked 44 of 758 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .161 against Padres pitchers with the shift this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .214.

The longest HR allowed by the Padres pitchers this season traveled 486.0 feet — — 2nd longest in MLB; League Avg: 456.5

Padres vs. Giants Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • William Myers (Padres): Knee, D10
  • Ha-Seong Kim (Padres): Thumb, Day-to-Day
  • Adrian Morejon (Padres): Shoulder, D15
  • Fernando Tatis Jr. (Padres): Wrist, D60
  • Thomas Pomeranz (Padres): Elbow, D60
  • Pierce Johnson (Padres): Elbow, D60
  • Austin Adams (Padres): Forearm, D60
  • Robert Suarez (Padres): Knee, D15
  • Steven Wilson (Padres): Hamstring, D15
  • Matthew Beaty (Padres): Shoulder, D60
  • Jurickson Profar (Padres): Concussion, Day-to-Day
  • Curtis Casali (Giants): Oblique, D10
  • Evan Longoria (Giants): Oblique, D10
  • Thairo Estrada (Giants): Illness, D10
  • José Álvarez (Giants): Elbow, D15
  • Jakob Junis (Giants): Groin, D15
  • Samuel Delaplane (Giants): Undisclosed, D60
  • Luis González (Giants): Back, D10
  • Anthony DeSclafani (Giants): Ankle, D60
  • Matthew Boyd (Giants): Elbow, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.