- The Padres (48-36) are -160 favorites vs the Giants (41-40)
- Giants starting pitcher: Samuel Long (0-1), 1.78 ERA
- Padres starting pitcher: Blake Snell (0-5), 5.13 ERA
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The San Francisco Giants (+135) visit PETCO Park to take on the San Diego Padres (-160) on Friday, July 8, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in San Diego.
The Padres are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).
The Giants vs Padres Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Giants are 41-40 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 42-42 ATS.
Giants vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Giants | +1.5 -160 | O 7.5 -110 | +135 |
| Padres | -1.5 +135 | U 7.5 -110 | -160 |
Giants vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Friday‘s matchup with 69.5% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Giants and Padres and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Wilmer Flores has hit the Hits Under in 6 of his last 7 away games (+7.60 Units / 71% ROI)
- Wilmer Flores has hit the RBIs Under in his last 7 away games (+7.00 Units / 43% ROI)
- Wilmer Flores has hit the Runs Under in 6 of his last 7 away games (+4.75 Units / 42% ROI)
- Wilmer Flores has hit the Total Bases Under in 6 of his last 7 away games (+4.70 Units / 45% ROI)
- Tommy La Stella has hit the Singles Over in 4 of his last 6 away games (+3.00 Units / 50% ROI)
Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Jurickson Profar has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 19 games (+10.40 Units / 39% ROI)
- Jurickson Profar has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 19 games (+9.80 Units / 36% ROI)
- Jake Cronenworth has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 12 games (+8.50 Units / 71% ROI)
- Jurickson Profar has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 20 games (+7.35 Units / 28% ROI)
- Jake Cronenworth has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 6 games at home (+6.35 Units / 60% ROI)
Padres vs Giants Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| C.J. Abrams | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Eric Hosmer | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Jake Cronenworth | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Jurickson Profar | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Luke Voit | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -350 |
Padres vs Giants Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Austin Nola | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +140 |
| C.J. Abrams | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +110 |
| Eric Hosmer | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +160 |
| Jake Cronenworth | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +160 |
| Jurickson Profar | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Padres vs Giants RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Austin Nola | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -350 |
| Eric Hosmer | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -300 |
| Jake Cronenworth | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -275 |
| Jurickson Profar | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -350 |
| Manny Machado | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -175 |
Padres vs Giants Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Blake Snell | 6.5 -125 | 6.5 -110 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Giants Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 41 of their last 73 games (+11.60 Units / 14% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 19 away games (+8.85 Units / 34% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 29 games (+5.60 Units / 17% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Padres: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 32 of their last 59 games (+8.15 Units / 13% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 39 games at home (+8.05 Units / 18% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 48 of their last 83 games (+5.15 Units / 5% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 10 games (+1.55 Units / 13% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 42 of their last 83 games (+0.35 Units / 0% ROI)
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 39-42 against the Run Line (-4.95 Units / -5.09% ROI).
- 41-40 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.9 Units / -12.83% ROI
- 39-37 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.9 Units / -2.13% ROI
- 37-39 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.3 Units / -7% ROI
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 42-42 against the Run Line (-0.65 Units / -0.62% ROI).
- 48-36 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.75 Units / 3.26% ROI
- 37-45 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.85 Units / -12.94% ROI
- 45-37 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.1 Units / 4.38% ROI
Samuel Long: Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 18% (18/99) against Sam Long this season — 9th lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 27% — eighth Percentile.
Sam Long has struck out just 15% (14/91) of right-handed batters he faced this season — 13th lowest among among 103 qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 25% — 12th Percentile.
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 19% (49/252) against Sam Long since the start of last season — 5th lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 27% — fifth Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting just .133 (11-for-83) against Sam Long this season — 3rd best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .229 — 98th Percentile.
Blake Snell: Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Blake Snell has walked 11 of 50 batters (22%) with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 40 total IP; League Avg: 9% — first Percentile.
Blake Snell has walked 76 of 567 right-handed batters (13%) since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 121 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 0 Percentile.
Blake Snell has walked 92 of 729 batters (13%) since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 121 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .370 (17 GB hits out of 46 GBs) against Blake Snell this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 40 total IP; League Avg: .227 — first Percentile.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Padres
The Giants are just 5-6 (.455) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Giants are just 5-9 (.357) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Giants are 20-5 (.800) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .714.
The Giants are 19-100 (.160) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .085.
Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Padres are 13-4 (.765) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — tied for 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .714.
The Padres are 6-25 (.194) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .109.
The Padres are just 35-6 (.854) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .891.
The Padres are just 38-5 (.884) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .919.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
The Giants are batting just .118 on pitches out of the zone this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .157.
The Giants are batting just .212 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .266.
Giants hitters have drawn 654 walks in 6,730 PA’s (10%) against RHP since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Giants hitters are slugging just .157 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .216.
Padres Hitting Stats & Trends
Padres hitters have a swing rate of just 58% with two-strikes since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 61%.
Padres hitters have chased 36% of pitches out of the zone with two-strikes since the start of last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 40%.
Padres hitters have an OPS of just .652 (1,466 PA’s) at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .716.
Padres hitters are slugging just .345 at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .401.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Giants pitchers have walked 627 of 9,041 batters (7%) since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Giants pitchers have won 51% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Giants pitchers since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Padres Pitching Stats & Trends
The Padres have won 55% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Padres pitchers have walked 44 of 758 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .161 against Padres pitchers with the shift this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .214.
The longest HR allowed by the Padres pitchers this season traveled 486.0 feet — — 2nd longest in MLB; League Avg: 456.5
Padres vs. Giants Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- William Myers (Padres): Knee, D10
- Ha-Seong Kim (Padres): Thumb, Day-to-Day
- Adrian Morejon (Padres): Shoulder, D15
- Fernando Tatis Jr. (Padres): Wrist, D60
- Thomas Pomeranz (Padres): Elbow, D60
- Pierce Johnson (Padres): Elbow, D60
- Austin Adams (Padres): Forearm, D60
- Robert Suarez (Padres): Knee, D15
- Steven Wilson (Padres): Hamstring, D15
- Matthew Beaty (Padres): Shoulder, D60
- Jurickson Profar (Padres): Concussion, Day-to-Day
- Curtis Casali (Giants): Oblique, D10
- Evan Longoria (Giants): Oblique, D10
- Thairo Estrada (Giants): Illness, D10
- José Álvarez (Giants): Elbow, D15
- Jakob Junis (Giants): Groin, D15
- Samuel Delaplane (Giants): Undisclosed, D60
- Luis González (Giants): Back, D10
- Anthony DeSclafani (Giants): Ankle, D60
- Matthew Boyd (Giants): Elbow, D60
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