- The Giants (41-41) are -110 favorites vs the Padres (49-36)
- Giants starting pitcher: Carlos Rodón (7-5), 2.86 ERA
- Padres starting pitcher: Yu Darvish (7-4), 3.53 ERA
- Watch the game on FOX
The San Francisco Giants (-110) visit PETCO Park to take on the San Diego Padres (-110) on Saturday, July 9, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15pm EDT in San Diego.
The Giants are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+155).
The Giants vs Padres Over/Under is 6.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Giants are 41-41 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 43-42 ATS.
Giants vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Giants | -1.5 +155 | O 6.5 +100 | -110 |
| Padres | +1.5 -190 | U 6.5 -120 | -110 |
Giants vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Saturday‘s matchup with 72.8% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Giants and Padres and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Wilmer Flores has hit the Hits Under in 7 of his last 8 away games (+8.80 Units / 75% ROI)
- Wilmer Flores has hit the RBIs Under in his last 8 away games (+8.00 Units / 42% ROI)
- Wilmer Flores has hit the Total Bases Under in 7 of his last 8 away games (+5.90 Units / 51% ROI)
- Wilmer Flores has hit the Runs Under in 7 of his last 8 away games (+5.75 Units / 43% ROI)
- Wilmer Flores has hit the Singles Under in 6 of his last 8 away games (+3.55 Units / 34% ROI)
Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Jake Cronenworth has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 13 games (+7.50 Units / 58% ROI)
- Manny Machado has hit the Singles Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 80% ROI)
- Luke Voit has hit the Runs Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 66% ROI)
- Jake Cronenworth has hit the Total Bases Under in 6 of his last 7 games at home (+4.35 Units / 34% ROI)
- Jake Cronenworth has hit the Runs Over in 7 of his last 12 games (+3.55 Units / 30% ROI)
Padres vs Giants Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jake Cronenworth | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Luke Voit | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -500 |
| Manny Machado | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -550 |
| Trent Grisham | 0.5 +850 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Austin Wynns | 0.5 +800 | 0.5 -3000 |
Padres vs Giants Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jake Cronenworth | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +125 |
| Luke Voit | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +110 |
| Manny Machado | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +165 |
| Trent Grisham | 0.5 -110 | 0.5 -125 |
| Austin Wynns | 0.5 -115 | 0.5 -115 |
Padres vs Giants RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jake Cronenworth | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -375 |
| Luke Voit | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -250 |
| Manny Machado | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -225 |
| Trent Grisham | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -500 |
| Austin Wynns | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -500 |
Padres vs Giants Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yu Darvish | 6.5 +105 | 6.5 -150 |
| Carlos Rodon | 6.5 -115 | 6.5 -120 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Giants Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 41 of their last 74 games (+11.60 Units / 14% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 20 away games (+7.25 Units / 26% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Over in 33 of their last 63 games (+4.60 Units / 7% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Padres: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 32 of their last 60 games (+8.15 Units / 12% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 40 games at home (+6.90 Units / 15% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 49 of their last 84 games (+6.15 Units / 5% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.55 Units / 20% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 43 of their last 84 games (+1.75 Units / 2% ROI)
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 39-43 against the Run Line (-6.55 Units / -6.62% ROI).
- 41-41 when betting on the Moneyline for -16.9 Units / -13.53% ROI
- 40-37 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.9 Units / -1% ROI
- 37-40 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.45 Units / -8.17% ROI
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 43-42 against the Run Line (+0.75 Units / 0.7% ROI).
- 49-36 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.75 Units / 4.07% ROI
- 38-45 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.85 Units / -11.72% ROI
- 45-38 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.95 Units / 3.11% ROI
Carlos Rodón: Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Carlos Rodon has a strikeout rate of 39% (78 SO in 199 PAs) with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 121 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.
Carlos Rodon has a strikeout rate of 35% (29 SO in 83 PAs) with runners in scoring position this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .202 (43-for-213) against Carlos Rodon with two-strikes this season — 8th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .161 — 11th Percentile.
Carlos Rodon has not allowed a home run in any of the last 36.0 innings he’s appeared — Dennis Santana has the longest active streak at 48.0.
Yu Darvish: Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .107 (3-for-28) against Yu Darvish on low fastballs this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .272 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .111 (5-for-45) against Yu Darvish’s elevated fastball this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .225 — 100th Percentile.
Yu Darvish has allowed a slugging percentage of just .093 (4 Total Bases / 43 ABs) on fastballs away this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .355 — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 35% (48/136) against Yu Darvish this season — tied for 9th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 16th Percentile.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Padres
The Giants are 20-6 (.769) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — tied for 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .710.
The Giants are 29-5 (.853) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .796.
The Giants are just 12-36 (.250) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — tied for 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .295.
The Giants are 33-2 (.943) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .891.
Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Padres are just 36-6 (.857) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .891.
The Padres are 13-4 (.765) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — tied for 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .710.
The Padres are 41-10 (.804) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .704.
The Padres are just 39-5 (.886) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .917.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
The Giants are batting just .211 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .266.
The Giants are batting just .117 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .157.
Giants hitters are slugging just .155 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .216.
Giants hitters have 208 strikeouts in 871 PA’s (24%) against LHP this season — tied for 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Padres Hitting Stats & Trends
Padres hitters have come to the plate with runners in scoring position in 1,315 of their 3,961 plate appearances (33%) versus relief pitchers since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Padres hitters have a swing rate of just 58% with two-strikes since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 61%.
Padres hitters are slugging .252 on pitches out of the zone this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .216.
Padres hitters have chased 36% of pitches out of the zone with two-strikes since the start of last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 40%.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Giants pitchers since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Giants pitchers have won 50% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Giants pitchers have walked 132 of 2,192 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Padres Pitching Stats & Trends
The Padres have won 55% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
The longest HR allowed by the Padres pitchers this season traveled 486.0 feet — — 2nd longest in MLB; League Avg: 456.7
Padres pitchers have walked 45 of 767 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Padres pitchers have allowed a run just 26% of the time after an opposing score since the start of last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.
Padres vs. Giants Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- William Myers (Padres): Knee, D10
- Adrian Morejon (Padres): Shoulder, D15
- Fernando Tatis Jr. (Padres): Wrist, D60
- Thomas Pomeranz (Padres): Elbow, D60
- Pierce Johnson (Padres): Elbow, D60
- Austin Adams (Padres): Forearm, D60
- Robert Suarez (Padres): Knee, D15
- Steven Wilson (Padres): Hamstring, D15
- Matthew Beaty (Padres): Shoulder, D60
- Jurickson Profar (Padres): Concussion, D7
- Curtis Casali (Giants): Oblique, D10
- Evan Longoria (Giants): Oblique, D10
- Thomas La Stella (Giants): COVID-19, D10
- José Álvarez (Giants): Elbow, D15
- Jakob Junis (Giants): Groin, D15
- Colton Welker (Giants): Shoulder, D60
- Samuel Delaplane (Giants): Forearm, D60
- Luis González (Giants): Back, D10
- Anthony DeSclafani (Giants): Ankle, D60
- Matthew Boyd (Giants): Elbow, D60
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