Giants vs Padres Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 9

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(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jul 09, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Giants (41-41) are -110 favorites vs the Padres (49-36)
  • Giants starting pitcher: Carlos Rodón (7-5), 2.86 ERA
  • Padres starting pitcher: Yu Darvish (7-4), 3.53 ERA
  • Watch the game on FOX

The San Francisco Giants (-110) visit PETCO Park to take on the San Diego Padres (-110) on Saturday, July 9, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15pm EDT in San Diego.

The Giants are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+155).

The Giants vs Padres Over/Under is 6.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Giants are 41-41 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 43-42 ATS.

Giants vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Giants-1.5 +155O 6.5 +100-110
Padres +1.5 -190U 6.5 -120-110

Giants vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Saturday‘s matchup with 72.8% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Giants and Padres and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Padres vs Giants and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Wilmer Flores has hit the Hits Under in 7 of his last 8 away games (+8.80 Units / 75% ROI)
  • Wilmer Flores has hit the RBIs Under in his last 8 away games (+8.00 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Wilmer Flores has hit the Total Bases Under in 7 of his last 8 away games (+5.90 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Wilmer Flores has hit the Runs Under in 7 of his last 8 away games (+5.75 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Wilmer Flores has hit the Singles Under in 6 of his last 8 away games (+3.55 Units / 34% ROI)

Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Jake Cronenworth has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 13 games (+7.50 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Manny Machado has hit the Singles Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 80% ROI)
  • Luke Voit has hit the Runs Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 66% ROI)
  • Jake Cronenworth has hit the Total Bases Under in 6 of his last 7 games at home (+4.35 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Jake Cronenworth has hit the Runs Over in 7 of his last 12 games (+3.55 Units / 30% ROI)

Padres vs Giants Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jake Cronenworth 0.5 +625 0.5 -2000
Luke Voit 0.5 +300 0.5 -500
Manny Machado 0.5 +300 0.5 -550
Trent Grisham 0.5 +850 0.5 -5000
Austin Wynns 0.5 +800 0.5 -3000

Padres vs Giants Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jake Cronenworth 0.5 -175 0.5 +125
Luke Voit 0.5 -155 0.5 +110
Manny Machado 0.5 -250 0.5 +165
Trent Grisham 0.5 -110 0.5 -125
Austin Wynns 0.5 -115 0.5 -115

Padres vs Giants RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jake Cronenworth 0.5 +250 0.5 -375
Luke Voit 0.5 +160 0.5 -250
Manny Machado 0.5 +150 0.5 -225
Trent Grisham 0.5 +290 0.5 -500
Austin Wynns 0.5 +300 0.5 -500

Padres vs Giants Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Yu Darvish 6.5 +105 6.5 -150
Carlos Rodon 6.5 -115 6.5 -120
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 41 of their last 74 games (+11.60 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 20 away games (+7.25 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Over in 33 of their last 63 games (+4.60 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 32 of their last 60 games (+8.15 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 40 games at home (+6.90 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 49 of their last 84 games (+6.15 Units / 5% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.55 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 43 of their last 84 games (+1.75 Units / 2% ROI)

Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 39-43 against the Run Line (-6.55 Units / -6.62% ROI).

  • 41-41 when betting on the Moneyline for -16.9 Units / -13.53% ROI
  • 40-37 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.9 Units / -1% ROI
  • 37-40 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.45 Units / -8.17% ROI

Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 43-42 against the Run Line (+0.75 Units / 0.7% ROI).

  • 49-36 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.75 Units / 4.07% ROI
  • 38-45 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.85 Units / -11.72% ROI
  • 45-38 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.95 Units / 3.11% ROI

Carlos Rodon has a strikeout rate of 39% (78 SO in 199 PAs) with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 121 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.

Carlos Rodon has a strikeout rate of 35% (29 SO in 83 PAs) with runners in scoring position this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .202 (43-for-213) against Carlos Rodon with two-strikes this season — 8th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .161 — 11th Percentile.

Carlos Rodon has not allowed a home run in any of the last 36.0 innings he’s appeared — Dennis Santana has the longest active streak at 48.0.

Yu Darvish: Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting just .107 (3-for-28) against Yu Darvish on low fastballs this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .272 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .111 (5-for-45) against Yu Darvish’s elevated fastball this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .225 — 100th Percentile.

Yu Darvish has allowed a slugging percentage of just .093 (4 Total Bases / 43 ABs) on fastballs away this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .355 — 100th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 35% (48/136) against Yu Darvish this season — tied for 9th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 16th Percentile.

Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Padres

The Giants are 20-6 (.769) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — tied for 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .710.

The Giants are 29-5 (.853) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .796.

The Giants are just 12-36 (.250) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — tied for 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .295.

The Giants are 33-2 (.943) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .891.

Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Giants

The Padres are just 36-6 (.857) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .891.

The Padres are 13-4 (.765) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — tied for 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .710.

The Padres are 41-10 (.804) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .704.

The Padres are just 39-5 (.886) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .917.

The Giants are batting just .211 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .266.

The Giants are batting just .117 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .157.

Giants hitters are slugging just .155 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .216.

Giants hitters have 208 strikeouts in 871 PA’s (24%) against LHP this season — tied for 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Padres hitters have come to the plate with runners in scoring position in 1,315 of their 3,961 plate appearances (33%) versus relief pitchers since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

Padres hitters have a swing rate of just 58% with two-strikes since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 61%.

Padres hitters are slugging .252 on pitches out of the zone this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .216.

Padres hitters have chased 36% of pitches out of the zone with two-strikes since the start of last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 40%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Giants pitchers since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Giants pitchers have won 50% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Giants pitchers have walked 132 of 2,192 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

The Padres have won 55% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.

The longest HR allowed by the Padres pitchers this season traveled 486.0 feet — — 2nd longest in MLB; League Avg: 456.7

Padres pitchers have walked 45 of 767 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Padres pitchers have allowed a run just 26% of the time after an opposing score since the start of last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.

Padres vs. Giants Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • William Myers (Padres): Knee, D10
  • Adrian Morejon (Padres): Shoulder, D15
  • Fernando Tatis Jr. (Padres): Wrist, D60
  • Thomas Pomeranz (Padres): Elbow, D60
  • Pierce Johnson (Padres): Elbow, D60
  • Austin Adams (Padres): Forearm, D60
  • Robert Suarez (Padres): Knee, D15
  • Steven Wilson (Padres): Hamstring, D15
  • Matthew Beaty (Padres): Shoulder, D60
  • Jurickson Profar (Padres): Concussion, D7
  • Curtis Casali (Giants): Oblique, D10
  • Evan Longoria (Giants): Oblique, D10
  • Thomas La Stella (Giants): COVID-19, D10
  • José Álvarez (Giants): Elbow, D15
  • Jakob Junis (Giants): Groin, D15
  • Colton Welker (Giants): Shoulder, D60
  • Samuel Delaplane (Giants): Forearm, D60
  • Luis González (Giants): Back, D10
  • Anthony DeSclafani (Giants): Ankle, D60
  • Matthew Boyd (Giants): Elbow, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.