Giants vs Padres Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Mar 31

San Diego Padres' Xander Bogaerts in action during a baseball game against the Washington Nationals, Thursday, May 25, 2023, in Washington. The Padres won 8-6.
(AP Photo/Nick Wass)
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  • The Giants are -145 favorites vs the Padres
  • Giants vs Padres Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
  • Giants / Padres TV Channel: NSBA | PDTV

The San Francisco Giants (-145) visit Petco Park to take on the San Diego Padres (+120) on March 31, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40 pm in San Diego, CA.

This season, the Giants are 1-3 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 1-2 ATS.

Giants vs Padres Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Giants starting pitcher: Logan Webb 0-1, 10.81 ERA
  • Padres starting pitcher: German Marquez 0-0, 0.00 ERA

Giants vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Giants-1.5 +125O 7.5 -105-145
Padres +1.5 -150U 7.5 -115+120

Giants vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Giants will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Heliot Ramos has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games (+14.30 Units / 143% ROI)
  • Willy Adames has hit the Walks Over in 12 of his last 20 away games (+11.30 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Matt Chapman has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+8.80 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Harrison Bader has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 15 away games (+8.75 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Luis Arraez has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+8.30 Units / 21% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Gavin Sheets has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+12.25 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Jackson Merrill has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 25 games (+10.35 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Gavin Sheets has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 20 games at home (+10.20 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Gavin Sheets has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+10.00 Units / 32% ROI)
  • German Marquez has hit the Strikeouts Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+8.20 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Over in 24 of their last 35 games (+11.95 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have covered the Run Line in 23 of their last 34 games (+10.65 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 23 of their last 35 games (+10.10 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 20 of their last 31 games (+7.50 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 33 games (+6.45 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 86 of their last 151 games (+17.30 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 42 of their last 77 games at home (+11.95 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 70 of their last 123 games (+10.55 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 21 of their last 32 games at home (+9.50 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Over in 23 of their last 36 games at home (+7.95 Units / 18% ROI)

Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Giants are 0-3 against the Run Line (-4.65 Units / -82.3% ROI).

  • 1-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -2 Units / -49.38% ROI
  • 0-3 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.3 Units / -75% ROI
  • 3-0 when betting on the total runs Under for +3 Units / 68.18% ROI

Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Padres are 1-2 against the Run Line (-1.65 Units / -27.97% ROI).

  • 1-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.5 Units / -54.35% ROI
  • 1-3 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.3 Units / -52.27% ROI
  • 3-1 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.9 Units / 43.18% ROI

Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Padres

The Giants were just 65-6 (.915) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2025 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .956.

The Giants were 12-60 (.167) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2025 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .124.

The Giants were 11-65 (.145) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .090.

The Giants are just 132-9 (.936) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2024 season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .953.

Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Giants

The Padres were 25-14 (.641) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams in the 2025 season Today, they face Giants (16th in runs allowed).

The Padres were 11-55 (.167) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2025 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .124.

The Padres were 52-29 (.642) at home in the 2025 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .542.

The Padres were 32-17 (.653) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses in the 2025 season Today, they face the Giants (30th in runs scored).

The Giants batted just .214 against LHP in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

Giants hitters have an OPS of just .388 (99 PA’s) over the last 14 days — lowest in MLB.

Giants hitters have an OPS of just .388 (99 PA’s) over the past seven days (3 games) — lowest in MLB.

Giants hitters had an OBP of just .280 (1,623 PA’s) against LHP in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

Padres hitters struck out in just 18% of their PA’s against LHP in the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Padres hitters struck out in just 19% of their PA’s in the 2025 season — 3rd best in MLB.

Padres hitters have struck out in just 18% of their PA’s against LHP since the 2024 season — best in MLB.

The Padres batted .192 with two-strikes in the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Giants pitchers since the 2024 season — highest in MLB.

Opponents had a groundball rate of 46% against Giants pitchers in the 2025 season — 3rd highest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers since the 2023 season — highest in MLB.

The Giants pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 38% of their games on the road in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Padres pitchers had a strikeout rate of 24% in the 2025 season — tied for 4th best in MLB.

The Padres pitchers allowed division opponents to score first in just 35% of their games in the 2025 season — tied for lowest in MLB.

Padres pitchers allowed innings of 3+ runs in 4% of innings played in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

The Padres pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 88.4 MPH since the 2023 season (11,829 balls in play) — best in MLB

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.