- The are + favorites vs the
- Giants starting pitcher: Tristan Beck
- Padres starting pitcher: Michael Wacha
- Watch the game on SDPA
The San Francisco Giants (+115) visit PETCO Park to take on the San Diego Padres (-135) on Friday, September 1, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in San Diego.
The are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at + (+).
The Giants vs Padres Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
This season, the Giants are 69-64 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 64-71 ATS.
Giants vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Giants | + + | O 8 +100 | +115 |
| Padres | + + | U 8 -120 | -135 |
Giants vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Friday‘s MLB matchup with 58.7% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Giants and Padres and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today:
- Casey Schmitt has hit the Singles Under in 31 of his last 37 games (+22.40 Units / 41% ROI)
- Casey Schmitt has hit the Total Bases Under in 27 of his last 36 games (+19.05 Units / 40% ROI)
- Casey Schmitt has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 28 of his last 36 games (+17.05 Units / 32% ROI)
- Joc Pederson has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 24 away games (+13.70 Units / 42% ROI)
- Joc Pederson has hit the Total Bases Under in 20 of his last 25 away games (+12.55 Units / 33% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Fernando Tatis Jr. has hit the Hits Under in 36 of his last 49 games (+20.20 Units / 21% ROI)
- Manny Machado has hit the Hits Under in 29 of his last 47 games (+20.05 Units / 28% ROI)
- Ha-Seong Kim has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 33 of his last 48 games (+15.20 Units / 26% ROI)
- Ha-Seong Kim has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 23 games at home (+13.75 Units / 28% ROI)
- Juan Soto has hit the Runs Under in 31 of his last 46 games (+13.55 Units / 24% ROI)
Giants Best Bets Today:
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 54 of their last 87 games (+17.44 Units / 17% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 36 of their last 57 games (+12.03 Units / 18% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 30 games (+5.26 Units / 14% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 31 of their last 57 away games (+3.80 Units / 6% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.40 Units / 35% ROI)
Padres Best Bets Today:
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Under in 72 of their last 125 games (+14.25 Units / 10% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 68 of their last 128 games (+13.35 Units / 10% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 23 of their last 43 games at home (+7.15 Units / 16% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 17 of their last 27 games (+5.91 Units / 18% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 42 of their last 81 games (+0.85 Units / 1% ROI)
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 65-68 against the Run Line (-7.45 Units / -4.36% ROI).
- 69-64 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.2 Units / -3.06% ROI
- 56-74 when betting on the total runs Over for -26.35 Units / -17.8% ROI
- 74-56 when betting on the total runs Under for +13.35 Units / 9.23% ROI
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Padres have gone 64-71 against the Run Line (-12.6 Units / -7.68% ROI).
- 62-73 when betting on the Moneyline for -37.8 Units / -19.05% ROI
- 55-70 when betting on the total runs Over for -23.25 Units / -15.47% ROI
- 70-55 when betting on the total runs Under for +10.1 Units / 6.87% ROI
Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Tristan Beck has allowed a slugging percentage of just .178 (16 Total Bases / 90 ABs) on fastballs this season — 2nd best among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .400 — 98th Percentile.
Tristan Beck has located his pitches away 58% of the time (141/244) when behind in the count this season — 2nd highest among in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 98th Percentile.
Tristan Beck has located his pitches away 60% of the time (651/1,085) this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: 46% — 100th Percentile.
Tristan Beck has located his pitches away 63% of the time (149/236) with runners in scoring position this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.
Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Michael Wacha walked 5 of 25 batters (20%) — tied for highest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 7% — second Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .147 (14-for-95) against Michael Wacha when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 53 total IP; League Avg: .252 — 99th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .129 (13 GB hits out of 101 GBs) against Michael Wacha this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 53 total IP; League Avg: .246 — 99th Percentile.
Michael Wacha has allowed an OPS of just .460 (105 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 53 total IP; League Avg: .745 — 100th Percentile.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Padres
The Giants are 59-1 (.983) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .948.
The Giants are 40-6 (.870) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .797.
The Giants are 19-14 (.576) after a win as underdogs this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .435.
The Giants are 39-27 (.591) after a road win since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .491.
Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Padres are just 2-6 (.250) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Padres are just 2-9 (.182) after a win as underdogs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .435.
The Padres are just 56-10 (.848) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .896.
The Padres are just 10-23 (.303) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .386.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
The Giants are batting just .239 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .265.
Giants hitters have an OBP of just .229 (2,745 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Giants hitters are slugging just .245 with two-strikes this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .273.
Giants hitters have 371 strikeouts in 1,472 PA’s (25%) against LHP this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Padres Hitting Stats & Trends
Padres hitters have a swing rate of just 45% against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Padres hitters have a swing rate of just 44% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Padres hitters are averaging 4.00 pitches per plate appearance against LHP this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.88.
Padres hitters are slugging just .401 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .451.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers since the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Giants pitchers have walked 77 of 1,195 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Padres Pitching Stats & Trends
Padres pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.9 MPH (3,208 batted balls) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 89.1.
Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Avg of just 37% against the Padres pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 40%.
Padres pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 40% of their games this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Padres pitchers this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Padres vs. Giants Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Thomas Pomeranz (Padres): Elbow/Flexor, D60
- Ji Man Choi (Padres): Rib, D10
- Steven Wilson (Padres): Hip, D15
- Jacob Cronenworth (Padres): Wrist, D10
- Alek Jacob (Padres): Elbow, D15
- Drew Carlton (Padres): Elbow, D60
- Joseph Musgrove (Padres): Shoulder, D15
- Yu Darvish (Padres): Elbow, D15
- Timothy Hill (Padres): Finger, D15
- David Knehr (Padres): Elbow, D60
- Roberto Pérez (Giants): Shoulder, D60
- Allen Pollock (Giants): Oblique, D10
- Mark Mathias (Giants): Shoulder, D60
- John Brebbia (Giants): Lat, D60
- Brandon Crawford (Giants): Forearm, D10
- Thomas Szapucki (Giants): Arm, D60
- Cole Waites (Giants): Elbow, D60
- Anthony DeSclafani (Giants): Elbow, D60
- Thomas Stripling (Giants): Back, D15
- Michael Conforto (Giants): Hamstring, D10
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