- The Padres are -175 favorites vs the Giants
- Giants starting pitcher: Kyle Harrison
- Padres starting pitcher: Blake Snell
- Watch the game on SDPA
The San Francisco Giants (+145) visit PETCO Park to take on the San Diego Padres (-175) on Saturday, September 2, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 8:40pm EDT in San Diego.
The Padres are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+120).
The Giants vs Padres Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Giants are 0-0 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 0-0 ATS.
Giants vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Giants | +1.5 -145 | O 7.5 -110 | +145 |
| Padres | -1.5 +120 | U 7.5 -110 | -175 |
Giants vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Saturday‘s MLB matchup with 75.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Giants and Padres and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today:
- Casey Schmitt has hit the Singles Under in 32 of his last 38 games (+23.40 Units / 41% ROI)
- Casey Schmitt has hit the Total Bases Under in 27 of his last 37 games (+18.00 Units / 37% ROI)
- Casey Schmitt has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 28 of his last 37 games (+16.05 Units / 30% ROI)
- Joc Pederson has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 25 away games (+15.10 Units / 45% ROI)
- Joc Pederson has hit the Total Bases Under in 20 of his last 25 away games (+12.55 Units / 32% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Fernando Tatis Jr. has hit the Hits Under in 36 of his last 50 games (+19.20 Units / 20% ROI)
- Manny Machado has hit the Hits Under in 29 of his last 48 games (+19.05 Units / 26% ROI)
- Ha-Seong Kim has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 34 of his last 49 games (+16.20 Units / 27% ROI)
- Ha-Seong Kim has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 24 games at home (+14.75 Units / 28% ROI)
- Juan Soto has hit the Runs Under in 31 of his last 47 games (+12.25 Units / 21% ROI)
Padres vs Giants Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Paul DeJong | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Austin Slater | 0.5 +825 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Thairo Estrada | 0.5 +825 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Mitch Haniger | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Patrick Bailey | 0.5 +800 | 0.5 -3000 |
Padres vs Giants Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Paul DeJong | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -145 |
| Austin Slater | 0.5 -130 | 0.5 +100 |
| Thairo Estrada | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Mitch Haniger | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +115 |
| Patrick Bailey | 0.5 -140 | 0.5 +105 |
Padres vs Giants RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Paul DeJong | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -550 |
| Austin Slater | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -650 |
| Thairo Estrada | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -375 |
| Mitch Haniger | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
| Patrick Bailey | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -400 |
Padres vs Giants Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Blake Snell | 7.5 -150 | 7.5 +115 |
Giants Best Bets Today:
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 54 of their last 87 games (+17.44 Units / 17% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 36 of their last 57 games (+12.03 Units / 18% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 30 games (+5.26 Units / 14% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 31 of their last 57 away games (+3.80 Units / 6% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.40 Units / 35% ROI)
Padres Best Bets Today:
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Under in 72 of their last 125 games (+14.25 Units / 10% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 68 of their last 128 games (+13.35 Units / 10% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 23 of their last 43 games at home (+7.15 Units / 16% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 17 of their last 27 games (+5.91 Units / 18% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 42 of their last 81 games (+0.85 Units / 1% ROI)
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 0-0 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 0% ROI).
- 0-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Padres have gone 0-0 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 0% ROI).
- 0-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI
Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a line drive rate of 45% (9/20) against Kyle Harrison over the last 30 days (2 games) — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 0 Percentile.
Kyle Harrison has a strikeout rate of 46% (11 SO in 24 PAs) over the past seven days (1 games) — 3rd best in NL over the last week; League Avg: 24% — 96th Percentile.
Right-handed batters batted just .100 (2-for-20) against Kyle Harrison — tied for 6th best in MLB over the last week; League Avg: .218 — 90th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 20% (4/20) against Kyle Harrison over the last 30 days (2 games) — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: 42% — first Percentile.
Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Blake Snell has a strike rate of just 58% (1,543/2,657) this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — first Percentile.
Blake Snell has a strike rate of just 59% (1,273/2,171) against right-handed batters this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — second Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .137 (39-for-285) against Blake Snell’s non-fastballs this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .226 — 100th Percentile.
Blake Snell has allowed three-ball counts to 33% of batters they faced (204/621 PA’s) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 19% — first Percentile.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Padres
The Giants are 59-1 (.983) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .948.
The Giants are 18-11 (.621) after a home loss this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .507.
The Giants are just 30-49 (.380) after a road loss since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .454.
The Giants are 39-28 (.582) after a road win since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .492.
Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Padres are just 2-9 (.182) after a win as underdogs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .434.
The Padres are just 7-31 (.184) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .309.
The Padres are just 3-6 (.333) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Padres are just 2-6 (.250) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
Giants hitters are slugging just .396 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .448.
The Giants are batting just .152 with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .172.
Giants hitters have an OBP of just .308 (1,366 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .326.
Giants hitters are slugging just .245 with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .273.
Padres Hitting Stats & Trends
Padres hitters have chased 25% of pitches out of the zone against RHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Padres hitters have drawn 406 walks in 3,699 PA’s (11%) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Padres hitters are slugging just .401 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .451.
Padres hitters have a swing rate of just 44% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers since the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers in 2022 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Padres Pitching Stats & Trends
Padres pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.9 MPH (3,264 batted balls) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 89.1.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Padres pitchers this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Avg of just 37% against the Padres pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 40%.
The Padres pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 46% of their games since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Padres vs. Giants Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Thomas Pomeranz (Padres): Elbow/Flexor, D60
- Ji Man Choi (Padres): Rib, D10
- Steven Wilson (Padres): Hip, D15
- Jacob Cronenworth (Padres): Wrist, D10
- Alek Jacob (Padres): Elbow, D15
- Drew Carlton (Padres): Elbow, D60
- Joseph Musgrove (Padres): Shoulder, D15
- Yu Darvish (Padres): Elbow, D15
- David Knehr (Padres): Elbow, D60
- Roberto Pérez (Giants): Shoulder, D60
- Allen Pollock (Giants): Oblique, D10
- Mark Mathias (Giants): Shoulder, D60
- John Brebbia (Giants): Lat, D60
- Thomas Szapucki (Giants): Arm, D60
- Jonathan Davis (Giants): Hand, Day-to-Day
- Cole Waites (Giants): Elbow, D60
- Anthony DeSclafani (Giants): Elbow, D60
- Thomas Stripling (Giants): Back, D15
- Michael Conforto (Giants): Hamstring, D10
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