Giants vs Phillies Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr 28

Philadelphia Phillies' Kyle Schwarber gestures at home plate after scoring on an RBI single by Nick Castellanos in the first inning of a baseball game against the New York Mets, Saturday, June 21, 2025, in Philadelphia.
(AP Photo/Laurence Kesterson)
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The San Francisco Giants (+140) visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (-170) on April 28, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40 pm in Philadelphia, PA.

This season, the Giants are 13-15 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 5-23 ATS.

Giants vs Phillies Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Giants starting pitcher: Tyler Mahle 1-3, 5.33 ERA
  • Phillies starting pitcher: Jesus Luzardo 1-3, 6.92 ERA

Giants vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Giants+1.5 -155O 8 -110+140
Phillies -1.5 +125U 8 -110-170

Giants vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 54.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Heliot Ramos has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 games (+13.20 Units / 147% ROI)
  • Patrick Bailey has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 7 away games (+7.35 Units / 77% ROI)
  • Patrick Bailey has hit the Runs Under in his last 7 away games (+7.00 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Heliot Ramos has hit the Total Bases Over in 6 of his last 7 away games (+6.55 Units / 79% ROI)
  • Heliot Ramos has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 20 away games (+5.10 Units / 21% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Alec Bohm has hit the Total Bases Under in 21 of his last 25 games at home (+16.05 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Alec Bohm has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+12.55 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Alec Bohm has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+12.20 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Bryson Stott has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 15 games at home (+12.05 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Bryson Stott has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 25 games at home (+10.50 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 30 of their last 50 away games (+7.65 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Over in 26 of their last 50 away games (+6.20 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 14 of their last 21 away games (+5.75 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games (+4.80 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have covered the Run Line in 23 of their last 40 away games (+4.00 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 28 of their last 40 games (+14.50 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 27 of their last 45 games (+6.05 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Over in 28 of their last 50 games (+5.95 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 22 of their last 40 games at home (+3.75 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 23 of their last 40 games at home (+3.40 Units / 7% ROI)

Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Giants are 11-16 against the Run Line (-10.35 Units / -26.81% ROI).

  • 13-15 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.5 Units / -4.91% ROI
  • 13-12 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.05 Units / -0.16% ROI
  • 12-13 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.35 Units / -7.61% ROI

Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 5-23 against the Run Line (-20.7 Units / -63.11% ROI).

  • 9-19 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.45 Units / -38.29% ROI
  • 14-12 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.95 Units / 3.07% ROI
  • 12-14 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.15 Units / -10.26% ROI

Phillies vs Giants Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Kyle Schwarber +240
Bryce Harper +350
Willy Adames +400
Adolis Garcia +400
Casey Schmitt +400

Phillies vs Giants Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Luis Arraez 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Bryce Harper 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Brandon Marsh 0.5 -190 0.5 +140
Alec Bohm 0.5 -190 0.5 +140
Adolis Garcia 0.5 -185 0.5 +135

Phillies vs Giants Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brandon Marsh 0.5 -275 0.5 +190
Casey Schmitt 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Patrick Bailey 0.5 -235 0.5 +170
Adolis Garcia 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Drew Gilbert 0.5 -220 0.5 +160

Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies

The Giants are just 0-15 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .054.

The Giants are just 0-13 (.000) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .150.

The Giants are 9-0 (1.000) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .772.

The Giants are just 1-6 (.143) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .315.

Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Giants

The Phillies are 18-63 (.222) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .128.

The Phillies are just 0-9 (.000) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .315.

The Phillies are just 9-18 (.333) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .529.

The Phillies are just 5-10 (.333) at home this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .536.

Giants hitters have an OBP of just .285 (743 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB.

Giants hitter’ K:BB ratio is 3.8 against RHP this season — highest in MLB.

Giants hitters have drawn walks in 6% of their PA’s this season — lowest in MLB.

34% of Giants hitters strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — highest in MLB.

Phillies hitters are slugging just .293 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.

Phillies hitters have an OPS of just .563 (385 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.

Phillies hitters have an OBP of just .294 (1,061 PA’s) this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Phillies are batting just .179 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB.

Giants pitchers have thrown at least two strikes in their first three pitches to 56% of opposing batters this season — lowest in MLB.

Opponents had a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers in the 2024 season — highest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Giants pitchers this month (23 games) — 2nd highest in MLB.

Phillies pitchers have walked 8% of batters this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Phillies pitchers have walked 7% of batters since the 2025 season — 3rd best in MLB.

Opponents are hitting .287 against Phillies pitchers this season — highest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .299 against Phillies pitchers this season — highest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.