Giants vs Phillies Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr 30

MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
(AP Photo)
Welcome OfferBetting Promos
  • The Phillies are -145 favorites vs the Giants
  • Giants vs Phillies Over / Under today: 7 Runs
  • Giants / Phillies TV Channel: MLBN | NSBA | NSPA

The San Francisco Giants (+120) visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (-145) on April 30, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 5:35 pm in Philadelphia, PA.

This season, the Giants are 13-16 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 6-23 ATS.

Giants vs Phillies Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Giants starting pitcher: , ERA
  • Phillies starting pitcher: , ERA

Giants vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Giants+1.5 -200O 7 -115+120
Phillies -1.5 +165U 7 -105-145

Giants vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Giants will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


Bet now on Giants vs Phillies and all games with BetMGM


We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Heliot Ramos has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games (+12.20 Units / 122% ROI)
  • Willy Adames has hit the Walks Under in 14 of his last 15 games (+11.95 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Patrick Bailey has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+8.90 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Rafael Devers has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 20 away games (+8.35 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Heliot Ramos has hit the Total Bases Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+8.10 Units / 41% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Alec Bohm has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+13.55 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Alec Bohm has hit the Total Bases Under in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+13.10 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Alec Bohm has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+12.35 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Alec Bohm has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+12.20 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Felix Reyes has hit the Home Runs Over in 1 of his last 5 games (+10.00 Units / 200% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 30 of their last 50 away games (+7.55 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 15 of their last 22 away games (+6.75 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Over in 25 of their last 50 away games (+4.10 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+3.80 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 40 away games (+1.15 Units / 2% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 27 of their last 40 games (+12.20 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 27 of their last 45 games (+6.05 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 25 of their last 45 games at home (+5.10 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 26 of their last 45 games at home (+4.00 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 30 games at home (+3.95 Units / 12% ROI)

Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Giants are 11-17 against the Run Line (-11.9 Units / -29.64% ROI).

  • 13-16 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.5 Units / -7.92% ROI
  • 13-13 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.15 Units / -3.62% ROI
  • 13-13 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.35 Units / -4.22% ROI

Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 6-23 against the Run Line (-19.35 Units / -57.25% ROI).

  • 10-19 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.45 Units / -34.49% ROI
  • 14-13 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.15 Units / -0.47% ROI
  • 13-14 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.15 Units / -6.76% ROI

Phillies vs Giants Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Kyle Schwarber +325
Casey Schmitt +500
Bryce Harper +525
Rafael Devers +775
Bryson Stott +1200

Phillies vs Giants Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Bryce Harper 0.5 -235 0.5 +170
Matt Chapman 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Alec Bohm 0.5 -185 0.5 +135
Heliot Ramos 0.5 -165 0.5 +125
Willy Adames 0.5 -135 0.5 +100

Phillies vs Giants Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Drew Gilbert 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Bryce Harper 0.5 -160 0.5 +120
Alec Bohm 0.5 +100 0.5 -135
Willy Adames 1.5 +130 1.5 -175
Heliot Ramos 1.5 +195 1.5 -275

Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies

The Giants are just 0-14 (.000) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .146.

The Giants are 9-0 (1.000) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .780.

The Giants are just 1-6 (.143) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .307.

The Giants are 41-9 (.820) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .698.

Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Giants

The Phillies are just 10-18 (.357) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .530.

The Phillies are 18-63 (.222) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .128.

The Phillies are just 0-9 (.000) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .307.

The Phillies are just 10-19 (.345) this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Giants hitters have an OBP of just .284 (746 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB.

Giants hitters have drawn walks in 6% of their PA’s against RHP this season — lowest in MLB.

Giants hitters have an OBP of just .290 (1,045 PA’s) this season — tied for lowest in MLB.

34% of Giants hitters strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — highest in MLB.

The Phillies are batting just .180 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.

Phillies hitters have an OPS of just .567 (390 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.

Phillies hitters have an OPS of just .595 (350 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Phillies hitters are slugging just .296 against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Opponents had a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers in the 2024 season — highest in MLB.

Giants pitchers have thrown at least two strikes in their first three pitches to 56% of opposing batters this season — lowest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Giants pitchers since the 2025 season — 3rd highest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .211 against Giants pitchers this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB.

Phillies pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 14 double plays in 253 opportunities (6%) this season — lowest in MLB.

Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes since the 2025 season — tied for best in MLB.

Phillies pitchers have walked 7% of batters since the 2025 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB.

Opponents are hitting .281 against Phillies pitchers this season — highest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


Bet now on Giants vs Phillies and all games with BetMGM


Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM

Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.

The content provided in this blog is intended for entertainment purposes only. All views and opinions expressed are the authors and reflect their individual perspectives on sports, betting, and related topics. This content should not be considered professional betting advice or the official views of BetMGM LLC. Please gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know is experiencing issues related to gambling, seek help from a licensed health professional. This blog is not liable for any losses, damages, or consequences resulting from betting activities.

About the Author Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.