- The Phillies are -145 favorites vs the Giants
- Giants starting pitcher: Scott Alexander
- Phillies starting pitcher: Aaron Nola
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The San Francisco Giants (+120) visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (-145) on Monday, August 21, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Philadelphia.
The Phillies are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+145).
The Giants vs Phillies Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Giants are 64-59 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 52-72 ATS.
Giants vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Giants | +1.5 -175 | O 8.5 -115 | +120 |
| Phillies | -1.5 +145 | U 8.5 -105 | -145 |
Giants vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Monday‘s MLB matchup with 70.3% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Giants and Phillies and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today:
- Joc Pederson has hit the Total Bases Under in 23 of his last 25 away games (+21.00 Units / 56% ROI)
- Casey Schmitt has hit the Total Bases Under in 25 of his last 32 games (+20.30 Units / 47% ROI)
- Casey Schmitt has hit the Singles Under in 26 of his last 31 games (+18.70 Units / 43% ROI)
- Casey Schmitt has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 24 games (+16.90 Units / 70% ROI)
- Casey Schmitt has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 25 of his last 31 games (+15.95 Units / 35% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Kyle Schwarber has hit the Hits Under in 20 of his last 28 games (+17.00 Units / 57% ROI)
- Kyle Schwarber has hit the Singles Under in 29 of his last 36 games (+14.85 Units / 20% ROI)
- Kyle Schwarber has hit the Total Bases Under in 23 of his last 29 games (+14.75 Units / 35% ROI)
- Trea Turner has hit the RBIs Under in 25 of his last 31 games (+12.80 Units / 18% ROI)
- Brandon Marsh has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 18 games at home (+12.30 Units / 67% ROI)
Phillies vs Giants Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Johan Camargo | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Bryce Harper | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Edmundo Sosa | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -2500 |
| J.T. Realmuto | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| LaMonte Wade Jr | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -1000 |
Phillies vs Giants Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Johan Camargo | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +110 |
| Bryce Harper | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Edmundo Sosa | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +130 |
| J.T. Realmuto | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| LaMonte Wade Jr | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +125 |
Phillies vs Giants RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Johan Camargo | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -375 |
| Bryce Harper | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Edmundo Sosa | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
| J.T. Realmuto | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| LaMonte Wade Jr | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
Phillies vs Giants Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Nola | 6.5 +110 | 6.5 -145 |
Giants Best Bets Today:
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 52 of their last 77 games (+24.69 Units / 26% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 32 of their last 47 games (+15.39 Units / 28% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 30 of their last 53 away games (+6.10 Units / 11% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 away games (+2.90 Units / 34% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 7 away games (+0.94 Units / 12% ROI)
Phillies Best Bets Today:
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 34 of their last 57 games at home (+8.58 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games at home (+4.79 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 7 of their last 11 games at home (+3.15 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+2.95 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+2.75 Units / 19% ROI)
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 59-64 against the Run Line (-9.35 Units / -5.94% ROI).
- 64-59 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.9 Units / -3.09% ROI
- 51-69 when betting on the total runs Over for -25.8 Units / -18.85% ROI
- 69-51 when betting on the total runs Under for +13.75 Units / 10.28% ROI
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Phillies have gone 52-72 against the Run Line (-29.1 Units / -18.7% ROI).
- 67-57 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.65 Units / -5.53% ROI
- 50-62 when betting on the total runs Over for -18.15 Units / -13.38% ROI
- 62-50 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.4 Units / 5.48% ROI
Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 69% (33/48) against Scott Alexander this season — 3rd highest among in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 97th Percentile.
Scott Alexander has a strikeout rate of just 14% (22 SO in 157 PAs) this season — tied for lowest among in MLB; League Avg: 25% — second Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 62% (77/124) against Scott Alexander this season — 4th highest among in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 96th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 17% (25/150) against Scott Alexander this season — 3rd lowest among in MLB; League Avg: 29% — third Percentile.
Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Aaron Nola has thrown his curveball 38% of the time (171/446) when he’s behind in the count this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 12% — 100th Percentile.
Aaron Nola has thrown his curveball 32% of the time (300/945) when he’s behind in the count since last season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 11% — 96th Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of 48% (206/425) against Aaron Nola with two-strikes this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 39% — 100th Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a chase rate of 36% (200/559) against Aaron Nola this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 28% — 100th Percentile.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies
The Giants are just 20-34 (.370) after a loss as underdogs since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .406.
The Giants are 119-2 (.983) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .952.
The Giants are just 12-20 (.375) after a road loss this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .465.
The Giants are 5-53 (.086) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .050.
Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Phillies are 25-103 (.195) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .130.
The Phillies are 11-6 (.647) after a win as underdogs this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .439.
The Phillies are 18-104 (.148) when trailing entering the 8th inning since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .093.
The Phillies are just 7-37 (.159) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .218.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
Giants hitters have 339 strikeouts in 1,350 PA’s (25%) against LHP this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Giants hitters are slugging just .399 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .446.
The Giants are batting just .128 with two-strikes over the last 30 days (26 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .176.
Giants hitters have 95 extra-base hits out of 303 total hits (just 31%) against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends
Phillies hitters have 88 extra-base hits out of 253 total hits (just 35%) with the pitcher behind in the count this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 41%.
Phillies hitters are slugging .489 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .446.
The Phillies are batting .255 since last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .245.
The Phillies are batting .261 at home since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers since the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Giants pitchers have walked 157 of 2,544 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends
Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 44% with two-strikes since last season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Phillies pitchers have walked 173 of 2,535 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Phillies pitchers have allowed an exit velocity over 100 MPH 1,506 times since last season — 3rd fewest in MLB.
Phillies pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 75 double plays in 828 opportunities (9%) this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Phillies vs. Giants Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Cristian Pache (Phillies): Elbow, D10
- Rhys Hoskins (Phillies): ACL, D60
- Ranger Suárez (Phillies): Hamstring, D15
- Roberto Pérez (Giants): Shoulder, D60
- Allen Pollock (Giants): Oblique, D10
- Mark Mathias (Giants): Shoulder, D10
- John Brebbia (Giants): Lat, D60
- Mitchell Haniger (Giants): Forearm, D60
- Brandon Crawford (Giants): Forearm, D10
- Thomas Szapucki (Giants): Arm, D60
- Cole Waites (Giants): Elbow, D60
- Anthony DeSclafani (Giants): Elbow, D60
- Thomas Stripling (Giants): Back, D15
- Michael Yastrzemski (Giants): Hamstring, D10
- LaMonte Wade Jr. (Giants): Side, Day-to-Day
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