- The Phillies are -135 favorites vs the Giants
- Giants starting pitcher: Kyle Harrison
- Phillies starting pitcher: Taijuan Walker
- Watch the game on NBCS-PH
The San Francisco Giants (+110) visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (-135) on Tuesday, August 22, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Philadelphia.
The Phillies are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+150).
The Giants vs Phillies Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
This season, the Giants are 64-60 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 53-72 ATS.
Giants vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Giants | +1.5 -185 | O 9 -110 | +110 |
| Phillies | -1.5 +150 | U 9 -110 | -135 |
Giants vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 64.7% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Giants and Phillies and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today:
- Casey Schmitt has hit the Total Bases Under in 26 of his last 33 games (+21.30 Units / 48% ROI)
- Casey Schmitt has hit the Singles Under in 27 of his last 32 games (+19.70 Units / 43% ROI)
- Joc Pederson has hit the Total Bases Under in 22 of his last 25 away games (+18.30 Units / 48% ROI)
- Casey Schmitt has hit the Hits Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+17.90 Units / 71% ROI)
- Casey Schmitt has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 26 of his last 32 games (+17.15 Units / 37% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Kyle Schwarber has hit the Hits Under in 20 of his last 29 games (+16.00 Units / 52% ROI)
- Kyle Schwarber has hit the Singles Under in 30 of his last 37 games (+15.85 Units / 20% ROI)
- Trea Turner has hit the RBIs Under in 26 of his last 32 games (+13.80 Units / 19% ROI)
- Kyle Schwarber has hit the Total Bases Under in 23 of his last 30 games (+13.75 Units / 32% ROI)
- Trea Turner has hit the Hits Over in 9 of his last 11 games at home (+9.20 Units / 46% ROI)
Phillies vs Giants Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Johan Camargo | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Bryce Harper | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Edmundo Sosa | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| J.T. Realmuto | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -700 |
| LaMonte Wade Jr | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
Phillies vs Giants Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Johan Camargo | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +125 |
| Bryce Harper | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Edmundo Sosa | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
| J.T. Realmuto | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| LaMonte Wade Jr | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
Phillies vs Giants RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Johan Camargo | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| Bryce Harper | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Edmundo Sosa | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| J.T. Realmuto | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| LaMonte Wade Jr | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
Phillies vs Giants Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Taijuan Walker | 4.5 +115 | 4.5 -150 |
Giants Best Bets Today:
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 52 of their last 78 games (+23.64 Units / 25% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 32 of their last 48 games (+14.34 Units / 26% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 30 of their last 54 away games (+4.95 Units / 8% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 8 away games (+1.90 Units / 20% ROI)
Phillies Best Bets Today:
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 34 of their last 58 games at home (+7.23 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games at home (+5.99 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 8 of their last 12 games at home (+4.55 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 games at home (+3.75 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.95 Units / 55% ROI)
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 59-65 against the Run Line (-10.95 Units / -6.89% ROI).
- 64-60 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.9 Units / -3.7% ROI
- 52-69 when betting on the total runs Over for -24.8 Units / -17.98% ROI
- 69-52 when betting on the total runs Under for +12.6 Units / 9.34% ROI
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Phillies have gone 53-72 against the Run Line (-27.7 Units / -17.68% ROI).
- 68-57 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.65 Units / -4.92% ROI
- 51-62 when betting on the total runs Over for -17.15 Units / -12.54% ROI
- 62-51 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.25 Units / 4.59% ROI
Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
No Matchup notes for this Game
Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Taijuan Walker has a strike rate of just 61% (1,295/2,130) this season — tied for 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — fourth Percentile.
Taijuan Walker has a strike rate of just 59% (624/1,053) vs left-handed batters this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — fourth Percentile.
Taijuan Walker has a strike rate of just 57% (348/605) in two strike counts this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 16% (24/151) against Taijuan Walker on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — third Percentile.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies
The Giants are 18-11 (.621) after a road win this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .489.
The Giants are 31-27 (.534) after a win as underdogs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .417.
The Giants are just 28-48 (.368) after a road loss since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .454.
The Giants are 5-54 (.085) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .050.
Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Phillies are 25-103 (.195) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .130.
The Phillies are 26-9 (.743) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .614.
The Phillies are 11-6 (.647) after a win as underdogs this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .438.
The Phillies are 45-30 (.600) after a road win since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .491.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
Giants hitters have 820 strikeouts in 3,285 PA’s (25%) against LHP since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Giants hitters have 341 strikeouts in 1,353 PA’s (25%) against LHP this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Giants hitters are slugging just .398 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .447.
Giants hitters have an OBP of just .232 (2,560 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Phillies are batting .259 with two outs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .237.
Phillies hitters are slugging .241 on pitches out of the zone since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .214.
Phillies hitters have an OPS of 1.141 (81 PA’s) in innings 7-9 over the past seven days (6 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .753.
Phillies hitters have pulled just 44% of balls they’ve put into play against RHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Giants pitchers have walked 316 of 4,666 batters (7%) this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Giants pitchers have walked 158 of 2,552 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends
Phillies pitchers have walked 174 of 2,544 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Phillies pitchers since the 2021 season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Phillies pitchers have walked 266 of 3,969 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2021 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Phillies have won 44% of home games in which their opponents scored first since last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Phillies vs. Giants Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Cristian Pache (Phillies): Elbow, D10
- Rhys Hoskins (Phillies): ACL, D60
- Ranger Suárez (Phillies): Hamstring, D15
- Roberto Pérez (Giants): Shoulder, D60
- Allen Pollock (Giants): Oblique, D10
- Mark Mathias (Giants): Shoulder, D10
- John Brebbia (Giants): Lat, D60
- Mitchell Haniger (Giants): Forearm, D60
- Brandon Crawford (Giants): Forearm, D10
- Thomas Szapucki (Giants): Arm, D60
- Cole Waites (Giants): Elbow, D60
- Anthony DeSclafani (Giants): Elbow, D60
- Thomas Stripling (Giants): Back, D15
- Michael Yastrzemski (Giants): Hamstring, D10
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