- The Phillies are -140 favorites vs the Giants
- Giants starting pitcher: Alexander Cobb
- Phillies starting pitcher: Michael Lorenzen
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The San Francisco Giants (+120) visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (-140) on Wednesday, August 23, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05pm EDT in Philadelphia.
The Phillies are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+140).
The Giants vs Phillies Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
This season, the Giants are 64-61 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 53-73 ATS.
Giants vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Giants | +1.5 -165 | O 9 -120 | +120 |
| Phillies | -1.5 +140 | U 9 +100 | -140 |
Giants vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Wednesday‘s MLB matchup with 60.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Giants and Phillies and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today:
- Casey Schmitt has hit the Total Bases Under in 27 of his last 34 games (+22.30 Units / 49% ROI)
- Casey Schmitt has hit the Singles Under in 28 of his last 33 games (+20.70 Units / 44% ROI)
- Casey Schmitt has hit the Hits Under in 20 of his last 26 games (+18.90 Units / 73% ROI)
- Casey Schmitt has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 27 of his last 33 games (+18.15 Units / 37% ROI)
- Joc Pederson has hit the Total Bases Under in 21 of his last 25 away games (+15.60 Units / 40% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Kyle Schwarber has hit the Singles Under in 31 of his last 38 games (+16.85 Units / 21% ROI)
- Kyle Schwarber has hit the Hits Under in 20 of his last 30 games (+15.00 Units / 47% ROI)
- Kyle Schwarber has hit the Total Bases Under in 23 of his last 31 games (+12.75 Units / 29% ROI)
- Trea Turner has hit the RBIs Under in 26 of his last 33 games (+11.55 Units / 15% ROI)
- Alec Bohm has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+8.80 Units / 25% ROI)
Phillies vs Giants Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bryce Harper | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -1000 |
| J.T. Realmuto | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -900 |
| J.D. Davis | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| LaMonte Wade Jr | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -650 |
| Joc Pederson | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
Phillies vs Giants Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bryce Harper | 1.5 +150 | 1.5 -200 |
| J.T. Realmuto | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| J.D. Davis | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| LaMonte Wade Jr | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Joc Pederson | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
Phillies vs Giants RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bryce Harper | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| J.T. Realmuto | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| J.D. Davis | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| LaMonte Wade Jr | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| Joc Pederson | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -155 |
Phillies vs Giants Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Cobb | 4.5 -105 | 4.5 -125 |
| Michael Lorenzen | 4.5 -160 | 4.5 +120 |
Giants Best Bets Today:
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 52 of their last 79 games (+22.04 Units / 23% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 33 of their last 49 games (+15.34 Units / 27% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 31 of their last 55 away games (+5.95 Units / 10% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 9 away games (+2.90 Units / 28% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 9 away games (+0.69 Units / 7% ROI)
Phillies Best Bets Today:
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 35 of their last 59 games at home (+8.23 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games at home (+4.94 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 8 of their last 13 games at home (+3.55 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.85 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 10 games at home (+2.50 Units / 15% ROI)
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 60-65 against the Run Line (-9.95 Units / -6.2% ROI).
- 64-61 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.9 Units / -4.3% ROI
- 52-70 when betting on the total runs Over for -25.9 Units / -18.63% ROI
- 70-52 when betting on the total runs Under for +13.6 Units / 10% ROI
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Phillies have gone 53-73 against the Run Line (-28.7 Units / -18.2% ROI).
- 69-57 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.65 Units / -4.32% ROI
- 51-63 when betting on the total runs Over for -18.25 Units / -13.24% ROI
- 63-51 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.25 Units / 5.28% ROI
Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Alex Cobb has thrown his changeup 39% of the time (155/400) when he’s behind in the count this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 16% — 97th Percentile.
Alex Cobb has thrown his changeup 34% of the time (503/1,458) in non-two strike counts this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 15% — 97th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 60% (495/830) against Alex Cobb since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 114 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 99th Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 56% (119/213) against Alex Cobb this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 95th Percentile.
Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .138 (8-for-58) against Michael Lorenzen on low fastballs this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .259 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 19% (66/350) against Michael Lorenzen this season — 6th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — ninth Percentile.
Michael Lorenzen has allowed a slugging percentage of just .231 (18 Total Bases / 78 ABs) on elevated fastballs this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .380 — 97th Percentile.
Michael Lorenzen has allowed a slugging percentage of just .360 (164 Total Bases / 456 ABs) this season — 10th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .405 — 85th Percentile.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies
The Giants are just 12-21 (.364) after a road loss this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .463.
The Giants are 54-1 (.982) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .950.
The Giants are 5-54 (.085) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Giants are just 20-35 (.364) after a loss as underdogs since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .406.
Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Phillies are 26-103 (.202) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .130.
The Phillies are 7-50 (.123) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Phillies are 10-110 (.083) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .048.
The Phillies are 19-104 (.154) when trailing entering the 8th inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .093.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
Giants hitters have an OPS of just .681 (1,361 PA’s) against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .740.
Giants hitters have 824 strikeouts in 3,293 PA’s (25%) against LHP since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Giants are batting just .240 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .265.
Giants hitters are slugging just .188 with two-strikes over the last 30 days (26 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .283.
Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends
Phillies hitters are slugging .450 against LHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .417.
Phillies hitters are slugging .647 versus relief pitchers over the last 14 days (12 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .407.
Phillies hitters have an OPS of 1.230 (83 PA’s) in innings 7-9 over the past seven days (6 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .734.
Phillies hitters have an OPS of 1.031 (149 PA’s) in innings 7-9 over the last 14 days (12 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .734.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Giants pitchers have walked 159 of 2,561 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Giants pitchers have walked 760 of 10,774 batters (7%) since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends
Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 44% with two-strikes since last season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Phillies pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 88.3 MPH (3,097 batted balls) this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 89.1.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Phillies pitchers since last season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Phillies pitchers have allowed an exit velocity over 100 MPH 688 times this season — 2nd fewest in MLB.
Phillies vs. Giants Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Cristian Pache (Phillies): Elbow, D10
- Rhys Hoskins (Phillies): ACL, D60
- Ranger Suárez (Phillies): Hamstring, D15
- Roberto Pérez (Giants): Shoulder, D60
- Allen Pollock (Giants): Oblique, D10
- Mark Mathias (Giants): Shoulder, D60
- John Brebbia (Giants): Lat, D60
- Mitchell Haniger (Giants): Forearm, D60
- Brandon Crawford (Giants): Forearm, D10
- Thomas Szapucki (Giants): Arm, D60
- Cole Waites (Giants): Elbow, D60
- Anthony DeSclafani (Giants): Elbow, D60
- Thomas Stripling (Giants): Back, D15
- Michael Yastrzemski (Giants): Hamstring, D10
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