- The Giants are -130 favorites vs the Pirates
- Giants starting pitcher: Thomas Stripling
- Pirates starting pitcher: Richard Hill
- Watch the game on Apple TV+
The San Francisco Giants (-130) visit PNC Park to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (+110) on Friday, July 14, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Pittsburgh.
The Giants are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).
The Giants vs Pirates Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
This season, the Giants are 49-41 against the spread (ATS), while the Pirates are 43-47 ATS.
Giants vs. Pirates Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Giants | -1.5 +125 | O 9 -105 | -130 |
| Pirates | +1.5 -150 | U 9 -115 | +110 |
Giants vs Pirates Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Giants will win Friday‘s MLB matchup with 61.4% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Giants and Pirates and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today:
- Joc Pederson has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 12 away games (+12.00 Units / 63% ROI)
- Mike Yastrzemski has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 18 away games (+10.50 Units / 52% ROI)
- Brett Wisely has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 10 of his last 12 away games (+8.70 Units / 54% ROI)
- Blake Sabol has hit the Total Bases Under in 10 of his last 13 away games (+8.25 Units / 50% ROI)
- Casey Schmitt has hit the Total Bases Under in 8 of his last 9 away games (+7.65 Units / 61% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Pirates Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 22 games at home (+10.30 Units / 24% ROI)
- Carlos Santana has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 25 games at home (+9.35 Units / 23% ROI)
- Josh Palacios has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+8.40 Units / 31% ROI)
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 14 of his last 21 games at home (+7.30 Units / 30% ROI)
- Tucupita Marcano has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 16 games at home (+6.90 Units / 34% ROI)
Pirates vs Giants Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Crawford | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Austin Slater | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Patrick Bailey | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Casey Schmitt | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Mike Yastrzemski | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
Pirates vs Giants Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Crawford | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +110 |
| Austin Slater | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Patrick Bailey | 1.5 +195 | 1.5 -250 |
| Casey Schmitt | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
| Mike Yastrzemski | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +125 |
Pirates vs Giants RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Crawford | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
| Austin Slater | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -300 |
| Patrick Bailey | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Casey Schmitt | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Mike Yastrzemski | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Pirates vs Giants Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ross Stripling | 3.5 -105 | 3.5 -125 |
| Rich Hill | 4.5 -140 | 4.5 +105 |
Giants Best Bets Today:
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 28 away games (+12.35 Units / 37% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 19 of their last 27 away games (+9.90 Units / 30% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 42 of their last 76 games (+8.30 Units / 10% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 71 games (+7.40 Units / 8% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.90 Units / 52% ROI)
Pirates Best Bets Today:
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Under in 26 of their last 41 games at home (+9.85 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 15 of their last 21 games at home (+8.80 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+6.00 Units / 77% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+3.40 Units / 55% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+0.85 Units / 10% ROI)
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 46-44 against the Run Line (-0.5 Units / -0.42% ROI).
- 49-41 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.95 Units / 0.83% ROI
- 40-47 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.75 Units / -11.83% ROI
- 47-40 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.45 Units / 3.49% ROI
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Pirates have gone 43-47 against the Run Line (-15.65 Units / -13.06% ROI).
- 41-49 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.1 Units / -2.09% ROI
- 44-41 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.8 Units / -0.81% ROI
- 41-44 when betting on the total runs Under for -7 Units / -7.07% ROI
Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kyle Hendricks has averaged 86.7 MPH on fastballs in 2022 — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 93.4 — 0 Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a line drive rate of 30% (66/218) against Ross Stripling since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 100 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 0 Percentile.
Ross Stripling has walked 31 of 716 batters (4%) since last season — 6th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 100 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 97th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .312 against Ross Stripling on low changeups this season — eighth worst among starting pitchers with at least 35 total IP– 12th Percentile. Opponents batted just .121 (13-for-107) against him on low changeups last season — fourth best among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP– 95th Percentile.
Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .222 (8-for-36) against Rich Hill on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .341 — 98th Percentile.
Rich Hill has thrown his curveball 52% of the time (204/395) with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% — 97th Percentile.
35 of Rich Hill’s 115 breaking pitch strikeouts (30%) have been backdoor since last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 100 total IP; League Avg: 13% — 97th Percentile.
Opposing hitters have a chase rate of just 14% (25/173) against Rich Hill when he’s behind in the count this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — first Percentile.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates
The Giants are 10-29 (.256) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .143.
The Giants are 30-24 (.556) after a win as underdogs since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .416.
The Giants are 37-56 (.398) when allowing 10 or more hits since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .272.
The Giants are 43-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .948.
Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Pirates are just 30-53 (.361) after a road loss since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .453.
The Pirates are just 6-123 (.047) when trailing entering the 8th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .092.
The Pirates are 20-3 (.870) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .729.
The Pirates are 37-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .948.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
The Giants are batting .372 on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .342.
Giants hitters have 607 strikeouts in 2,474 PA’s (24%) against RHP this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Giants hitters have just 10 strikeouts in 105 PA’s (10%) against LHP over the last 14 days (6 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Giants hitters have an OBP of .356 (438 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .327.
Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends
The Pirates are batting just .121 on pitches out of the zone since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .155.
The Pirates are batting just .151 with two-strikes since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .169.
Pirates hitters have an OPS of just .673 (2,877 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .723.
Pirates hitters have an OBP of just .296 (2,877 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .318.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 50% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers since the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Giants pitchers have walked 142 of 2,243 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends
Pirates pitchers have walked 6 of 27 batters (22%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the past seven days (3 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Pirates pitchers have walked 73 of 792 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Pirates pitchers have walked 907 of 9,677 batters (9%) since last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Pirates pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 56% of their games on the road since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Pirates vs. Giants Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Andrew McCutchen (Pirates): Elbow, D10
- Jarlín García (Pirates): Arm, D60
- Vincent Velasquez (Pirates): Elbow, D60
- Jose Hernandez (Pirates): Calf, D15
- Max Kranick (Pirates): Elbow, D60
- Oneil Cruz (Pirates): Ankle, D60
- William Crowe (Pirates): Shoulder, D60
- Jonathan Brubaker (Pirates): Elbow, D60
- Ji Hwan Bae (Pirates): Ankle, D10
- Roberto Pérez (Giants): Shoulder, D60
- Heliot Ramos (Giants): Oblique, D60
- John Brebbia (Giants): Lat, D15
- Anthony DeSclafani (Giants): Shoulder, D15
- Mitchell Haniger (Giants): Forearm, D60
- Luis González (Giants): Back, D60
- Thomas Szapucki (Giants): Arm, D60
- Thairo Estrada (Giants): Hand, D10
- Luke Jackson (Giants): Back, D15
- Brandon Crawford (Giants): Leg, Day-to-Day
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