- The Giants are -160 favorites vs the Pirates
- Giants starting pitcher: Alexander Cobb
- Pirates starting pitcher: Johan Oviedo
- Watch the game on SportsNet PT
The San Francisco Giants (-160) visit PNC Park to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (+135) on Saturday, July 15, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Pittsburgh.
The Giants are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+100).
The Giants vs Pirates Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Giants are 50-41 against the spread (ATS), while the Pirates are 43-48 ATS.
Giants vs. Pirates Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Giants | -1.5 +100 | O 8.5 +100 | -160 |
| Pirates | +1.5 -120 | U 8.5 -120 | +135 |
Giants vs Pirates Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Giants will win Saturday‘s MLB matchup with 72.3% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Giants and Pirates and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today:
- Mike Yastrzemski has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 18 away games (+10.50 Units / 52% ROI)
- Brett Wisely has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 10 of his last 12 away games (+8.70 Units / 54% ROI)
- Blake Sabol has hit the Total Bases Under in 10 of his last 13 away games (+8.25 Units / 50% ROI)
- LaMonte Wade Jr has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 25 away games (+7.55 Units / 20% ROI)
- Brett Wisely has hit the Singles Under in 11 of his last 13 away games (+7.45 Units / 33% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Pirates Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Josh Palacios has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+8.40 Units / 31% ROI)
- Jason Delay has hit the Singles Under in 8 of his last 9 games at home (+6.60 Units / 45% ROI)
- Mitch Keller has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 7 of his last 8 games at home (+6.45 Units / 56% ROI)
- Rodolfo Castro has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 10 of his last 13 games (+6.45 Units / 33% ROI)
- Ke’Bryan Hayes has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 23 games at home (+6.40 Units / 28% ROI)
Pirates vs Giants Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ji-man Choi | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Brandon Crawford | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Austin Hedges | 0.5 +1200 | 0.5 |
| Bryan Reynolds | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Mike Yastrzemski | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
Pirates vs Giants Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ji-man Choi | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +175 |
| Brandon Crawford | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
| Austin Hedges | 0.5 -115 | 0.5 -110 |
| Bryan Reynolds | 1.5 +180 | 1.5 -250 |
| Mike Yastrzemski | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Pirates vs Giants RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ji-man Choi | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Brandon Crawford | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Austin Hedges | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -450 |
| Bryan Reynolds | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Mike Yastrzemski | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
Pirates vs Giants Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Cobb | 4.5 -120 | 4.5 -110 |
| Johan Oviedo | 5.5 +135 | 5.5 -175 |
Giants Best Bets Today:
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 29 away games (+13.35 Units / 39% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the Run Line in 40 of their last 72 games (+8.65 Units / 9% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 42 of their last 77 games (+7.20 Units / 9% ROI)
Pirates Best Bets Today:
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+7.00 Units / 79% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 games at home (+2.40 Units / 34% ROI)
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 47-44 against the Run Line (+0.75 Units / 0.63% ROI).
- 50-41 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.95 Units / 1.68% ROI
- 41-47 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.75 Units / -10.7% ROI
- 47-41 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.35 Units / 2.35% ROI
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Pirates have gone 43-48 against the Run Line (-17.1 Units / -14.1% ROI).
- 41-50 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.1 Units / -3.05% ROI
- 45-41 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.2 Units / 0.2% ROI
- 41-45 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.1 Units / -8.09% ROI
Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 60% (215/357) against Alex Cobb since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 100 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 99th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 64% (103/160) against Alex Cobb with runners in scoring position since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 100 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 98th Percentile.
Alex Cobb has thrown his changeup 39% of the time (1,058/2,733) in non-two strike counts since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 100 total CH; League Avg: 15% — 100th Percentile.
Alex Cobb has thrown his changeup 41% of the time (345/835) when going through the lineup the third time in a game since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 100 total CH; League Avg: 17% — 100th Percentile.
Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .375 (15-for-40) against Johan Oviedo on low fastballs this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .256 — fifth Percentile.
Johan Oviedo has allowed a slugging percentage of .642 (34 Total Bases / 53 ABs) on fastballs away this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .380 — third Percentile.
Johan Oviedo has a first-pitch strike rate of just 56% (250/449) this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 63% — third Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .190 (37-for-195) against Johan Oviedo with two-strikes this season — 10th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .165 — 16th Percentile.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates
The Giants are 8-35 (.186) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .103.
The Giants are 18-10 (.643) after a win as underdogs this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .441.
The Giants are 44-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .949.
The Giants are 30-24 (.556) after a win as underdogs since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .415.
Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Pirates are just 6-124 (.046) when trailing entering the 8th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .091.
The Pirates are just 103-149 (.409) since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Pirates are just 8-14 (.364) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Pirates are just 75-16 (.824) when leading entering the 7th inning since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .873.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
Giants hitters have just 11 strikeouts in 138 PA’s (8%) against LHP over the last 14 days (6 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Giants hitters have 721 strikeouts in 2,927 PA’s (25%) against LHP since last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Giants hitters have drawn 67 walks in 995 PA’s (7%) against LHP this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Giants are batting .370 on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .342.
Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends
Pirates hitters have an OBP of just .297 (2,882 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .318.
The Pirates are batting just .121 on pitches out of the zone since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .155.
The Pirates are batting just .151 with two-strikes since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .169.
Pirates hitters are slugging just .170 on pitches out of the zone since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .214.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Giants pitchers have walked 242 of 3,421 batters (7%) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Giants pitchers have walked 142 of 2,252 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends
Pirates pitchers have walked 910 of 9,718 batters (9%) since last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Pirates pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 56% of their games on the road since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Pirates pitchers have walked 73 of 801 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Pirates pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in 60% of their games on the road in 2022 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Pirates vs. Giants Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Andrew McCutchen (Pirates): Elbow, D10
- Jarlín García (Pirates): Arm, D60
- Vincent Velasquez (Pirates): Elbow, D60
- Jose Hernandez (Pirates): Calf, D15
- Max Kranick (Pirates): Elbow, D60
- Oneil Cruz (Pirates): Ankle, D60
- William Crowe (Pirates): Shoulder, D60
- Jonathan Brubaker (Pirates): Elbow, D60
- Ji Hwan Bae (Pirates): Ankle, D10
- Roberto Pérez (Giants): Shoulder, D60
- Heliot Ramos (Giants): Oblique, D60
- John Brebbia (Giants): Lat, D15
- Anthony DeSclafani (Giants): Shoulder, D15
- Mitchell Haniger (Giants): Forearm, D60
- Luis González (Giants): Back, D60
- Thomas Szapucki (Giants): Arm, D60
- Thairo Estrada (Giants): Hand, D10
- Luke Jackson (Giants): Back, D15
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