- The Giants are -140 favorites vs the Pirates
- Giants starting pitcher: Robert Wood
- Pirates starting pitcher: Osvaldo Bido
- Watch the game on Peacock
The San Francisco Giants (-145) visit PNC Park to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (+120) on Sunday, July 16, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 12:05pm EDT in Pittsburgh.
The Giants are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+110).
The Giants vs Pirates Over/Under is 10 total runs for the game.
This season, the Giants are 51-41 against the spread (ATS), while the Pirates are 43-49 ATS.
Giants vs. Pirates Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Giants | -1.5 +110 | O 10 -110 | -145 |
| Pirates | +1.5 -135 | U 10 -110 | +120 |
Giants vs Pirates Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Giants will win Sunday‘s MLB matchup with 68.6% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Giants and Pirates and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today:
- Joc Pederson has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 14 away games (+14.35 Units / 67% ROI)
- Casey Schmitt has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 18 games (+12.65 Units / 49% ROI)
- Logan Webb has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 14 of his last 17 games (+12.35 Units / 59% ROI)
- Casey Schmitt has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 17 games (+12.15 Units / 53% ROI)
- Casey Schmitt has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 14 games (+11.20 Units / 80% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Pirates Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 24 games at home (+12.30 Units / 25% ROI)
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 23 games (+11.00 Units / 41% ROI)
- Henry Davis has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 13 games (+10.35 Units / 80% ROI)
- Josh Palacios has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+8.40 Units / 31% ROI)
- Mitch Keller has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 13 of his last 18 games (+8.25 Units / 35% ROI)
Pirates vs Giants Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Crawford | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Andrew McCutchen | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Bryan Reynolds | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Mike Yastrzemski | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| J.D. Davis | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
Pirates vs Giants Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Crawford | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
| Andrew McCutchen | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Bryan Reynolds | 1.5 +180 | 1.5 -250 |
| Mike Yastrzemski | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| J.D. Davis | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
Pirates vs Giants RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Crawford | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Andrew McCutchen | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Bryan Reynolds | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -225 |
| Mike Yastrzemski | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
| J.D. Davis | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
Pirates vs Giants Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Osvaldo Bido | 4.5 +120 | 4.5 -155 |
| Alex Wood | 3.5 -165 | 3.5 +130 |
Giants Best Bets Today:
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 30 away games (+14.35 Units / 40% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 30 of their last 45 games (+13.35 Units / 25% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the Run Line in 41 of their last 73 games (+9.70 Units / 10% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 43 of their last 78 games (+8.20 Units / 10% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.65 Units / 38% ROI)
Pirates Best Bets Today:
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Under in 41 of their last 64 games (+16.30 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 17 of their last 23 games at home (+10.90 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+5.80 Units / 57% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.15 Units / 58% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 8 games at home (+1.40 Units / 17% ROI)
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 48-44 against the Run Line (+1.8 Units / 1.5% ROI).
- 51-41 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.95 Units / 2.5% ROI
- 41-48 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.95 Units / -11.76% ROI
- 48-41 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.35 Units / 3.32% ROI
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Pirates have gone 43-49 against the Run Line (-18.35 Units / -14.97% ROI).
- 41-51 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.1 Units / -4% ROI
- 45-42 when betting on the total runs Over for -1 Units / -0.99% ROI
- 42-45 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.1 Units / -7.02% ROI
Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents had a line drive rate of 34% (26/77) versus Justin Steele with runners in scoring position in 2022 — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 0 Percentile.
Justin Steele located 43% of his pitches inside (218/512) on the first pitch of at-bats in 2022 — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 30% — 99th Percentile.
Justin Steele threw fastballs 71% of the time (1,018/1,433) in non-two strike counts in 2022 — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 50% — 99th Percentile.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 49% (34/70) against Justin Steele on elevated fastballs in 2022 — 7th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 95th Percentile.
Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Osvaldo Bido has not induced opposing hitters to ground into a double play in 19 opportunities (0%) over the last 30 days (5 games) — tied for lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: 11% — 21st Percentile.
Opponents have a swing rate of just 24% (22/93) against Osvaldo Bido on the first pitch of at-bats over the last 30 days (5 games) — 8th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: 32% — sixth Percentile.
Osvaldo Bido has allowed an OBP of .500 (30 PA’s) versus the bottom of the order over the last 30 days (5 games) — tied for 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: .299 — second Percentile.
Osvaldo Bido has struck out just 13% (7/53) of right-handed batters he faced over the last 30 days (5 games) — 15th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 11th Percentile.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates
The Giants are 37-56 (.398) when allowing 10 or more hits since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .272.
The Giants are 11-29 (.275) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .145.
The Giants are 15-7 (.682) after a road win this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Giants are 18-10 (.643) after a win as underdogs this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .442.
Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Pirates are 37-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .949.
The Pirates are just 6-124 (.046) when trailing entering the 8th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .091.
The Pirates are just 59-90 (.396) after a loss since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .482.
The Pirates are just 8-15 (.348) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
Giants hitters have just 11 strikeouts in 138 PA’s (8%) against LHP over the last 14 days (6 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Giants hitters have 721 strikeouts in 2,927 PA’s (25%) against LHP since last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Giants are batting .368 on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .342.
Giants hitters have drawn 67 walks in 995 PA’s (7%) against LHP this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends
The Pirates are batting just .151 with two-strikes since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .169.
Pirates hitters are slugging just .170 on pitches out of the zone since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .214.
The Pirates are batting just .065 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game over the last 14 days (7 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.
The Pirates are batting just .231 against LHP since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 50% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Giants pitchers have walked 142 of 2,261 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers since the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends
Pirates pitchers have walked 74 of 810 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Pirates pitchers have walked 914 of 9,754 batters (9%) since last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Pirates pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 56% of their games on the road since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
The longest HR allowed by the Pirates pitchers this season traveled 454.0 feet — — tied for 5th shortest in MLB; League Avg: 462.7
Pirates vs. Giants Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Andrew McCutchen (Pirates): Elbow, D10
- Jarlín García (Pirates): Arm, D60
- Vincent Velasquez (Pirates): Elbow, D60
- Jose Hernandez (Pirates): Calf, D15
- Max Kranick (Pirates): Elbow, D60
- Oneil Cruz (Pirates): Ankle, D60
- William Crowe (Pirates): Shoulder, D60
- Jonathan Brubaker (Pirates): Elbow, D60
- Ji Hwan Bae (Pirates): Ankle, D10
- Roberto Pérez (Giants): Shoulder, D60
- Heliot Ramos (Giants): Oblique, D60
- John Brebbia (Giants): Lat, D15
- Anthony DeSclafani (Giants): Shoulder, D15
- Mitchell Haniger (Giants): Forearm, D60
- Luis González (Giants): Back, D60
- Thomas Szapucki (Giants): Arm, D60
- Thairo Estrada (Giants): Hand, D10
- Luke Jackson (Giants): Back, D15
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