- The Giants (35-27) are -200 favorites vs the Pirates (25-37)
- Giants starting pitcher: Carlos Rodón (5-4), 3.18 ERA
- Pirates starting pitcher: Zachary Thompson (3-4), 4.50 ERA
- Watch the game on SportsNet PT
The San Francisco Giants (-200) visit PNC Park to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (+170) on Friday, June 17, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Pittsburgh.
The Giants are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-120).
The Giants vs Pirates Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Giants are 35-27 against the spread (ATS), while the Pirates are 27-35 ATS.
Giants vs. Pirates Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Giants | -1.5 -120 | O 8 -105 | -200 |
| Pirates | +1.5 +100 | U 8 -115 | +170 |
Giants vs Pirates Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Giants will win Friday‘s matchup with 58.5% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Giants and Pirates and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Mike Yastrzemski has hit the Singles Under in his last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 63% ROI)
- Luis Gonzalez has hit the Singles Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+3.90 Units / 36% ROI)
- Thairo Estrada has hit the Runs Over in 6 of his last 11 games (+3.85 Units / 35% ROI)
- Wilmer Flores has hit the Singles Under in 6 of his last 8 away games (+3.65 Units / 34% ROI)
- Jason Vosler has hit the Hits Over in 4 of his last 5 away games (+3.45 Units / 62% ROI)
Best Pirates Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Ke’Bryan Hayes has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 16 games at home (+10.05 Units / 30% ROI)
- Ke’Bryan Hayes has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 23 games at home (+9.30 Units / 24% ROI)
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the RBIs Under in his last 9 games at home (+9.00 Units / 43% ROI)
- Jack Suwinski has hit the Runs Over in his last 6 games at home (+8.15 Units / 136% ROI)
- Ke’Bryan Hayes has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 17 games at home (+8.15 Units / 36% ROI)
Pirates vs Giants Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bryan Reynolds | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| Daniel Vogelbach | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Diego Castillo | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Jack Suwinski | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Ke'Bryan Hayes | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
Pirates vs Giants Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bryan Reynolds | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +185 |
| Daniel Vogelbach | 0.5 -140 | 0.5 +100 |
| Diego Castillo | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +135 |
| Jack Suwinski | 0.5 -130 | 0.5 -110 |
| Ke'Bryan Hayes | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +185 |
Pirates vs Giants RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bryan Reynolds | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -275 |
| Daniel Vogelbach | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -350 |
| Diego Castillo | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -350 |
| Jack Suwinski | 0.5 +275 | 0.5 -450 |
| Ke'Bryan Hayes | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -250 |
Pirates vs Giants Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Zach Thompson | 3.5 -115 | 3.5 -120 |
| Carlos Rodon | 6.5 -155 | 6.5 +110 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Giants Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 31 of their last 54 games (+10.45 Units / 17% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 10 games (+7.00 Units / 62% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.75 Units / 22% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.50 Units / 50% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.65 Units / 23% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Pirates: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Under in 30 of their last 53 games (+6.75 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 31 of their last 61 games (+4.70 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 18 games (+2.60 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 21 games (+1.80 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 16 games (+0.10 Units / 1% ROI)
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 30-32 against the Run Line (-3.65 Units / -4.92% ROI).
- 35-27 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.9 Units / -3.11% ROI
- 30-28 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.8 Units / -1.17% ROI
- 28-30 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.9 Units / -7.13% ROI
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 27-35 against the Run Line (-12.8 Units / -16.58% ROI).
- 25-37 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.4 Units / -2.14% ROI
- 25-32 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.7 Units / -14.36% ROI
- 32-25 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.25 Units / 6.15% ROI
Carlos Rodón: Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 36% (27/75) against Carlos Rodon in two-strike counts this season — tied for 8th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 46% — 11th Percentile.
Carlos Rodon has a strikeout rate of 39% (71 SO in 181 PAs) with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 110 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.
Carlos Rodon has a strike rate of 72% (281/391) in two strike counts this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — 98th Percentile.
Carlos Rodon has struck out 29% (65/222) of right-handed batters he faced this season — tied for 9th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 89th Percentile.
Zachary Thompson: Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 12% (12/99) against Zach Thompson with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 110 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Zach Thompson has a strike rate of just 60% (107/178) when he’s behind in the count this season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 29 total IP; League Avg: 69% — second Percentile.
Zach Thompson has allowed a slugging percentage of .519 (54 Total Bases / 104 ABs) against right-handed batters this season — 8th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 29 total IP; League Avg: .399 — sixth Percentile.
34 of Zach Thompson’s 105 strikeouts (32%) have come on cutters since the start of last season — 7th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 110 total IP; League Avg: 5% — 96th Percentile.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates
The Giants are 11-1 (.917) when scoring in the first inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .668.
The Giants are 16-3 (.842) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .714.
The Giants are 28-1 (.966) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .925.
The Giants are 18-90 (.167) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .084.
Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Pirates are just 70-18 (.795) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .876.
The Pirates are just 2-16 (.111) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .286.
The Pirates are just 10-34 (.227) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .296.
The Pirates are just 12-20 (.375) on the road this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .487.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
The Giants are batting just .120 on pitches out of the zone this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .158.
Giants hitters are slugging just .162 on pitches out of the zone this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .218.
Giants hitters have chased 25% of pitches out of the zone against LHP since the start of last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Giants hitters have an OPS of 1.204 (1,660 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.088.
Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends
The Pirates are batting just .147 with two-strikes since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .167.
Pirates hitters are slugging just .225 with two-strikes since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .270.
The Pirates are batting just .206 with two outs since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .231.
Pirates hitters are slugging just .301 in righty-righty matchups since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .399.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Giants pitchers since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Giants pitchers have won 51% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Giants pitchers have walked 126 of 2,015 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends
Pirates pitchers have walked 246 of 2,457 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of 2020 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Pirates pitchers have walked 827 of 8,515 batters (10%) since the start of last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Pirates pitchers have walked 221 of 2,375 batters (9%) this season — tied for 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Pirates pitchers have walked 187 of 1,941 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Pirates vs. Giants Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Nicolaus Mears (Pirates): Elbow, D60
- Josh VanMeter (Pirates): Finger, D10
- Duane Underwood Jr. (Pirates): COVID-19, D15
- Kevin Newman (Pirates): Groin, D60
- Jacob Marisnick (Pirates): Thumb, D10
- Benjamin Gamel (Pirates): Hamstring, D10
- Roberto Pérez (Pirates): Hamstring, D60
- Dillon Peters (Pirates): Undisclosed, D15
- Blake Cederlind (Pirates): Elbow, D60
- Yoshitomo Tsutsugo (Pirates): Undisclosed, D10
- Greg Allen (Pirates): Hamstring, D60
- Jakob Junis (Giants): Groin, D15
- Anthony DeSclafani (Giants): Ankle, D60
- Alexander Cobb (Giants): Neck Strain, D15
- Steven Duggar (Giants): Oblique, D60
- LaMonte Wade Jr. (Giants): Left Knee, D10
- Matthew Boyd (Giants): Elbow, D60
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