Giants vs Pirates Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 17

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 17, 2022, 9:23 AM
  • The Giants (35-27) are -200 favorites vs the Pirates (25-37)
  • Giants starting pitcher: Carlos Rodón (5-4), 3.18 ERA
  • Pirates starting pitcher: Zachary Thompson (3-4), 4.50 ERA
  • Watch the game on SportsNet PT

The San Francisco Giants (-200) visit PNC Park to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (+170) on Friday, June 17, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Pittsburgh.

The Giants are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-120).

The Giants vs Pirates Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Giants are 35-27 against the spread (ATS), while the Pirates are 27-35 ATS.

Giants vs. Pirates Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Giants-1.5 -120O 8 -105-200
Pirates +1.5 +100U 8 -115+170

Giants vs Pirates Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Giants will win Friday‘s matchup with 58.5% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Giants and Pirates and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Pirates vs Giants and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Mike Yastrzemski has hit the Singles Under in his last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 63% ROI)
  • Luis Gonzalez has hit the Singles Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+3.90 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Thairo Estrada has hit the Runs Over in 6 of his last 11 games (+3.85 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Wilmer Flores has hit the Singles Under in 6 of his last 8 away games (+3.65 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Jason Vosler has hit the Hits Over in 4 of his last 5 away games (+3.45 Units / 62% ROI)

Best Pirates Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Ke’Bryan Hayes has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 16 games at home (+10.05 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Ke’Bryan Hayes has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 23 games at home (+9.30 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Bryan Reynolds has hit the RBIs Under in his last 9 games at home (+9.00 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Jack Suwinski has hit the Runs Over in his last 6 games at home (+8.15 Units / 136% ROI)
  • Ke’Bryan Hayes has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 17 games at home (+8.15 Units / 36% ROI)

Pirates vs Giants Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Bryan Reynolds 0.5 +450 0.5 -900
Daniel Vogelbach 0.5 +625 0.5 -2000
Diego Castillo 0.5 +550 0.5 -1400
Jack Suwinski 0.5 +675 0.5 -2500
Ke'Bryan Hayes 0.5 +550 0.5 -1400

Pirates vs Giants Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Bryan Reynolds 0.5 -275 0.5 +185
Daniel Vogelbach 0.5 -140 0.5 +100
Diego Castillo 0.5 -190 0.5 +135
Jack Suwinski 0.5 -130 0.5 -110
Ke'Bryan Hayes 0.5 -275 0.5 +185

Pirates vs Giants RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Bryan Reynolds 0.5 +185 0.5 -275
Daniel Vogelbach 0.5 +225 0.5 -350
Diego Castillo 0.5 +220 0.5 -350
Jack Suwinski 0.5 +275 0.5 -450
Ke'Bryan Hayes 0.5 +170 0.5 -250

Pirates vs Giants Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Zach Thompson 3.5 -115 3.5 -120
Carlos Rodon 6.5 -155 6.5 +110
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 31 of their last 54 games (+10.45 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 10 games (+7.00 Units / 62% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.75 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.50 Units / 50% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.65 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Under in 30 of their last 53 games (+6.75 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 31 of their last 61 games (+4.70 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 18 games (+2.60 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 21 games (+1.80 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 16 games (+0.10 Units / 1% ROI)

Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 30-32 against the Run Line (-3.65 Units / -4.92% ROI).

  • 35-27 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.9 Units / -3.11% ROI
  • 30-28 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.8 Units / -1.17% ROI
  • 28-30 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.9 Units / -7.13% ROI

Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 27-35 against the Run Line (-12.8 Units / -16.58% ROI).

  • 25-37 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.4 Units / -2.14% ROI
  • 25-32 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.7 Units / -14.36% ROI
  • 32-25 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.25 Units / 6.15% ROI

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 36% (27/75) against Carlos Rodon in two-strike counts this season — tied for 8th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 46% — 11th Percentile.

Carlos Rodon has a strikeout rate of 39% (71 SO in 181 PAs) with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 110 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.

Carlos Rodon has a strike rate of 72% (281/391) in two strike counts this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — 98th Percentile.

Carlos Rodon has struck out 29% (65/222) of right-handed batters he faced this season — tied for 9th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 89th Percentile.

Zachary Thompson: Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a line drive rate of just 12% (12/99) against Zach Thompson with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 110 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.

Zach Thompson has a strike rate of just 60% (107/178) when he’s behind in the count this season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 29 total IP; League Avg: 69% — second Percentile.

Zach Thompson has allowed a slugging percentage of .519 (54 Total Bases / 104 ABs) against right-handed batters this season — 8th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 29 total IP; League Avg: .399 — sixth Percentile.

34 of Zach Thompson’s 105 strikeouts (32%) have come on cutters since the start of last season — 7th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 110 total IP; League Avg: 5% — 96th Percentile.

Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates

The Giants are 11-1 (.917) when scoring in the first inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .668.

The Giants are 16-3 (.842) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .714.

The Giants are 28-1 (.966) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .925.

The Giants are 18-90 (.167) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .084.

Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Giants

The Pirates are just 70-18 (.795) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .876.

The Pirates are just 2-16 (.111) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .286.

The Pirates are just 10-34 (.227) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .296.

The Pirates are just 12-20 (.375) on the road this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .487.

The Giants are batting just .120 on pitches out of the zone this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .158.

Giants hitters are slugging just .162 on pitches out of the zone this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .218.

Giants hitters have chased 25% of pitches out of the zone against LHP since the start of last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.

Giants hitters have an OPS of 1.204 (1,660 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.088.

The Pirates are batting just .147 with two-strikes since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .167.

Pirates hitters are slugging just .225 with two-strikes since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .270.

The Pirates are batting just .206 with two outs since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .231.

Pirates hitters are slugging just .301 in righty-righty matchups since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .399.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Giants pitchers since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Giants pitchers have won 51% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Giants pitchers have walked 126 of 2,015 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Pirates pitchers have walked 246 of 2,457 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of 2020 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Pirates pitchers have walked 827 of 8,515 batters (10%) since the start of last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Pirates pitchers have walked 221 of 2,375 batters (9%) this season — tied for 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Pirates pitchers have walked 187 of 1,941 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Pirates vs. Giants Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Nicolaus Mears (Pirates): Elbow, D60
  • Josh VanMeter (Pirates): Finger, D10
  • Duane Underwood Jr. (Pirates): COVID-19, D15
  • Kevin Newman (Pirates): Groin, D60
  • Jacob Marisnick (Pirates): Thumb, D10
  • Benjamin Gamel (Pirates): Hamstring, D10
  • Roberto Pérez (Pirates): Hamstring, D60
  • Dillon Peters (Pirates): Undisclosed, D15
  • Blake Cederlind (Pirates): Elbow, D60
  • Yoshitomo Tsutsugo (Pirates): Undisclosed, D10
  • Greg Allen (Pirates): Hamstring, D60
  • Jakob Junis (Giants): Groin, D15
  • Anthony DeSclafani (Giants): Ankle, D60
  • Alexander Cobb (Giants): Neck Strain, D15
  • Steven Duggar (Giants): Oblique, D60
  • LaMonte Wade Jr. (Giants): Left Knee, D10
  • Matthew Boyd (Giants): Elbow, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.