Giants vs Pirates Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 19

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 19, 2022, 12:00 PM
  • The Giants (37-27) are -190 favorites vs the Pirates (25-39)
  • Giants starting pitcher: Alexander Cobb (3-2), 5.73 ERA
  • Pirates starting pitcher: Mitch Keller (2-5), 5.07 ERA
  • Watch the game on SportsNet PT

The San Francisco Giants (-190) visit PNC Park to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (+155) on Sunday, June 19, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35pm EDT in Pittsburgh.

The Giants are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-115).

The Giants vs Pirates Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Giants are 37-27 against the spread (ATS), while the Pirates are 27-37 ATS.

Giants vs. Pirates Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Giants-1.5 -115O 8.5 -105-190
Pirates +1.5 -105U 8.5 -115+155

Giants vs Pirates Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Giants will win Sunday‘s matchup with 63.6% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Giants and Pirates and up-to-date player injuries.


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Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Brandon Crawford has hit the Runs Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Luis Gonzalez has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 5 games (+5.60 Units / 89% ROI)
  • Thairo Estrada has hit the Runs Over in 4 of his last 5 away games (+5.15 Units / 103% ROI)
  • Thairo Estrada has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Luis Gonzalez has hit the Hits Over in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Best Pirates Player Prop Best Bets Today

    And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Bryan Reynolds has hit the RBIs Under in his last 11 games at home (+11.00 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Ke’Bryan Hayes has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+8.75 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Jack Suwinski has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 8 games at home (+8.50 Units / 77% ROI)
  • Jack Suwinski has hit the Hits Over in his last 8 games at home (+8.00 Units / 60% ROI)
  • Ke’Bryan Hayes has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 19 games at home (+7.85 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Pirates vs Giants Home Run Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Bryan Reynolds 0.5 +600 0.5 -1600
    Cal Mitchell 0.5 +875 0.5 -5000
    Diego Castillo 0.5 +775 0.5 -3000
    Jack Suwinski 0.5 +700 0.5 -2500
    Ke'Bryan Hayes 0.5 +650 0.5 -2000

    Pirates vs Giants Total Hits Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Bryan Reynolds 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
    Cal Mitchell 0.5 -190 0.5 +130
    Diego Castillo 0.5 -165 0.5 +115
    Jack Suwinski 0.5 -165 0.5 +120
    Michael Chavis 0.5 -200 0.5 +145

    Pirates vs Giants RBI Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Bryan Reynolds 0.5 +170 0.5 -250
    Cal Mitchell 0.5 +220 0.5 -350
    Diego Castillo 0.5 +195 0.5 -300
    Jack Suwinski 0.5 +220 0.5 -350
    Ke'Bryan Hayes 0.5 +220 0.5 -350

    Pirates vs Giants Strikeout Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Alex Cobb 4.5 -130 4.5 -110
    Mitch Keller 3.5 -150 3.5 +105
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 32 of their last 56 games (+10.35 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+6.75 Units / 50% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 19 games (+6.75 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 8 games (+6.50 Units / 51% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 5 away games (+3.05 Units / 50% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Under in 31 of their last 55 games (+6.50 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 32 of their last 63 games (+4.60 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 11 of their last 23 games (+1.80 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 20 games (+0.60 Units / 3% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 18 games (+0.55 Units / 3% ROI)
  • Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 32-32 against the Run Line (-1.65 Units / -2.16% ROI).

    • 37-27 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.9 Units / -0.93% ROI
    • 31-29 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.95 Units / -1.35% ROI
    • 29-31 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.15 Units / -7.26% ROI

    Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 27-37 against the Run Line (-14.95 Units / -18.84% ROI).

    • 25-39 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.4 Units / -5.03% ROI
    • 26-33 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.85 Units / -14.12% ROI
    • 33-26 when betting on the total runs Under for +4 Units / 5.6% ROI

    Alex Cobb has allowed a BABIP of .444 vs left-handed batters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 30 total IP; League Avg: .278 — 0 Percentile.

    Opponents have a groundball rate of 65% (68/105) against Alex Cobb this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 30 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 99th Percentile.

    Alex Cobb has thrown his changeup 40% of the time (247/611) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 30 total CH; League Avg: 16% — 100th Percentile.

    Opponents have a groundball rate of 65% (124/191) against Alex Cobb on non-fastballs since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 111 total IP; League Avg: 47% — 100th Percentile.

    Mitch Keller: Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

    Opponents are hitting .419 (130-for-310) against Mitch Keller in non-two strike counts since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 111 total IP; League Avg: .331 — 0 Percentile.

    Mitch Keller has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 91.2 MPH on non-fastballs since the start of last season (226 balls in play) — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 111 total IP; League Avg: 86.9

    Mitch Keller has a first-pitch strike rate of just 45% (21/47) — 2nd lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 62% — second Percentile.

    Opponents are hitting .303 (89-for-294) against Mitch Keller’s non-fastballs since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 111 total IP; League Avg: .221 — first Percentile.

    Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates

    The Giants are 13-1 (.929) when scoring in the first inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .673.

    The Giants are 18-90 (.167) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .083.

    The Giants are 26-4 (.867) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — tied for 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .795.

    The Giants are 18-13 (.581) on the road this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .491.

    Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Giants

    The Pirates are just 70-18 (.795) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .877.

    The Pirates are just 16-3 (.842) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .901.

    The Pirates are just 2-18 (.100) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .283.

    The Pirates are just 5-17 (.227) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — tied for 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .279.

    The Giants have a winning percentage of 63% on the road since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 47%.

    Giants hitters have chased 25% of pitches out of the zone against RHP since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.

    The Giants have a winning percentage of 64% since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

    Giants hitters have drawn 232 walks in 2,342 PA’s (10%) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

    The Pirates are batting just .146 with two-strikes since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .167.

    Pirates hitters have an OPS of just .452 (4,345 PA’s) with two-strikes since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .513.

    Pirates hitters are slugging just .361 against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .409.

    The Pirates have answered-back in just 22% of innings after an opponent scores since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.

    Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Giants pitchers since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.

    Giants pitchers have walked 589 of 8,403 batters (7%) since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

    Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

    Giants pitchers have won 51% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

    Pirates pitchers have walked 190 of 1,959 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

    Pirates pitchers have walked 249 of 2,475 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of 2020 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

    Pirates pitchers have walked 235 of 2,455 batters (10%) this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

    Pirates pitchers have an ERA of 5.41 (940.0 IP) on the road since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.36.

    Pirates vs. Giants Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Tucupita Marcano (Pirates): COVID-19, D10
  • Nicolaus Mears (Pirates): Elbow, D60
  • Josh VanMeter (Pirates): Finger, D10
  • Canaan Smith-Njigba (Pirates): Wrist, D60
  • Duane Underwood Jr. (Pirates): COVID-19, D15
  • Kevin Newman (Pirates): Groin, D60
  • Jacob Marisnick (Pirates): Thumb, D10
  • Benjamin Gamel (Pirates): Hamstring, D10
  • Roberto Pérez (Pirates): Hamstring, D60
  • Dillon Peters (Pirates): Undisclosed, D15
  • Blake Cederlind (Pirates): Elbow, D60
  • Yoshitomo Tsutsugo (Pirates): Undisclosed, D10
  • Greg Allen (Pirates): Hamstring, D60
  • Jakob Junis (Giants): Groin, D15
  • Anthony DeSclafani (Giants): Ankle, D60
  • Alexander Cobb (Giants): Neck Strain, D15
  • Steven Duggar (Giants): Oblique, D60
  • LaMonte Wade Jr. (Giants): Left Knee, D10
  • Matthew Boyd (Giants): Elbow, D60

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    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.