Giants vs Pirates Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 19

min read
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 19, 2022, 11:04 AM
  • The Giants (37-27) are -190 favorites vs the Pirates (25-39)
  • Giants starting pitcher: Alexander Cobb (3-2), 5.73 ERA
  • Pirates starting pitcher: Mitch Keller (2-5), 5.07 ERA
  • Watch the game on SportsNet PT

The San Francisco Giants (-190) visit PNC Park to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (+155) on Sunday, June 19, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35pm EDT in Pittsburgh.

The Giants are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-115).

The Giants vs Pirates Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Giants are 37-27 against the spread (ATS), while the Pirates are 27-37 ATS.

Giants vs. Pirates Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Giants-1.5 -115O 8.5 -105-190
Pirates +1.5 -105U 8.5 -115+155

Giants vs Pirates Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Giants will win Sunday‘s matchup with 63.6% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Giants and Pirates and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Pirates vs Giants and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Brandon Crawford has hit the Runs Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Luis Gonzalez has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 5 games (+5.60 Units / 89% ROI)
  • Thairo Estrada has hit the Runs Over in 4 of his last 5 away games (+5.15 Units / 103% ROI)
  • Thairo Estrada has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Luis Gonzalez has hit the Hits Over in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Best Pirates Player Prop Best Bets Today

    And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Bryan Reynolds has hit the RBIs Under in his last 11 games at home (+11.00 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Ke’Bryan Hayes has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+8.75 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Jack Suwinski has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 8 games at home (+8.50 Units / 77% ROI)
  • Jack Suwinski has hit the Hits Over in his last 8 games at home (+8.00 Units / 60% ROI)
  • Ke’Bryan Hayes has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 19 games at home (+7.85 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Pirates vs Giants Home Run Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Bryan Reynolds 0.5 +600 0.5 -1600
    Cal Mitchell 0.5 +875 0.5 -5000
    Diego Castillo 0.5 +775 0.5 -3000
    Jack Suwinski 0.5 +700 0.5 -2500
    Ke'Bryan Hayes 0.5 +650 0.5 -2000

    Pirates vs Giants Total Hits Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Bryan Reynolds 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
    Cal Mitchell 0.5 -190 0.5 +130
    Diego Castillo 0.5 -165 0.5 +115
    Jack Suwinski 0.5 -165 0.5 +120
    Michael Chavis 0.5 -200 0.5 +145

    Pirates vs Giants RBI Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Bryan Reynolds 0.5 +170 0.5 -250
    Cal Mitchell 0.5 +220 0.5 -350
    Diego Castillo 0.5 +195 0.5 -300
    Jack Suwinski 0.5 +220 0.5 -350
    Ke'Bryan Hayes 0.5 +220 0.5 -350

    Pirates vs Giants Strikeout Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Alex Cobb 4.5 -130 4.5 -110
    Mitch Keller 3.5 -150 3.5 +105
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 32 of their last 56 games (+10.35 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+6.75 Units / 50% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 19 games (+6.75 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 8 games (+6.50 Units / 51% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 5 away games (+3.05 Units / 50% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Under in 31 of their last 55 games (+6.50 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 32 of their last 63 games (+4.60 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 11 of their last 23 games (+1.80 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 20 games (+0.60 Units / 3% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 18 games (+0.55 Units / 3% ROI)
  • Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 32-32 against the Run Line (-1.65 Units / -2.16% ROI).

    • 37-27 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.9 Units / -0.93% ROI
    • 31-29 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.95 Units / -1.35% ROI
    • 29-31 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.15 Units / -7.26% ROI

    Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 27-37 against the Run Line (-14.95 Units / -18.84% ROI).

    • 25-39 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.4 Units / -5.03% ROI
    • 26-33 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.85 Units / -14.12% ROI
    • 33-26 when betting on the total runs Under for +4 Units / 5.6% ROI

    Alex Cobb has allowed a BABIP of .444 vs left-handed batters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 30 total IP; League Avg: .278 — 0 Percentile.

    Opponents have a groundball rate of 65% (68/105) against Alex Cobb this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 30 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 99th Percentile.

    Alex Cobb has thrown his changeup 40% of the time (247/611) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 30 total CH; League Avg: 16% — 100th Percentile.

    Opponents have a groundball rate of 65% (124/191) against Alex Cobb on non-fastballs since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 111 total IP; League Avg: 47% — 100th Percentile.

    Mitch Keller: Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

    Opponents are hitting .419 (130-for-310) against Mitch Keller in non-two strike counts since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 111 total IP; League Avg: .331 — 0 Percentile.

    Mitch Keller has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 91.2 MPH on non-fastballs since the start of last season (226 balls in play) — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 111 total IP; League Avg: 86.9

    Mitch Keller has a first-pitch strike rate of just 45% (21/47) — 2nd lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 62% — second Percentile.

    Opponents are hitting .303 (89-for-294) against Mitch Keller’s non-fastballs since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 111 total IP; League Avg: .221 — first Percentile.

    Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates

    The Giants are 13-1 (.929) when scoring in the first inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .673.

    The Giants are 18-90 (.167) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .083.

    The Giants are 26-4 (.867) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — tied for 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .795.

    The Giants are 18-13 (.581) on the road this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .491.

    Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Giants

    The Pirates are just 70-18 (.795) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .877.

    The Pirates are just 16-3 (.842) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .901.

    The Pirates are just 2-18 (.100) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .283.

    The Pirates are just 5-17 (.227) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — tied for 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .279.

    The Giants have a winning percentage of 63% on the road since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 47%.

    Giants hitters have chased 25% of pitches out of the zone against RHP since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.

    The Giants have a winning percentage of 64% since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

    Giants hitters have drawn 232 walks in 2,342 PA’s (10%) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

    The Pirates are batting just .146 with two-strikes since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .167.

    Pirates hitters have an OPS of just .452 (4,345 PA’s) with two-strikes since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .513.

    Pirates hitters are slugging just .361 against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .409.

    The Pirates have answered-back in just 22% of innings after an opponent scores since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.

    Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Giants pitchers since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.

    Giants pitchers have walked 589 of 8,403 batters (7%) since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

    Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

    Giants pitchers have won 51% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

    Pirates pitchers have walked 190 of 1,959 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

    Pirates pitchers have walked 249 of 2,475 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of 2020 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

    Pirates pitchers have walked 235 of 2,455 batters (10%) this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

    Pirates pitchers have an ERA of 5.41 (940.0 IP) on the road since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.36.

    Pirates vs. Giants Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Tucupita Marcano (Pirates): COVID-19, D10
  • Nicolaus Mears (Pirates): Elbow, D60
  • Josh VanMeter (Pirates): Finger, D10
  • Canaan Smith-Njigba (Pirates): Wrist, D60
  • Duane Underwood Jr. (Pirates): COVID-19, D15
  • Kevin Newman (Pirates): Groin, D60
  • Jacob Marisnick (Pirates): Thumb, D10
  • Benjamin Gamel (Pirates): Hamstring, D10
  • Roberto Pérez (Pirates): Hamstring, D60
  • Dillon Peters (Pirates): Undisclosed, D15
  • Blake Cederlind (Pirates): Elbow, D60
  • Yoshitomo Tsutsugo (Pirates): Undisclosed, D10
  • Greg Allen (Pirates): Hamstring, D60
  • Jakob Junis (Giants): Groin, D15
  • Anthony DeSclafani (Giants): Ankle, D60
  • Alexander Cobb (Giants): Neck Strain, D15
  • Steven Duggar (Giants): Oblique, D60
  • LaMonte Wade Jr. (Giants): Left Knee, D10
  • Matthew Boyd (Giants): Elbow, D60

  • Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Pirates vs Giants and all MLB games with BetMGM


    Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM

    At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

    About the Author

    BetMGM Betting

    Read More @BETMGM

    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.