Giants vs Rays Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, May 1

Seattle Mariners catcher Cal Raleigh, right, watches as Tampa Bay Rays' Yandy Diaz hits a lead off single off Seattle starter Bryce Miller during the first inning of a baseball game Sunday, Sept. 10, 2023, in St. Petersburg, Fla.
(AP Photo/Steve Nesius)
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  • The Rays are -145 favorites vs the Giants
  • Giants vs Rays Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
  • Giants / Rays TV Channel: NSBA | RATV

The San Francisco Giants (+118) visit Tropicana Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (-145) on May 1, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 pm in St. Petersburg, FL.

This season, the Giants are 13-18 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 18-12 ATS.

Giants vs Rays Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Giants starting pitcher: Robbie Ray 2-3, 2.70 ERA
  • Rays starting pitcher: Shane McClanahan 2-2, 3.92 ERA

Giants vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Giants+1.5 -190O 7.5 -105+118
Rays -1.5 +155U 7.5 -115-145

Giants vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Friday‘s MLB game with 53.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today:

  • player high – away 

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • player  high – home
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 28 of their last 45 away games (+9.90 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 16 of their last 24 away games (+6.75 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.15 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Over in 22 of their last 45 away games (+2.10 Units / 4% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 13 games (+1.80 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 16 of their last 23 games (+10.70 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 23 games (+9.45 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 14 of their last 20 games at home (+7.60 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Over in 30 of their last 50 games (+7.50 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Over in 25 of their last 45 games at home (+5.20 Units / 11% ROI)

Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Giants are 13-17 against the Run Line (-9.9 Units / -22.68% ROI).

  • 13-18 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.5 Units / -13.41% ROI
  • 14-14 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.25 Units / -3.68% ROI
  • 14-14 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.45 Units / -4.24% ROI

Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rays are 18-12 against the Run Line (+6.25 Units / 15.96% ROI).

  • 18-12 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.2 Units / 17.95% ROI
  • 16-12 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.65 Units / 8.07% ROI
  • 12-16 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.95 Units / -17.95% ROI

Rays vs Giants Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Junior Caminero +300
Casey Schmitt +450
Yandy Diaz +450
Willy Adames +475
Matt Chapman +475

Rays vs Giants Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Yandy Diaz 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Luis Arraez 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Jung Hoo Lee 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Junior Caminero 0.5 -220 0.5 +165
Chandler Simpson 0.5 -210 0.5 +150

Rays vs Giants Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Ryan Vilade 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Casey Schmitt 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Taylor Walls 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Patrick Bailey 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Drew Gilbert 0.5 -190 0.5 +140

Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Rays

The Giants are just 0-14 (.000) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .150.

The Giants are just 1-7 (.125) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .302.

The Giants are just 0-15 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .112.

The Giants are just 14-50 (.219) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2025 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .254.

Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Giants

The Rays are 15-1 (.938) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .730.

The Rays are 14-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .850.

The Rays are just 77-11 (.875) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .906.

The Rays are 14-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .888.

Giants hitters have drawn walks in 6% of their PA’s against RHP this season — lowest in MLB.

Giants hitters have an OBP of just .289 (786 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB.

Giants hitter’ K:BB ratio is 3.8 against RHP this season — highest in MLB.

Giants hitters have an OBP of just .294 (1,132 PA’s) this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Rays hitters have missed on just 20% of swings this season — best in MLB.

Rays hitters have struck out in just 19% of their PA’s against RHP this season — best in MLB.

Rays hitters have put 43% of their swings in play with runners in scoring position this season — highest in MLB.

Rays hitters have put 41% of their swings in play in non-two strike counts this season — highest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB.

Giants pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into 31 double plays in 227 opportunities (14%) this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Opponents had a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers in the 2024 season — highest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Giants pitchers since the 2024 season — highest in MLB.

Rays pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% versus the bottom of the order this season — lowest in MLB.

Rays pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Rays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% with runners in scoring position since the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Rays pitchers have a first-pitch strike rate of 64% this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.