- The Giants are +110 favorites vs the Rays
- Giants vs Rays Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Giants / Rays TV Channel: NSBA | RATV
The San Francisco Giants (+110) visit Tropicana Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (-130) on May 3, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 1:40 pm in St. Petersburg, FL.
This season, the Giants are 13-20 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 20-12 ATS.
Giants vs Rays Starting Pitchers Today:
- Giants starting pitcher: Tyler Mahle 1-4, 5.94 ERA
- Rays starting pitcher: Steven Matz 4-1, 4.36 ERA
Giants vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Giants | -1.5 +165 | O 8 +100 | +110 |
| Rays | +1.5 -220 | U 8 -120 | -130 |
Giants vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 51.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today:
- Willy Adames has hit the Walks Under in 18 of his last 20 games (+13.30 Units / 32% ROI)
- Rafael Devers has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+12.65 Units / 38% ROI)
- Willy Adames has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 25 away games (+10.20 Units / 33% ROI)
- Jung Hoo Lee has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 20 games (+8.60 Units / 35% ROI)
- Heliot Ramos has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 8 away games (+7.10 Units / 89% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jonathan Aranda has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 games (+12.10 Units / 134% ROI)
- Junior Caminero has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+9.90 Units / 34% ROI)
- Chandler Simpson has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+8.75 Units / 24% ROI)
- Chandler Simpson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 20 games at home (+8.20 Units / 31% ROI)
- Jonathan Aranda has hit the RBIs Over in 6 of his last 9 games (+8.05 Units / 89% ROI)
Giants Best Bets Today:
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 15 of their last 21 away games (+8.25 Units / 34% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 29 of their last 50 away games (+5.30 Units / 9% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.90 Units / 58% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the Run Line in 25 of their last 45 away games (+1.60 Units / 3% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 18 of their last 25 games (+13.30 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 25 games (+11.45 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 21 of their last 30 games at home (+11.15 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 19 of their last 30 games at home (+8.30 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Over in 30 of their last 50 games (+7.20 Units / 12% ROI)
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Giants are 13-19 against the Run Line (-12.75 Units / -27.42% ROI).
- 13-20 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.6 Units / -18.51% ROI
- 14-16 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.45 Units / -9.53% ROI
- 16-14 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.55 Units / 1.51% ROI
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rays are 20-12 against the Run Line (+8.85 Units / 21.12% ROI).
- 20-12 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.2 Units / 22.13% ROI
- 16-14 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.45 Units / 1.28% ROI
- 14-16 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.95 Units / -11.17% ROI
Rays vs Giants Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Yes | |
|---|---|
| Junior Caminero | +325 |
| Heliot Ramos | +425 |
| Willy Adames | +450 |
| Rafael Devers | +550 |
| Jonathan Aranda | +575 |
Rays vs Giants Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Junior Caminero | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Heliot Ramos | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +170 |
| Casey Schmitt | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Matt Chapman | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Jung Hoo Lee | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
Rays vs Giants Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Aranda | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Matt Chapman | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Cedric Mullins | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
| Casey Schmitt | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Jerar Encarnacion | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Giants are just 6-13 (.316) after a loss this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .472.
The Giants are just 1-8 (.111) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .296.
The Giants are just 78-7 (.918) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .954.
The Giants are just 9-3 (.750) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .853.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Rays are 14-5 (.737) after a win this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .528.
The Rays are 16-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .853.
The Rays are 17-1 (.944) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .728.
The Rays are 20-12 (.625) this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
Giants hitters have an OBP of just .285 (822 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB.
Giants hitters have drawn walks in 6% of their PA’s against RHP this season — lowest in MLB.
Giants hitters have drawn walks in 6% of their PA’s this season — lowest in MLB.
Giants hitter’ K:BB ratio is 4.0 against RHP this season — highest in MLB.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters have missed on just 20% of swings this season — best in MLB.
Rays hitters are slugging .298 on pitches out of the zone this season — 2nd best in MLB.
Rays hitters have a Hard-Hit Rate of just 33% this season — lowest in MLB.
Rays hitters have put 43% of their swings in play with runners in scoring position this season — highest in MLB.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers in the 2024 season — highest in MLB.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Giants pitchers since the 2025 season — 3rd highest in MLB.
Giants pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into 31 double plays in 238 opportunities (13%) this season — 2nd best in MLB.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
Rays pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% versus the bottom of the order this season — lowest in MLB.
Rays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% with runners in scoring position since the 2025 season — best in MLB.
The Rays have allowed 1.88 runs per game (60/32) in the first 5 innings this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB.
Rays pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
More MLB Reading:
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