Giants vs Red Sox Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 23

(AP Photo/Michael Dwyer)
Sportsbook Promos
  • The Red Sox are -220 favorites vs the Giants
  • Giants vs Red Sox Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
  • Giants / Red Sox TV Channel: NBC | PEAC

The San Francisco Giants (+180) visit Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox (-220) on August 23, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 3:15 pm in Boston, MA.

This season, the Giants are against the spread (ATS), while the Red Sox are ATS.

Giants vs Red Sox Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Giants starting pitcher: Matthew Wilkinson 0-0, 0.00 ERA
  • Red Sox starting pitcher: Jake Bennett 7-6, 3.46 ERA

Giants vs. Red Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Giants+1.5 -110O 8.5 -115+180
Red Sox -1.5 -110U 8.5 -105-220

Giants vs Red Sox Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 72.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Drew Gilbert has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 games (+22.00 Units / 244% ROI)
  • Willy Adames has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 25 away games (+9.50 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Rafael Devers has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+9.15 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Willy Adames has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 25 away games (+8.20 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Drew Cavanaugh has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 25 games (+7.95 Units / 29% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Red Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Mickey Gasper has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 5 games (+21.50 Units / 430% ROI)
  • Wilyer Abreu has hit the Walks Over in 9 of his last 10 games at home (+13.95 Units / 139% ROI)
  • Caleb Durbin has hit the Runs Over in 16 of his last 25 games (+13.20 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Nick Sogard has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+10.05 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Andruw Monasterio has hit the RBIs Over in 7 of his last 10 games at home (+9.90 Units / 99% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 17 of their last 35 games (+7.45 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 14 games (+6.10 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 29 of their last 50 away games (+6.10 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Over in 22 of their last 45 away games (+4.50 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 5 of their last 7 games (+3.45 Units / 48% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 50 games (+19.05 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 30 of their last 50 games (+15.95 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 33 of their last 50 games (+14.95 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Over in 33 of their last 50 games (+14.20 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 31 of their last 50 games (+10.25 Units / 18% ROI)

Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Giants are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

  • away moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
  • away total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
  • away total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

  • home moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
  • home total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
  • home total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Red Sox vs Giants Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Willson Contreras +350
Wilyer Abreu +390
Willy Adames +400
Rafael Devers +425
Victor Bericoto +475

Red Sox vs Giants Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Willson Contreras 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Andruw Monasterio 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Jung Hoo Lee 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Adley Rutschman 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Rafael Devers 0.5 -210 0.5 +155

Red Sox vs Giants Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Willson Contreras 0.5 -185 0.5 +135
Jahmai Jones 0.5 -175 0.5 +130
Christian Koss 0.5 -165 0.5 +125
Wilyer Abreu 0.5 -160 0.5 +120
Jake Bennett 4.5 -160 4.5 +120

Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox

The Giants are just 1-57 (.017) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB.

The Giants are just 1-60 (.016) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB.

The Giants are just 16-25 (.390) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses this season Today, they face the Red Sox (13th in runs scored).

The Giants are just 16-69 (.188) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — lowest in MLB.

Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Giants

The Red Sox are 61-2 (.968) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 4th best in MLB.

The Red Sox are just 4-9 (.308) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

The Red Sox are 132-6 (.957) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season — best in MLB.

The Red Sox are 138-3 (.979) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2025 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB.

Giants hitters have drawn walks in 7% of their PA’s this season — lowest in MLB.

30% of Giants hitters strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — highest in MLB.

The Giants are just 1-57 (.017) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB.

Giants hitters have struck out in just 20% of their PA’s against RHP this season — 4th best in MLB.

The Red Sox have a winning percentage of 58% on the road this season — 4th best in MLB.

The Red Sox are batting .180 on pitches out of the zone this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Red Sox hitters are slugging .251 on pitches out of the zone this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Red Sox are batting .284 in lefty-lefty matchups this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB.

Giants pitchers have thrown at least two strikes in their first three pitches to 59% of opposing batters this season — lowest in MLB.

Giants pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB.

Giants pitchers have won only 16% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Red Sox pitchers have walked 8% of batters this season — 3rd best in MLB.

The Red Sox have allowed 3.58 runs per game (229/64) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Red Sox pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 4th best in MLB.

Red Sox pitchers have an ERA of 3.43 (554.1 IP) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.