- The Giants are -135 favorites vs the Reds
- Giants starting pitcher: Anthony DeSclafani
- Reds starting pitcher: Luke Weaver
- Watch the game on BSOH
The San Francisco Giants (-135) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (+115) on Tuesday, July 18, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Cincinnati.
The Giants are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+110).
The Giants vs Reds Over/Under is 11 total runs for the game.
This season, the Giants are 52-41 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 58-36 ATS.
Giants vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Giants | -1.5 +110 | O 11 -115 | -135 |
| Reds | +1.5 -135 | U 11 -105 | +115 |
Giants vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Giants will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 65.3% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Giants and Reds and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today:
- Joc Pederson has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 15 away games (+15.35 Units / 67% ROI)
- Logan Webb has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 14 of his last 17 games (+12.35 Units / 59% ROI)
- Blake Sabol has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 15 away games (+10.25 Units / 50% ROI)
- Casey Schmitt has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 14 games (+10.15 Units / 49% ROI)
- Casey Schmitt has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.15 Units / 48% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jonathan India has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 21 games (+14.55 Units / 42% ROI)
- Matt McLain has hit the Total Bases Over in 29 of his last 47 games (+13.10 Units / 23% ROI)
- Jonathan India has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 20 games (+10.30 Units / 47% ROI)
- Elly De La Cruz has hit the Hits Under in 7 of his last 8 games at home (+10.05 Units / 89% ROI)
- TJ Friedl has hit the Runs Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+9.70 Units / 51% ROI)
Reds vs Giants Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Crawford | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Mike Yastrzemski | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -450 |
| Blake Sabol | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -650 |
| Brett Wisely | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| J.D. Davis | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -500 |
Reds vs Giants Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Crawford | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
| Mike Yastrzemski | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Blake Sabol | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Brett Wisely | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
| J.D. Davis | 1.5 +190 | 1.5 -250 |
Reds vs Giants RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Crawford | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Mike Yastrzemski | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Blake Sabol | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Brett Wisely | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| J.D. Davis | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
Reds vs Giants Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony DeSclafani | 3.5 -105 | 3.5 -120 |
| Luke Weaver | 3.5 -145 | 3.5 +110 |
Giants Best Bets Today:
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 31 away games (+15.35 Units / 41% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 30 of their last 46 games (+12.30 Units / 23% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the Run Line in 42 of their last 74 games (+10.80 Units / 12% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 43 of their last 79 games (+7.10 Units / 8% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.35 Units / 29% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 43 of their last 72 games (+21.85 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 58 of their last 93 games (+20.20 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 39 of their last 63 games (+12.00 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 29 of their last 47 games at home (+11.05 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Over in 30 of their last 48 games (+10.00 Units / 18% ROI)
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 49-44 against the Run Line (+2.9 Units / 2.4% ROI).
- 52-41 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.95 Units / 3.31% ROI
- 42-48 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.95 Units / -10.66% ROI
- 48-42 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.25 Units / 2.21% ROI
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Reds have gone 58-36 against the Run Line (+19.2 Units / 15.95% ROI).
- 50-44 when betting on the Moneyline for +14.45 Units / 14.04% ROI
- 53-41 when betting on the total runs Over for +8.3 Units / 8.05% ROI
- 41-53 when betting on the total runs Under for -17.25 Units / -16.62% ROI
Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Anthony DeSclafani has thrown his slider 47% of the time (486/1,034) in non-two strike counts this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Anthony DeSclafani has thrown off-speed pitches 65% of the time (252/386) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: 42% — 100th Percentile.
Anthony DeSclafani has thrown his slider 48% of the time (187/386) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Anthony DeSclafani has walked 18 of 386 batters (5%) this season — tied for 9th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 88th Percentile.
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Luke Weaver has an ERA of 6.85 (109.0 IP)since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 101 total IP; League Avg: 3.96 — 0 Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting .339 (57-for-168) against Luke Weaver this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 36 total IP; League Avg: .249 — first Percentile.
Luke Weaver has allowed an OPS of .905 (509 PA’s) since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 101 total IP; League Avg: .710 — 0 Percentile.
Luke Weaver has allowed an OPS of .776 (170 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 36 total IP; League Avg: .523 — 0 Percentile.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Giants are 30-24 (.556) after a win as underdogs since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .415.
The Giants are 11-29 (.275) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .148.
The Giants are 16-7 (.696) after a road win this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .499.
The Giants are 37-56 (.398) when allowing 10 or more hits since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .271.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Reds are just 10-15 (.400) after a loss as favorites since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .589.
The Reds are 20-8 (.714) after a road win this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .499.
The Reds are just 31-36 (.463) when they’ve scored in the first inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .644.
The Reds are 18-31 (.367) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .215.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
Giants hitters have just 10 strikeouts in 127 PA’s (8%) against LHP over the last 14 days (6 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Giants are batting .368 on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .341.
Giants hitters have an OBP of .356 (455 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .327.
Giants hitters have 725 strikeouts in 2,937 PA’s (25%) against LHP since last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
Reds hitters have a swing rate of just 26% on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
Reds hitters have 37 strikeouts in 99 PA’s (37%) over the past seven days (3 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Reds are batting .380 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .350.
The Reds are batting just .327 on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .341.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Giants pitchers have walked 251 of 3,502 batters (7%) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers since the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Reds pitchers have won 54% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .302 against Reds pitchers with runners on base since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .252.
Reds pitchers have walked 964 of 9,908 batters (10%) since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Reds pitchers since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Reds vs. Giants Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Kevin Newman (Reds): Gastritis, D10
- Tejay Antone (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Justin Dunn (Reds): Shoulder, D60
- Connor Overton (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Nicholas Lodolo (Reds): Calf, D60
- Christian Greene (Reds): Hip, D15
- Reiver Sanmartin (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Vladimir Gutierrez (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Edward Lively (Reds): Cramps, Day-to-Day
- Casey Legumina (Reds): Shoulder, D15
- Roberto Pérez (Giants): Shoulder, D60
- Heliot Ramos (Giants): Oblique, D60
- John Brebbia (Giants): Lat, D15
- Anthony DeSclafani (Giants): Shoulder, D15
- Mitchell Haniger (Giants): Forearm, D60
- Luis González (Giants): Back, D60
- Thomas Szapucki (Giants): Arm, D60
- Thairo Estrada (Giants): Hand, D10
- Luke Jackson (Giants): Back, D15
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