- The Giants are -110 favorites vs the Reds
- Giants starting pitcher: Thomas Stripling
- Reds starting pitcher: Douglas Ashcraft
- Watch the game on BSOH
The San Francisco Giants (-110) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (-110) on Wednesday, July 19, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Cincinnati.
The Giants are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+140).
The Giants vs Reds Over/Under is 10.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Giants are 54-41 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 59-37 ATS.
Giants vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Giants | -1.5 +140 | O 10.5 -115 | -110 |
| Reds | +1.5 -165 | U 10.5 -105 | -110 |
Giants vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Giants will win Wednesday‘s MLB matchup with 54.7% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Giants and Reds and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today:
- Joc Pederson has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 16 away games (+16.35 Units / 68% ROI)
- Logan Webb has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 15 of his last 18 games (+13.35 Units / 59% ROI)
- Casey Schmitt has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+12.65 Units / 43% ROI)
- Casey Schmitt has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 19 games (+11.70 Units / 45% ROI)
- Casey Schmitt has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 16 games (+11.50 Units / 72% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Matt McLain has hit the Total Bases Over in 31 of his last 49 games (+15.75 Units / 26% ROI)
- Jonathan India has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 23 games (+13.50 Units / 35% ROI)
- Elly De La Cruz has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 10 games at home (+12.05 Units / 75% ROI)
- Joey Votto has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 15 games (+12.00 Units / 44% ROI)
- Elly De La Cruz has hit the Runs Over in 22 of his last 35 games (+9.40 Units / 25% ROI)
Reds vs Giants Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Stephenson | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| TJ Friedl | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Elly De La Cruz | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Joey Votto | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -450 |
| Mike Yastrzemski | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -650 |
Reds vs Giants Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Stephenson | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| TJ Friedl | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Elly De La Cruz | 1.5 +175 | 1.5 -250 |
| Joey Votto | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Mike Yastrzemski | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Reds vs Giants RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Stephenson | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| TJ Friedl | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -250 |
| Elly De La Cruz | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Joey Votto | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Mike Yastrzemski | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
Reds vs Giants Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ross Stripling | 4.5 +100 | 4.5 -130 |
| Graham Ashcraft | 4.5 +100 | 4.5 -130 |
Giants Best Bets Today:
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 33 away games (+17.35 Units / 43% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 31 of their last 48 games (+12.30 Units / 22% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the Run Line in 43 of their last 76 games (+10.80 Units / 11% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 44 of their last 81 games (+7.10 Units / 8% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.20 Units / 25% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 59 of their last 95 games (+20.05 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 43 of their last 74 games (+19.85 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 41 of their last 65 games (+14.00 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 30 of their last 49 games at home (+10.95 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Over in 31 of their last 50 games (+9.70 Units / 16% ROI)
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 50-45 against the Run Line (+2.9 Units / 2.36% ROI).
- 54-41 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.95 Units / 4.87% ROI
- 43-49 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.05 Units / -10.52% ROI
- 49-43 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.25 Units / 2.16% ROI
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Reds have gone 59-37 against the Run Line (+19.05 Units / 15.5% ROI).
- 50-46 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.45 Units / 11.86% ROI
- 54-42 when betting on the total runs Over for +8.2 Units / 7.78% ROI
- 42-54 when betting on the total runs Under for -17.25 Units / -16.29% ROI
Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Left-handed hitters have a line drive rate of 30% (68/226) against Ross Stripling since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 102 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 0 Percentile.
Kyle Hendricks has averaged 86.7 MPH on fastballs in 2022 — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 93.4 — 0 Percentile.
Ross Stripling’s has 9 strikeouts and no walks — tied for best in MLB K:BB ratio over the last two weeks; League Avg: 3.2 — 100th Percentile.
Ross Stripling has a first-pitch strike rate of 69% (509/736) since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 102 total IP; League Avg: 62% — 100th Percentile.
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Graham Ashcraft has an ERA of 7.71 (79.1 IP) against division opponents since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 102 total IP; League Avg: 3.96 — 0 Percentile.
Graham Ashcraft has allowed an OBP of .478 (23 PA’s) with two-strikes over the last 14 days (2 games) — 2nd highest in NL over the last two weeks; League Avg: .243 — fourth Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting .314 (130-for-414) against Graham Ashcraft since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 102 total IP; League Avg: .249 — first Percentile.
Graham Ashcraft has allowed an OBP of .478 (23 PA’s) with two-strikes — 2nd highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .244 — second Percentile.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Giants are 8-35 (.186) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .104.
The Giants are 11-29 (.275) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .147.
The Giants are 39-23 (.629) after a road win since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .495.
The Giants are 7-3 (.700) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Reds are just 31-38 (.449) when they’ve scored in the first inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .643.
The Reds are 18-32 (.360) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .216.
The Reds were just 17-21 (.447) when hitting 2 or more home runs in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .707.
The Reds are 36-2 (.947) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .896.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
Giants hitters have just 16 strikeouts in 158 PA’s (10%) against LHP over the last 14 days (8 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Giants hitters have 731 strikeouts in 2,968 PA’s (25%) against LHP since last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Giants hitters have an OBP of .356 (461 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .327.
Giants hitters have an OBP of .334 (1,914 PA’s) on the road this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
The Reds are batting just .116 with two-strikes over the last 14 days (10 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .176.
Reds hitters have chased 25% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Reds hitters have a swing rate of just 26% on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
Reds hitters are slugging just .408 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .444.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers since the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Giants pitchers have walked 255 of 3,578 batters (7%) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Reds pitchers have walked 976 of 9,995 batters (10%) since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .300 against Reds pitchers with runners on base since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .252.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Reds pitchers since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Reds pitchers have walked 209 of 2,287 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Reds vs. Giants Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Kevin Newman (Reds): Gastritis, D10
- Tejay Antone (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Justin Dunn (Reds): Shoulder, D60
- Connor Overton (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Nicholas Lodolo (Reds): Calf, D60
- Christian Greene (Reds): Hip, D15
- Reiver Sanmartin (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Vladimir Gutierrez (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Edward Lively (Reds): Cramps, Day-to-Day
- Casey Legumina (Reds): Shoulder, D15
- Luke Weaver (Reds): Elbow, Day-to-Day
- LaMonte Wade Jr. (Giants): Hamstring, Day-to-Day
- Roberto Pérez (Giants): Shoulder, D60
- John Brebbia (Giants): Lat, D15
- Brandon Crawford (Giants): Knee, Day-to-Day
- Mitchell Haniger (Giants): Forearm, D60
- Luis González (Giants): Back, D60
- Thomas Szapucki (Giants): Arm, D60
- Thairo Estrada (Giants): Hand, D10
- Cole Waites (Giants): Elbow, D60
- Luke Jackson (Giants): Back, D15
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