- The – are favorites vs the –
- Giants starting pitcher: Alexander Cobb
- Reds starting pitcher: Andrew Abbott
- Watch the game on BSOH
The San Francisco Giants () visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds () on Thursday, July 20, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 12:35pm EDT in Cincinnati.
The – are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at ().
The Giants vs Reds Over/Under is total runs for the game.
This season, the Giants are 54-42 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 60-37 ATS.
Giants vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Giants | O | ||
| Reds | U |
Giants vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Giants will win Thursday‘s MLB matchup with 54.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Giants and Reds and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Giants vs Reds and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today:
- Joc Pederson has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 17 away games (+17.35 Units / 68% ROI)
- Casey Schmitt has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 21 games (+14.00 Units / 47% ROI)
- Logan Webb has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 15 of his last 18 games (+13.35 Units / 59% ROI)
- Casey Schmitt has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 17 games (+12.70 Units / 75% ROI)
- Casey Schmitt has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+12.70 Units / 47% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Matt McLain has hit the Total Bases Over in 31 of his last 50 games (+14.75 Units / 24% ROI)
- Jonathan India has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 23 games (+13.50 Units / 35% ROI)
- Elly De La Cruz has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 11 games at home (+13.05 Units / 71% ROI)
- Joey Votto has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 16 games (+13.00 Units / 45% ROI)
- TJ Friedl has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.25 Units / 44% ROI)
Reds vs Giants Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| TJ Friedl | 0.5 +850 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Jonathan India | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Elly De La Cruz | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Joey Votto | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -700 |
| Joc Pederson | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -700 |
Reds vs Giants Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| TJ Friedl | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Jonathan India | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Elly De La Cruz | 1.5 +165 | 1.5 -225 |
| Joey Votto | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Joc Pederson | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +130 |
Reds vs Giants RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| TJ Friedl | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| Jonathan India | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Elly De La Cruz | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Joey Votto | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Joc Pederson | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
Reds vs Giants Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Cobb | 5.5 +115 | 5.5 -150 |
| Andrew Abbott | 5.5 -150 | 5.5 +110 |
Giants Best Bets Today:
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 34 away games (+16.25 Units / 39% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 32 of their last 49 games (+13.30 Units / 23% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the Run Line in 43 of their last 77 games (+9.80 Units / 10% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 45 of their last 82 games (+8.10 Units / 9% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 19 games (+6.20 Units / 28% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 60 of their last 96 games (+21.05 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 44 of their last 75 games (+20.85 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 42 of their last 66 games (+15.15 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 31 of their last 50 games at home (+11.95 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Over in 31 of their last 51 games (+8.70 Units / 14% ROI)
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 50-46 against the Run Line (+1.9 Units / 1.54% ROI).
- 54-42 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.85 Units / 3.94% ROI
- 43-50 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.15 Units / -11.45% ROI
- 50-43 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.25 Units / 3.09% ROI
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Reds have gone 60-37 against the Run Line (+20.05 Units / 16.09% ROI).
- 51-46 when betting on the Moneyline for +13.45 Units / 12.68% ROI
- 54-43 when betting on the total runs Over for +7.1 Units / 6.67% ROI
- 43-54 when betting on the total runs Under for -16.25 Units / -15.19% ROI
Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Alex Cobb has thrown his changeup 46% of the time (357/772) vs left-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 20% — 100th Percentile.
Alex Cobb has allowed an OPS of just .425 (108 PA’s) with runners in scoring position this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .701 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 59% (62/105) against Alex Cobb in two-strike counts this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .182 (6-for-33) against Alex Cobb on low fastballs this season — tied for 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .259 — 94th Percentile.
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 14% (10/70) against Andrew Abbott over the last 30 days (5 games) — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .077 (2 GB hits out of 26 GBs) against Andrew Abbott this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 37 total IP; League Avg: .244 — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 11% (3/27) against Andrew Abbott — tied for lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 43% — second Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 22% (26/120) against Andrew Abbott this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 37 total IP; League Avg: 42% — 0 Percentile.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Giants are 8-36 (.182) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .103.
The Giants are 30-24 (.556) after a win as underdogs since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .417.
The Giants are 39-24 (.619) after a road win since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .495.
The Giants are 11-30 (.268) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .146.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Reds are 20-8 (.714) after a road win this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .498.
The Reds are 8-37 (.178) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .103.
The Reds are 18-32 (.360) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .216.
The Reds are just 31-38 (.449) when they’ve scored in the first inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .643.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
Giants hitters have just 16 strikeouts in 136 PA’s (12%) against LHP over the last 14 days (7 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Giants are batting .367 on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .341.
Giants hitters have 655 strikeouts in 2,641 PA’s (25%) against RHP this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Giants hitters have 2,369 strikeouts in 9,794 PA’s (24%) since last season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
The Reds are batting just .093 with two-strikes over the last 14 days (10 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .173.
Reds hitters are slugging just .137 with two-strikes over the last 14 days (10 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .278.
Reds hitters have an OBP of .330 (2,752 PA’s) against RHP this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .319.
Reds hitters have an OBP of .339 (1,866 PA’s) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Giants pitchers have walked 255 of 3,606 batters (7%) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers since the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Reds pitchers have won 54% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .299 against Reds pitchers with runners on base since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .252.
Reds pitchers have walked 978 of 10,030 batters (10%) since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Reds pitchers since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Reds vs. Giants Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Kevin Newman (Reds): Gastritis, D10
- Tejay Antone (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Justin Dunn (Reds): Shoulder, D60
- Connor Overton (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Nicholas Lodolo (Reds): Calf, D60
- Christian Greene (Reds): Hip, D15
- Reiver Sanmartin (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Vladimir Gutierrez (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Edward Lively (Reds): Cramps, Day-to-Day
- Casey Legumina (Reds): Shoulder, D15
- Luke Weaver (Reds): Elbow, Day-to-Day
- LaMonte Wade Jr. (Giants): Hamstring, Day-to-Day
- Roberto Pérez (Giants): Shoulder, D60
- Jonathan Davis (Giants): Illness, Day-to-Day
- John Brebbia (Giants): Lat, D15
- Brandon Crawford (Giants): Knee, D10
- Mitchell Haniger (Giants): Forearm, D60
- Luis González (Giants): Back, D60
- Thomas Szapucki (Giants): Arm, D60
- Thairo Estrada (Giants): Hand, D10
- Cole Waites (Giants): Elbow, D60
- Luke Jackson (Giants): Back, D15
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