- The Reds are -115 favorites vs the Giants
- Giants starting pitcher: Kyle Harrison, 18.00 ERA
- Reds starting pitcher: Douglas Ashcraft, 9.00 ERA
The San Francisco Giants (-105) visit Goodyear Ballpark to take on the Cincinnati Reds (-115) on Tuesday, March 7, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 3:05pm EST in Goodyear.
The Reds are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+150).
The Giants vs Reds Over/Under is 11 total runs for the game.
During Spring Training, the Giants are 2-5 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 2-4 ATS.
Giants vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Giants | +1.5 -185 | O 11 -115 | -105 |
| Reds | -1.5 +150 | U 11 -105 | -115 |
Giants vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Reds will win Tuesday‘s Spring Training matchup with 55.6% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Giants and Reds and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today:
- Heliot Ramos has hit the Hits Under in his last 5 games (+5.20 Units / 87% ROI)
- Heliot Ramos has hit the Singles Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 47% ROI)
- Austin Slater has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 4 of his last 5 away games (+2.75 Units / 47% ROI)
- Brandon Crawford has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 6 of his last 9 games (+2.25 Units / 20% ROI)
- LaMonte Wade Jr has hit the Singles Over in 3 of his last 5 away games (+2.05 Units / 39% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Albert Almora Jr. has hit the RBIs Under in his last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 37% ROI)
- Alejo Lopez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 4 of his last 6 games at home (+1.80 Units / 29% ROI)
Giants Best Bets Today:
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 62 of their last 109 games (+10.00 Units / 8% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 78 of their last 154 games (+9.45 Units / 6% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 35 games (+9.40 Units / 22% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 24 games (+8.80 Units / 29% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 27 games (+6.05 Units / 21% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 24 games (+16.41 Units / 60% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 41 of their last 70 games (+13.65 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 73 of their last 134 games (+12.70 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 16 games (+8.30 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 20 of their last 34 games (+6.30 Units / 17% ROI)
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 2-5 against the Run Line (-3.65 Units / -42.2% ROI).
- 2-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.05 Units / -47.65% ROI
- 5-2 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.8 Units / 36.13% ROI
- 2-5 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.45 Units / -45.1% ROI
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Reds have gone 2-4 against the Run Line (-2.15 Units / -31.16% ROI).
- 2-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.75 Units / -11.03% ROI
- 3-3 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.45 Units / -6.72% ROI
- 3-3 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.35 Units / -5.38% ROI
Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Scott Alexander has not allowed a walk in any of his last five starts — John Brebbia has the longest active streak at 8.
Right-handed hitters had a groundball rate of 81% (21/26) against Scott Alexander over the last 30 days of the regular season (12 games) — highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.
Scott Alexander has not allowed a walk in his last 68 PAs against a LHH dating back to April 1st, 2021 — Corbin Burnes has the longest active streak at 77.
Scott Alexander struck out just 4% (1/28) of right-handed batters he faced over the last 30 days of the regular season (12 games) — lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 26% — 0 Percentile.
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Graham Ashcraft threw fastballs 77% of the time (989/1,286) in non-two strike counts last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 50% — 100th Percentile.
Graham Ashcraft had an ERA of 8.37 (47.1 IP) against division opponents last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 3.93 — 0 Percentile.
Graham Ashcraft has not allowed a hit in the first inning in any of his last five games dating back to August 13rd, 2022 — Nick Lodolo has the longest active streak at 8.
Opponents had a miss rate of just 14% (28/202) against Graham Ashcraft on elevated fastballs last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 26% — first Percentile.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Giants are 25-4 (.862) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits last season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .802.
The Giants are 24-134 (.152) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .086.
The Giants are 28-11 (.718) when scoring in the first inning last season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .664.
The Giants are 8-65 (.110) when trailing entering the 8th inning last season — tied for 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .085.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Reds are just 6-78 (.071) when trailing entering the 7th inning last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .119.
The Reds are just 6-176 (.033) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .086.
The Reds are just 11-76 (.126) when allowing 5 or more runs last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .195.
The Reds are just 24-83 (.224) when scoring 4 or fewer runs last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .296.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
The Giants batted just .216 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .265.
The Giants batted .368 on the first pitch of at-bats last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .336.
Giants hitters have chased 26% of pitches out of the zone against RHP since the start of the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Giants hitters slugged .624 on the first pitch of at-bats last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .560.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
The Reds batted just .298 on the first pitch of at-bats last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .336.
Reds hitters slugged just .366 against RHP last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .393.
Reds hitters have an OBP of .334 (6,050 PA’s) at home since the start of the 2021 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .320.
Reds hitters had a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 36% against RHP in 2022 — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Giants pitchers since the start of the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Giants pitchers have walked 177 of 2,900 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of the 2021 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Giants pitchers have walked 857 of 12,072 batters (7%) since the start of the 2021 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Reds pitchers have walked 1,229 of 12,419 batters (10%) since the start of the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Reds pitchers walked 612 of 6,220 batters (10%) last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Reds pitchers have walked 1,442 of 14,544 batters (10%) since the start of 2020 — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents had a groundball batting average of .299 against Reds pitchers with runners on base last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Reds vs. Giants Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Vladimir Gutierrez (Reds): Elbow, D60
- San Francisco Giants – No Injuries Reported
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