- The Giants are -250 favorites vs the Rockies
- Giants starting pitcher: Logan Webb
- Rockies starting pitcher: Robert Anderson
- Watch the game on SportsNet RM
The San Francisco Giants (-250) visit Coors Field to take on the Colorado Rockies (+200) on Thursday, September 14, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 8:40pm EDT in Denver.
The Giants are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -2.5 (-105).
The Giants vs Rockies Over/Under is 10.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Giants are 75-71 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 70-75 ATS.
Giants vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Giants | -2.5 -105 | O 10.5 -115 | -250 |
| Rockies | +2.5 -115 | U 10.5 -105 | +200 |
Giants vs Rockies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Giants will win Thursday‘s MLB matchup with 86.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Giants and Rockies and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today:
- Joc Pederson has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 22 away games (+13.05 Units / 43% ROI)
- Logan Webb has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 20 of his last 28 games (+12.45 Units / 35% ROI)
- Thairo Estrada has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 28 games (+11.85 Units / 23% ROI)
- Casey Schmitt has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 26 games (+11.20 Units / 28% ROI)
- Casey Schmitt has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 24 away games (+10.80 Units / 33% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Brenton Doyle has hit the Singles Under in 22 of his last 25 games at home (+16.85 Units / 40% ROI)
- Brenton Doyle has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 24 games at home (+14.55 Units / 61% ROI)
- Harold Castro has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 19 games at home (+11.60 Units / 31% ROI)
- Harold Castro has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+10.35 Units / 22% ROI)
- Elehuris Montero has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 16 games at home (+10.15 Units / 55% ROI)
Rockies vs Giants Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Crawford | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Brenton Doyle | 0.5 +900 | 0.5 -10000 |
| Mike Yastrzemski | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -600 |
| Charlie Blackmon | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Elias Diaz | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -3000 |
Rockies vs Giants Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Crawford | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
| Brenton Doyle | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Mike Yastrzemski | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Charlie Blackmon | 1.5 +170 | 1.5 -225 |
| Elias Diaz | 1.5 +170 | 1.5 -225 |
Rockies vs Giants RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Crawford | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Brenton Doyle | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| Mike Yastrzemski | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Charlie Blackmon | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Elias Diaz | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
Rockies vs Giants Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Chase Anderson | 3.5 +115 | 3.5 -150 |
| Logan Webb | 4.5 -125 | 4.5 -105 |
Giants Best Bets Today:
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 61 of their last 99 games (+18.83 Units / 16% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 75 of their last 132 games (+16.40 Units / 11% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 42 of their last 69 games (+12.13 Units / 15% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.35 Units / 29% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+1.64 Units / 18% ROI)
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 26 of their last 54 games (+17.61 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 32 of their last 55 games (+13.38 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 18 of their last 25 games (+10.95 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Under in 39 of their last 64 games at home (+10.65 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 73 of their last 133 games (+8.60 Units / 6% ROI)
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 68-78 against the Run Line (-18.25 Units / -9.67% ROI).
- 75-71 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.9 Units / -4.16% ROI
- 63-80 when betting on the total runs Over for -26 Units / -16.02% ROI
- 80-63 when betting on the total runs Under for +11.55 Units / 7.26% ROI
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rockies have gone 70-75 against the Run Line (-6.75 Units / -4.09% ROI).
- 53-92 when betting on the Moneyline for -16.55 Units / -11.09% ROI
- 66-78 when betting on the total runs Over for -19.75 Units / -12.31% ROI
- 78-66 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.3 Units / 3.97% ROI
Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 62% (341/551) against Logan Webb this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 64% (181/282) against Logan Webb this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 58 total IP; League Avg: 42% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 88% (14/16) against Logan Webb — highest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.
Logan Webb has thrown his changeup 38% of the time (754/2,003) in non-two strike counts this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 15% — 100th Percentile.
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 33% (71/218) against Chase Anderson this season — tied for 5th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 58 total IP; League Avg: 41% — 97th Percentile.
Chase Anderson has an ERA of 6.49 (68.0 IP)this season — 13th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 58 total IP; League Avg: 4.32 — seventh Percentile.
Chase Anderson has allowed a slugging percentage of .773 (116 Total Bases / 150 ABs) in non-two strike counts this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 58 total IP; League Avg: .589 — second Percentile.
Chase Anderson has located his breaking pitches away 70% of the time (98/140) this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 58 total IP; League Avg: 49% — 99th Percentile.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Giants are just 22-41 (.349) after a loss as underdogs since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .406.
The Giants are just 30-54 (.357) after a road loss since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .454.
The Giants are 8-4 (.667) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Giants are just 14-26 (.350) after a road loss this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .464.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Rockies are just 12-12 (.500) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .794.
The Rockies are just 39-13 (.750) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .898.
The Rockies are just 35-18 (.660) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .856.
The Rockies are just 35-23 (.603) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .798.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
Giants hitters have 419 strikeouts in 1,641 PA’s (26%) against LHP this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Giants hitters have 898 strikeouts in 3,573 PA’s (25%) against LHP since last season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Giants hitters have drawn 113 walks in 1,641 PA’s (7%) against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Giants hitters are slugging just .380 against LHP this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .419.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rockies have an average HR distance of 411.0 feet since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 398.7.
The Rockies are just 12-12 (.500) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .794.
Rockies hitters have an OBP of just .286 (5,773 PA’s) on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .311.
The Rockies are batting .276 at home since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 50% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Giants pitchers have walked 368 of 5,445 batters (7%) this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers since the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Rockies pitchers have an ERA of 6.18 (634.0 IP) at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.25.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 37% with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Rockies vs. Giants Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Austin Gomber (Rockies): Back, D60
- Antonio Senzatela (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Ryan Feltner (Rockies): Skull, D60
- Ryan Rolison (Rockies): Undisclosed, D60
- Germán Márquez (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Lucas Gilbreath (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Daniel Bard (Rockies): Forearm, D15
- Roberto Pérez (Giants): Shoulder, D60
- Mark Mathias (Giants): Shoulder, D60
- Thomas Szapucki (Giants): Arm, D60
- Cole Waites (Giants): Elbow, D60
- Anthony DeSclafani (Giants): Elbow, D60
- Thomas Stripling (Giants): Back, D15
- Michael Conforto (Giants): Hamstring, D10
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