- The Giants (61-64) are -105 favorites vs the Twins (64-61)
- Giants starting pitcher: Jakob Junis (4-3), 3.57 ERA
- Twins starting pitcher: Aaron Sanchez (3-4), 7.36 ERA
- Watch the game on BSN
The San Francisco Giants (-105) visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins (-115) on Sunday, August 28, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Minneapolis.
The Giants are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+155).
The Giants vs Twins Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Giants are 60-62 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 56-67 ATS.
Giants vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Giants | -1.5 +155 | O 8.5 -115 | -105 |
| Twins | +1.5 -190 | U 8.5 -105 | -115 |
Giants vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Sunday‘s matchup with 58.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Giants and Twins and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- LaMonte Wade Jr has hit the Singles Under in his last 12 games (+12.00 Units / 58% ROI)
- Wilmer Flores has hit the RBIs Under in 22 of his last 27 away games (+12.00 Units / 20% ROI)
- Joc Pederson has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 23 games (+11.00 Units / 31% ROI)
- Wilmer Flores has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 27 away games (+9.80 Units / 26% ROI)
- Luis Gonzalez has hit the Hits Under in his last 7 away games (+9.00 Units / 125% ROI)
Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Carlos Correa has hit the Singles Over in 30 of his last 42 games at home (+15.55 Units / 31% ROI)
- Jose Miranda has hit the RBIs Over in 23 of his last 43 games (+14.75 Units / 34% ROI)
- Carlos Correa has hit the Total Bases Under in 33 of his last 45 games (+14.25 Units / 20% ROI)
- Max Kepler has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 22 games (+12.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- Alex Kirilloff has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 17 games at home (+11.80 Units / 40% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Giants Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 26 of their last 44 away games (+9.10 Units / 18% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Twins: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 18 of their last 29 games at home (+10.70 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 69 of their last 123 games (+10.00 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 15 games at home (+2.25 Units / 10% ROI)
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 55-67 against the Run Line (-19.65 Units / -12.96% ROI).
- 60-62 when betting on the Moneyline for -22.6 Units / -12.33% ROI
- 57-57 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.7 Units / -4.27% ROI
- 57-57 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.55 Units / -4.82% ROI
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 56-67 against the Run Line (-13.5 Units / -9.16% ROI).
- 64-59 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.95 Units / -1.79% ROI
- 57-56 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.65 Units / -2.7% ROI
- 56-57 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.6 Units / -4.85% ROI
Jakob Junis: Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jakob Junis has thrown his slider 52% of the time (626/1,205) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 62 total SL; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.
Jakob Junis’ has 13 strikeouts and no walks — tied for best in MLB K:BB ratio over the last two weeks; League Avg: 3.6 — 100th Percentile.
Jakob Junis has walked 5 of 150 left-handed batters (3%) this season — 5th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 62 total IP; League Avg: 8% — 95th Percentile.
Jakob Junis has thrown off-speed pitches 68% of the time (821/1,205) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 62 total NonFB; League Avg: 47% — 100th Percentile.
Aaron Sanchez: Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
No Matchup notes for this Game
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Giants are 40-8 (.833) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .799.
The Giants are 6-50 (.107) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .085.
The Giants are 48-4 (.923) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .885.
The Giants are 22-119 (.156) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .086.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Twins are just 3-9 (.250) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Twins are just 9-25 (.265) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .335.
The Twins are 57-19 (.750) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .703.
The Twins are just 5-7 (.417) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
The Giants are batting just .211 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .264.
Giants hitters have an OBP of just .295 (550 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .324.
The Giants are batting .356 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .334.
Giants hitters have an OPS of .771 (3,721 PA’s) in the first 3 innings since the start of last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .725.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
Twins hitters have an OPS of .763 (1,598 PA’s) in the first 3 innings this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .712.
The Twins are batting just .316 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .334.
The Twins have 283 barreled balls this season — 5th most in MLB.
The Twins have an average Exit Velocity of 89.7 MPH since the start of last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 88.7.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Giants pitchers have walked 757 of 10,699 batters (7%) since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Giants pitchers since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Giants pitchers have walked 158 of 2,573 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Twins pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Twins pitchers since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Twins pitchers have an ERA of 1.64 (55.0 IP) against division opponents this month (6 games) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 3.94.
The Twins pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 38% of their games this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Twins vs. Giants Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Daniel Coulombe (Twins): Hip, D60
- Jhon Romero (Twins): Biceps, D60
- Randy Dobnak (Twins): Finger, D60
- Alexander Kirilloff (Twins): Wrist, D60
- Miguel Sanó (Twins): Knee, D60
- Royce Lewis (Twins): Knee, D60
- Tyler Mahle (Twins): Shoulder, D15
- Kenta Maeda (Twins): Elbow, D60
- Byron Buxton (Twins): Hip, D10
- Bryson Sands (Twins): Arm, D15
- Jorge Polanco (Twins): Knee, Day-to-Day
- Trevor Larnach (Twins): Core, D10
- John Ober (Twins): Groin, D60
- Christopher Paddack (Twins): Elbow, D60
- Jorge Alcala (Twins): Elbow, D60
- Cody Stashak (Twins): Shoulder, D60
- Ryan Jeffers (Twins): Thumb, D10
- Gregory Santos (Giants): Groin, D60
- Brandon Belt (Giants): Knee, D10
- Donovan Walton (Giants): Shoulder, D60
- José Álvarez (Giants): Elbow, D60
- Jakob Junis (Giants): Hand, Day-to-Day
- Mauricio Llovera (Giants): Hip, D60
- Colton Welker (Giants): Shoulder, D60
- Evan Longoria (Giants): Hamstring, D10
- Samuel Long (Giants): Oblique, D60
- Samuel Delaplane (Giants): Forearm, D60
- Anthony DeSclafani (Giants): Ankle, D60
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