Giants vs Twins Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 28

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 28, 2022, 9:54 AM
  • The Giants (61-64) are -105 favorites vs the Twins (64-61)
  • Giants starting pitcher: Jakob Junis (4-3), 3.57 ERA
  • Twins starting pitcher: Aaron Sanchez (3-4), 7.36 ERA
  • Watch the game on BSN

The San Francisco Giants (-105) visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins (-115) on Sunday, August 28, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Minneapolis.

The Giants are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+155).

The Giants vs Twins Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Giants are 60-62 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 56-67 ATS.

Giants vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Giants-1.5 +155O 8.5 -115-105
Twins +1.5 -190U 8.5 -105-115

Giants vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Sunday‘s matchup with 58.9% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Giants and Twins and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Twins vs Giants and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • LaMonte Wade Jr has hit the Singles Under in his last 12 games (+12.00 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Wilmer Flores has hit the RBIs Under in 22 of his last 27 away games (+12.00 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Joc Pederson has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 23 games (+11.00 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Wilmer Flores has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 27 away games (+9.80 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Luis Gonzalez has hit the Hits Under in his last 7 away games (+9.00 Units / 125% ROI)

Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Carlos Correa has hit the Singles Over in 30 of his last 42 games at home (+15.55 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Jose Miranda has hit the RBIs Over in 23 of his last 43 games (+14.75 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Carlos Correa has hit the Total Bases Under in 33 of his last 45 games (+14.25 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Max Kepler has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 22 games (+12.00 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Alex Kirilloff has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 17 games at home (+11.80 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 26 of their last 44 away games (+9.10 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 18 of their last 29 games at home (+10.70 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 69 of their last 123 games (+10.00 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 15 games at home (+2.25 Units / 10% ROI)

Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 55-67 against the Run Line (-19.65 Units / -12.96% ROI).

  • 60-62 when betting on the Moneyline for -22.6 Units / -12.33% ROI
  • 57-57 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.7 Units / -4.27% ROI
  • 57-57 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.55 Units / -4.82% ROI

Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 56-67 against the Run Line (-13.5 Units / -9.16% ROI).

  • 64-59 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.95 Units / -1.79% ROI
  • 57-56 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.65 Units / -2.7% ROI
  • 56-57 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.6 Units / -4.85% ROI

Jakob Junis has thrown his slider 52% of the time (626/1,205) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 62 total SL; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.

Jakob Junis’ has 13 strikeouts and no walks — tied for best in MLB K:BB ratio over the last two weeks; League Avg: 3.6 — 100th Percentile.

Jakob Junis has walked 5 of 150 left-handed batters (3%) this season — 5th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 62 total IP; League Avg: 8% — 95th Percentile.

Jakob Junis has thrown off-speed pitches 68% of the time (821/1,205) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 62 total NonFB; League Avg: 47% — 100th Percentile.

Aaron Sanchez: Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

No Matchup notes for this Game

Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Twins

The Giants are 40-8 (.833) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .799.

The Giants are 6-50 (.107) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .085.

The Giants are 48-4 (.923) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .885.

The Giants are 22-119 (.156) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .086.

Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Giants

The Twins are just 3-9 (.250) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Twins are just 9-25 (.265) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .335.

The Twins are 57-19 (.750) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .703.

The Twins are just 5-7 (.417) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Giants are batting just .211 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .264.

Giants hitters have an OBP of just .295 (550 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .324.

The Giants are batting .356 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .334.

Giants hitters have an OPS of .771 (3,721 PA’s) in the first 3 innings since the start of last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .725.

Twins hitters have an OPS of .763 (1,598 PA’s) in the first 3 innings this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .712.

The Twins are batting just .316 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .334.

The Twins have 283 barreled balls this season — 5th most in MLB.

The Twins have an average Exit Velocity of 89.7 MPH since the start of last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 88.7.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Giants pitchers have walked 757 of 10,699 batters (7%) since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Giants pitchers since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Giants pitchers have walked 158 of 2,573 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Twins pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Twins pitchers since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Twins pitchers have an ERA of 1.64 (55.0 IP) against division opponents this month (6 games) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 3.94.

The Twins pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 38% of their games this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Twins vs. Giants Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Daniel Coulombe (Twins): Hip, D60
  • Jhon Romero (Twins): Biceps, D60
  • Randy Dobnak (Twins): Finger, D60
  • Alexander Kirilloff (Twins): Wrist, D60
  • Miguel Sanó (Twins): Knee, D60
  • Royce Lewis (Twins): Knee, D60
  • Tyler Mahle (Twins): Shoulder, D15
  • Kenta Maeda (Twins): Elbow, D60
  • Byron Buxton (Twins): Hip, D10
  • Bryson Sands (Twins): Arm, D15
  • Jorge Polanco (Twins): Knee, Day-to-Day
  • Trevor Larnach (Twins): Core, D10
  • John Ober (Twins): Groin, D60
  • Christopher Paddack (Twins): Elbow, D60
  • Jorge Alcala (Twins): Elbow, D60
  • Cody Stashak (Twins): Shoulder, D60
  • Ryan Jeffers (Twins): Thumb, D10
  • Gregory Santos (Giants): Groin, D60
  • Brandon Belt (Giants): Knee, D10
  • Donovan Walton (Giants): Shoulder, D60
  • José Álvarez (Giants): Elbow, D60
  • Jakob Junis (Giants): Hand, Day-to-Day
  • Mauricio Llovera (Giants): Hip, D60
  • Colton Welker (Giants): Shoulder, D60
  • Evan Longoria (Giants): Hamstring, D10
  • Samuel Long (Giants): Oblique, D60
  • Samuel Delaplane (Giants): Forearm, D60
  • Anthony DeSclafani (Giants): Ankle, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.