- The Twins are -155 favorites vs the Giants
- Giants starting pitcher: Alexander Cobb
- Twins starting pitcher: Sonny Gray
- Watch the game on BSN
The San Francisco Giants (+130) visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins (-155) on Tuesday, May 23, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40pm EDT in Minneapolis.
The Twins are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+140).
The Giants vs Twins Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
This season, the Giants are 23-24 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 25-23 ATS.
Giants vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Giants | +1.5 -165 | O 8 -115 | +130 |
| Twins | -1.5 +140 | U 8 -105 | -155 |
Giants vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 65.2% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Giants and Twins and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today:
- J.D. Davis has hit the Singles Under in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 73% ROI)
- Brett Wisely has hit the Singles Under in his last 8 away games (+8.00 Units / 59% ROI)
- Michael Conforto has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+7.45 Units / 62% ROI)
- Mike Yastrzemski has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 7 games (+7.35 Units / 77% ROI)
- Casey Schmitt has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 9 of his last 12 games (+7.05 Units / 57% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Carlos Correa has hit the Singles Under in 25 of his last 35 games (+12.75 Units / 29% ROI)
- Carlos Correa has hit the Runs Under in 26 of his last 34 games (+10.85 Units / 18% ROI)
- Byron Buxton has hit the Singles Under in 11 of his last 12 games at home (+9.05 Units / 40% ROI)
- Jorge Polanco has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games at home (+9.00 Units / 31% ROI)
- Jorge Polanco has hit the Total Bases Over in 11 of his last 14 games at home (+8.90 Units / 44% ROI)
Twins vs Giants Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Crawford | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Byron Buxton | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -650 |
| Mike Yastrzemski | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| J.D. Davis | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Alex Kirilloff | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -3000 |
Twins vs Giants Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Crawford | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +110 |
| Byron Buxton | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Mike Yastrzemski | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +130 |
| J.D. Davis | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Alex Kirilloff | 1.5 +190 | 1.5 -250 |
Twins vs Giants RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Crawford | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
| Byron Buxton | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Mike Yastrzemski | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
| J.D. Davis | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Alex Kirilloff | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
Twins vs Giants Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Cobb | 5.5 +105 | 5.5 -140 |
| Sonny Gray | 6.5 +115 | 6.5 -150 |
Giants Best Bets Today:
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 28 games (+10.40 Units / 29% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 24 of their last 37 games (+9.40 Units / 21% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 33 games (+6.20 Units / 17% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Over in 22 of their last 37 games (+6.00 Units / 14% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the Run Line in 16 of their last 28 games (+5.25 Units / 15% ROI)
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.30 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 15 games at home (+5.35 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 15 games at home (+4.75 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 16 games (+3.65 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 19 games at home (+3.30 Units / 14% ROI)
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 23-24 against the Run Line (-2.65 Units / -4.27% ROI).
- 23-24 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.75 Units / -9.83% ROI
- 21-24 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.45 Units / -10.45% ROI
- 24-21 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.35 Units / 2.63% ROI
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Twins have gone 25-23 against the Run Line (+1.5 Units / 2.58% ROI).
- 25-23 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.95 Units / -7.14% ROI
- 20-25 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.7 Units / -14.43% ROI
- 25-20 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.25 Units / 6.18% ROI
Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 69% (40/58) against Alex Cobb in two-strike counts this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 62% (368/592) against Alex Cobb since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 82 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 99th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 64% (49/77) against Alex Cobb this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.
Alex Cobb has thrown his changeup 37% of the time (218/586) in non-two strike counts this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 15% — 100th Percentile.
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Sonny Gray has struck out 38% (46/120) of right-handed batters he faced this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 98th Percentile.
Sonny Gray has allowed a slugging percentage of just .259 (28 Total Bases / 108 ABs) against right-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .396 — 100th Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 52% of Sonny Gray’s pitches (408/793) with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 82 total IP; League Avg: 61% — 0 Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting just .185 (20-for-108) against Sonny Gray this season — 7th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .241 — 92nd Percentile.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Giants are just 1-3 (.250) after a road win this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .485.
The Giants are 19-19 (.500) after a win as underdogs since last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .407.
The Giants are 86-2 (.977) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .954.
The Giants are just 14-7 (.667) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .792.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Twins are just 5-21 (.192) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Twins are 12-0 (1.000) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .612.
The Twins are just 0-20 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .048.
The Twins are 6-4 (.600) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .321.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
The Giants are batting just .233 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .265.
The Giants are batting .375 on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .339.
Giants hitters are slugging just .373 against LHP this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .423.
Giants hitters are slugging .626 on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .564.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
Twins hitters have 121 strikeouts in 429 PA’s (28%) against LHP this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Twins hitters are slugging just .151 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .211.
Twins hitters are slugging just .227 with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .267.
Twins hitters have an OBP of just .215 (999 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 51% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 51% against Giants pitchers over the last 30 days (27 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers in 2022 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Twins pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Twins have won just 12% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Twins pitchers have an ERA of 3.44 (432.0 IP) this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.30.
Twins vs. Giants Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Maximilian Kepler (Twins): Hamstring, D10
- Kenta Maeda (Twins): Tricep, D15
- Christopher Paddack (Twins): Elbow, D60
- Gilberto Celestino (Twins): Thumb, D60
- Nicholas Gordon (Twins): Shin, D10
- Jorge Alcala (Twins): Forearm, D15
- Caleb Thielbar (Twins): Oblique Strain, D15
- Jorge Polanco (Twins): Hamstring, D10
- Tyler Mahle (Twins): Arm, D60
- Royce Lewis (Twins): Knee, D60
- Austin Slater (Giants): Hamstring, D10
- Roberto Pérez (Giants): Shoulder, D60
- Luke Jackson (Giants): Elbow, D60
- LaMonte Wade Jr. (Giants): Thumb, Day-to-Day
- Heliot Ramos (Giants): Oblique, D60
- Joc Pederson (Giants): Hand, D10
- Luis González (Giants): Back, D60
- Logan Webb (Giants): Back, Day-to-Day
- Thomas Szapucki (Giants): Left Arm, D60
- Joseph Bart (Giants): Groin, D10
- Thomas Stripling (Giants): Back, D15
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