- The Angels are -140 favorites vs the Guardians
- Guardians starting pitcher: Aaron Civale, 0.00 ERA
- Angels starting pitcher: Griffin Canning
- Watch the game on BSW
The Cleveland Guardians (+115) visit Tempe Diablo Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Angels (-140) on Monday, March 6, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 3:10pm EST in Tempe.
The Angels are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+140).
The Guardians vs Angels Over/Under is 11 total runs for the game.
During Spring Training, the Guardians are 3-3 against the spread (ATS), while the Angels are 4-4 ATS.
Guardians vs. Angels Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Guardians | +1.5 -165 | O 11 -115 | +115 |
| Angels | -1.5 +140 | U 11 -105 | -140 |
Guardians vs Angels Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Angels will win Monday‘s Spring Training matchup with 60.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Guardians and Angels and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today:
- No trends found
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Angels Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Anthony Rendon has hit the Runs Under in his last 8 games at home (+8.00 Units / 61% ROI)
- Anthony Rendon has hit the Hits Under in 4 of his last 6 games at home (+5.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Luis Rengifo has hit the Hits Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+4.90 Units / 58% ROI)
- Jo Adell has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.80 Units / 55% ROI)
- Anthony Rendon has hit the Singles Under in 5 of his last 6 games at home (+3.75 Units / 47% ROI)
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 89 of their last 150 games (+26.10 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 23 of their last 38 away games (+17.75 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 28 of their last 41 away games (+15.15 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 37 of their last 61 away games (+11.05 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 36 of their last 63 games (+9.45 Units / 14% ROI)
Angels Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Team Total Under in 73 of their last 118 games (+21.10 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 46 of their last 81 games at home (+16.25 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 21 of their last 28 games (+13.95 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 11 of their last 13 games at home (+10.40 Units / 51% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 19 games at home (+9.25 Units / 34% ROI)
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Guardians have gone 3-3 against the Run Line (+0.35 Units / 4.96% ROI).
- 3-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.25 Units / -3.25% ROI
- 2-2 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.25 Units / -3.73% ROI
- 2-2 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.15 Units / -2.31% ROI
Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Angels have gone 4-4 against the Run Line (-0.2 Units / -2.07% ROI).
- 4-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.7 Units / 7% ROI
- 3-5 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.6 Units / -29.05% ROI
- 5-3 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.8 Units / 20.69% ROI
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Aaron Civale has allowed a slugging percentage of .592 (74 Total Bases / 125 ABs) on elevated fastballs since the start of the 2021 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: .376 — first Percentile.
Aaron Civale has a strike rate of just 56% (749/1,340) when ahead in the count since the start of the 2021 season — 6th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: 62% — fourth Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 31% (31/100) against Aaron Civale on inside fastballs since the start of the 2021 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: 22% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 16% (21/128) against Aaron Civale when going through the lineup the third time in a game since the start of the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 98th Percentile.
Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Griffin Canning has limited playing time.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Angels
The Guardians are 16-57 (.219) when trailing entering the 7th inning last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .119.
The Guardians are 12-60 (.167) when trailing entering the 8th inning last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .085.
The Guardians are 52-7 (.881) when totaling 10 or more hits last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .727.
The Guardians are 63-3 (.955) when leading entering the 7th inning last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .881.
Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Angels are just 3-13 (.188) when tied entering the 7th inning last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Angels are just 3-68 (.042) when trailing entering the 8th inning last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .085.
The Angels are just 8-55 (.127) when allowing 5 or more runs last season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .195.
The Angels are just 8-38 (.174) when allowing 2 or more home runs last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .293.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
Guardians hitters struck out just 795 times in 4,584 PA’s (17%) against RHP last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Guardians hitters missed on just 21% of swings last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Guardians hitters slugged just .343 against LHP last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .399.
Guardians hitters had 93 extra-base hits out of 341 total hits (just 27%) against LHP last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Angels Hitting Stats & Trends
Angels hitters have an OPS of just .643 (3,666 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since the start of the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .694.
The Angels are just 3-13 (.188) when tied entering the 7th inning last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Angels hitters have an OBP of just .273 (909 PA’s) against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game since the start of the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Angels hitters struck out 1,103 times in 4,134 PA’s (27%) against RHP last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Guardians pitchers walked 88 of 1,460 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
The Guardians pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 35% of their games on the road last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Guardians pitchers walked 435 of 5,989 batters (7%) last season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .225 against Guardians pitchers with runners on base since the start of the 2021 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .246.
Angels Pitching Stats & Trends
Angels pitchers have walked 1,132 of 12,234 batters (9%) since the start of the 2021 season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Angels have won just 29% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the start of the 2021 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Angels pitchers have won only 9% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Angels pitchers have allowed a run just 28% of the time after an opposing score since the start of the 2021 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.
Angels vs. Guardians Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Robert Daniel (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- Cleveland Guardians – No Injuries Reported
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