- The Guardians are -160 favorites vs the Angels
- Guardians starting pitcher: Tanner Bibee
- Angels starting pitcher: Kenneth Rosenberg
- Watch the game on BSW
The Cleveland Guardians (-160) visit Angel Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Angels (+135) on Sunday, September 10, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 4:07pm EDT in Anaheim.
The Guardians are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+100).
The Guardians vs Angels Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Guardians are 0-0 against the spread (ATS), while the Angels are 0-0 ATS.
Guardians vs. Angels Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Guardians | -1.5 +100 | O 8.5 -110 | -160 |
| Angels | +1.5 -120 | U 8.5 -110 | +135 |
Guardians vs Angels Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Sunday‘s MLB matchup with 75.7% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Guardians and Angels and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today:
- Steven Kwan has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 25 away games (+11.85 Units / 40% ROI)
- Cal Quantrill has hit the Strikeouts Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.45 Units / 43% ROI)
- Will Brennan has hit the Hits Over in his last 8 games (+10.05 Units / 63% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the Runs Under in 30 of his last 44 games (+9.70 Units / 16% ROI)
- Gabriel Arias has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 14 away games (+8.95 Units / 37% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Angels Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Shohei Ohtani has hit the Runs Over in 19 of his last 23 games at home (+15.00 Units / 55% ROI)
- Mike Moustakas has hit the Runs Under in his last 12 games (+12.00 Units / 45% ROI)
- Chad Wallach has hit the Singles Under in his last 11 games at home (+11.00 Units / 44% ROI)
- Chad Wallach has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 11 of his last 13 games at home (+9.75 Units / 72% ROI)
- Shohei Ohtani has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 29 of his last 45 games (+9.40 Units / 17% ROI)
Angels vs Guardians Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Freeman | 0.5 +800 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Mike Moustakas | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| Logan O'Hoppe | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -650 |
| Steven Kwan | 0.5 +900 | 0.5 -10000 |
| Myles Straw | 0.5 +1150 | 0.5 |
Angels vs Guardians Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Freeman | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Mike Moustakas | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
| Logan O'Hoppe | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Steven Kwan | 1.5 +155 | 1.5 -210 |
| Myles Straw | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +125 |
Angels vs Guardians RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Freeman | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
| Mike Moustakas | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Logan O'Hoppe | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Steven Kwan | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| Myles Straw | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -450 |
Angels vs Guardians Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kenny Rosenberg | 3.5 -110 | 3.5 -120 |
| Tanner Bibee | 6.5 +120 | 6.5 -155 |
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 56 of their last 100 games (+10.65 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 28 away games (+6.54 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 away games (+5.40 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 23 games (+4.05 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 6 of their last 8 away games (+3.80 Units / 39% ROI)
Angels Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Team Total Under in 27 of their last 39 games (+14.04 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Over in 34 of their last 56 games (+11.10 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 11 of their last 17 games (+3.03 Units / 14% ROI)
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Guardians have gone 0-0 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 0% ROI).
- 0-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI
Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Angels have gone 0-0 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 0% ROI).
- 0-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 35% (18/52) against Tanner Bibee’s changeup this season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total IP; League Avg: 51% — third Percentile.
Tanner Bibee has allowed three-ball counts to 22% of batters they faced (121/541 PA’s) since last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 121 total IP; League Avg: 12% — first Percentile.
Tanner Bibee has allowed a slugging percentage of just .276 (61 Total Bases / 221 ABs) vs left-handed batters this season — 5th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total IP; League Avg: .429 — 96th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .200 (9-for-45) against Tanner Bibee on low fastballs this season — tied for 7th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total IP; League Avg: .273 — 94th Percentile.
Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kenny Rosenberg has not allowed a home run in any of the last 18.0 innings he’s appeared — Tanner Scott has the longest active streak at 57.2.
Kenny Rosenberg has allowed an OBP of .468 (47 PA’s) against right-handed batters over the last 30 days (3 games) — 7th highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .317 — sixth Percentile.
Kenny Rosenberg has allowed an OBP of .468 (47 PA’s) against right-handed batters over the last 30 days (3 games) — 8th highest among in MLB; League Avg: .329 — eighth Percentile.
Kenny Rosenberg has thrown his changeup 44% of the time (32/73) against right-handed batters over the past seven days (1 games) — 2nd highest in AL over the last week; League Avg: 18% — 96th Percentile.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Angels
The Guardians are 33-105 (.239) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .130.
The Guardians are 17-48 (.262) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .144.
The Guardians are just 5-15 (.250) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Guardians are just 9-37 (.196) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .271.
Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
keys to the game – home
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
Guardians hitters have just 1,501 strikeouts in 8,341 PA’s (18%) against RHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Guardians hitters have just 1,009 strikeouts in 5,372 PA’s (19%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Guardians hitters struck out just 795 times in 4,584 PA’s (17%) against RHP in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Guardians hitters have put just 34% of balls in play to the left side of the field this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.
Angels Hitting Stats & Trends
Angels hitters have an OBP of just .272 (896 PA’s) against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .318.
Angels hitters have an OPS of just .618 (442 PA’s) against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .750.
Angels hitters have 2,109 strikeouts in 8,239 PA’s (26%) against RHP since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Angels hitters have an OBP of just .276 (1,351 PA’s) against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .317.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Guardians pitchers this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Guardians pitchers have an ERA of 3.38 (1093.2 IP) against division opponents since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.11.
Guardians pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 89.6 MPH (3,632 batted balls) this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 89.1.
Guardians pitchers have allowed an exit velocity over 110 MPH 98 times since last season — tied for 4th fewest in MLB.
Angels Pitching Stats & Trends
Angels pitchers have walked 131 of 1,265 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Angels pitchers have walked 253 of 2,705 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Angels pitchers this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Angels pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 14% over the past seven days (7 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Angels vs. Guardians Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jordon Adell (Angels): Oblique, D60
- Michael Trout (Angels): Hand, D10
- Luis Rengifo (Angels): Bicep, D10
- Jaime Barría (Angels): Hamstring, D15
- José Suarez (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- McKenzie Moniak (Angels): Back, Day-to-Day
- Shohei Ohtani (Angels): Oblique, Day-to-Day
- José Quijada (Angels): Elbow, D60
- Nolan Schanuel (Angels): Shoulder, Day-to-Day
- Giovanny Urshela (Angels): Pelvis, D60
- Chase Silseth (Angels): Head, D7
- Austin Warren (Angels): Elbow, D60
- Christopher Cron (Angels): Back, D10
- Samuel Bachman (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- Chris Rodriguez (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- Anthony Rendon (Angels): Shin, D60
- Joseph Ward (Angels): Face, D60
- Michael Kelly (Guardians): Back, D15
- Shane Bieber (Guardians): Elbow, D60
- Triston McKenzie (Guardians): Elbow, D60
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