- The Guardians are -130 favorites vs the Angels
- Guardians starting pitcher: Logan Allen
- Angels starting pitcher: Griffin Canning
- Watch the game on BSW
The Cleveland Guardians (-130) visit Angel Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Angels (+110) on Friday, September 8, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 9:38pm EDT in Anaheim.
The Guardians are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).
The Guardians vs Angels Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Guardians are 67-74 against the spread (ATS), while the Angels are 64-77 ATS.
Guardians vs. Angels Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Guardians | -1.5 +135 | O 8.5 -120 | -130 |
| Angels | +1.5 -160 | U 8.5 +100 | +110 |
Guardians vs Angels Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Friday‘s MLB matchup with 63.3% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Guardians and Angels and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today:
- Steven Kwan has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 23 away games (+10.95 Units / 39% ROI)
- Cal Quantrill has hit the Strikeouts Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.45 Units / 43% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the Runs Under in 29 of his last 42 games (+10.05 Units / 17% ROI)
- Gabriel Arias has hit the Singles Under in 11 of his last 12 away games (+9.55 Units / 46% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the RBIs Under in 20 of his last 25 away games (+9.55 Units / 18% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Angels Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Shohei Ohtani has hit the Runs Over in 19 of his last 23 games at home (+15.00 Units / 55% ROI)
- Luis Rengifo has hit the Hits Over in 32 of his last 42 games (+14.65 Units / 17% ROI)
- Luis Rengifo has hit the Total Bases Over in 26 of his last 42 games (+12.50 Units / 23% ROI)
- Mike Moustakas has hit the Runs Under in his last 11 games (+11.00 Units / 45% ROI)
- Luis Rengifo has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 27 of his last 42 games (+11.00 Units / 23% ROI)
Angels vs Guardians Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Will Brennan | 0.5 +900 | 0.5 -10000 |
| Logan O'Hoppe | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Mike Moustakas | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Eduardo Escobar | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Steven Kwan | 0.5 +1000 | 0.5 -10000 |
Angels vs Guardians Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Will Brennan | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Logan O'Hoppe | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
| Mike Moustakas | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +130 |
| Eduardo Escobar | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Steven Kwan | 1.5 +190 | 1.5 -250 |
Angels vs Guardians RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Will Brennan | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
| Logan O'Hoppe | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
| Mike Moustakas | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
| Eduardo Escobar | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
| Steven Kwan | 0.5 +275 | 0.5 -400 |
Angels vs Guardians Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Griffin Canning | 5.5 -110 | 5.5 -115 |
| Logan Allen | 5.5 +110 | 5.5 -145 |
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 55 of their last 99 games (+9.40 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Over in 17 of their last 27 away games (+5.49 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 22 games (+5.20 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 10 away games (+4.40 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 5 of their last 7 away games (+2.80 Units / 34% ROI)
Angels Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Team Total Under in 26 of their last 38 games (+13.04 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Over in 33 of their last 55 games (+10.10 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 11 of their last 16 games (+4.63 Units / 23% ROI)
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Guardians have gone 71-70 against the Run Line (-2.85 Units / -1.59% ROI).
- 67-74 when betting on the Moneyline for -17.3 Units / -9.91% ROI
- 56-80 when betting on the total runs Over for -32.65 Units / -21.1% ROI
- 80-56 when betting on the total runs Under for +19 Units / 12.37% ROI
Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Angels have gone 64-77 against the Run Line (-21.8 Units / -12.15% ROI).
- 65-76 when betting on the Moneyline for -21.85 Units / -12.31% ROI
- 71-63 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.35 Units / 0.86% ROI
- 63-71 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.3 Units / -9.3% ROI
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 65% (41/63) against Logan Allen’s changeup this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 55 total IP; League Avg: 51% — 96th Percentile.
Opponents batted just .119 (26-for-218) against Luis Severino with two-strikes in 2022 — 6th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .169 — 96th Percentile.
Logan Allen has allowed a slugging percentage of just .284 (55 Total Bases / 194 ABs) on non-fastballs this season — 12th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 55 total IP; League Avg: .390 — 91st Percentile.
Logan Allen has allowed at least one HR in each of his last three games dating back to August 20th — Kenta Maeda has the longest active streak at 9.
Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opposing hitters have a miss rate of 36% (55/152) against Griffin Canning when he’s behind in the count this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 55 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 99th Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 10% (4/40) against Griffin Canning on elevated fastballs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 55 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 99th Percentile.
Griffin Canning has allowed three-ball counts to 8% of batters they faced (4/49 PA’s) — 2nd lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 19% — 98th Percentile.
Griffin Canning has struck out 29% (67/228) of right-handed batters he faced this season — 13th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 55 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 89th Percentile.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Angels
The Guardians are 33-104 (.241) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .131.
The Guardians are just 5-15 (.250) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Guardians are 17-47 (.266) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .144.
The Guardians are just 5-14 (.263) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Angels were just 3-13 (.188) when tied entering the 7th inning in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Angels are just 26-21 (.553) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .728.
The Angels are just 12-121 (.090) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .131.
The Angels are just 13-22 (.371) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
Guardians hitters have just 1,495 strikeouts in 8,301 PA’s (18%) against RHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Guardians hitters have missed on just 22% of swings since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Guardians hitters are slugging just .360 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .420.
Guardians hitters have just 2,121 strikeouts in 11,457 PA’s (18%) since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Angels Hitting Stats & Trends
Angels hitters have an OBP of just .275 (889 PA’s) against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .318.
Angels hitters have 2,098 strikeouts in 8,193 PA’s (26%) against RHP since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Angels are batting just .221 with two outs since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .237.
Angels hitters have an OBP of just .234 (6,151 PA’s) with two-strikes since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .246.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Guardians pitchers this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Guardians pitchers have allowed an exit velocity over 110 MPH 98 times since last season — 5th fewest in MLB.
The Guardians pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 35% of their games on the road in 2022 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Guardians pitchers have allowed an exit velocity of 95 MPH or greater 1,462 times this season — 5th most in MLB.
Angels Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Angels pitchers this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Angels pitchers since last season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 33% against Angels pitchers over the last 14 days (13 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Angels pitchers have walked 130 of 1,247 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Angels vs. Guardians Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jordon Adell (Angels): Oblique, D60
- Michael Trout (Angels): Hand, D10
- Luis Rengifo (Angels): Bicep, Day-to-Day
- Jaime Barría (Angels): Hamstring, D15
- José Suarez (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- McKenzie Moniak (Angels): Back, Day-to-Day
- Shohei Ohtani (Angels): Oblique, Day-to-Day
- José Quijada (Angels): Elbow, D60
- Zachary Neto (Angels): Back, D10
- Giovanny Urshela (Angels): Pelvis, D60
- Chase Silseth (Angels): Head, D7
- Austin Warren (Angels): Elbow, D60
- Christopher Cron (Angels): Back, D10
- Samuel Bachman (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- Chris Rodriguez (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- Anthony Rendon (Angels): Shin, D60
- Joseph Ward (Angels): Face, D60
- Benjamin Joyce (Angels): Arm, D60
- Michael Kelly (Guardians): Back, D15
- Shane Bieber (Guardians): Elbow, D60
- Triston McKenzie (Guardians): Elbow, D60
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