- The Guardians are -120 favorites vs the Angels
- Guardians starting pitcher: Lucas Giolito
- Angels starting pitcher: Tyler Anderson
- Watch the game on BSW
The Cleveland Guardians (-120) visit Angel Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Angels (+100) on Saturday, September 9, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 9:07pm EDT in Anaheim.
The Guardians are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).
The Guardians vs Angels Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
This season, the Guardians are 68-74 against the spread (ATS), while the Angels are 64-78 ATS.
Guardians vs. Angels Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Guardians | -1.5 +135 | O 9 +100 | -120 |
| Angels | +1.5 -160 | U 9 -120 | +100 |
Guardians vs Angels Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Saturday‘s MLB matchup with 59.3% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Guardians and Angels and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today:
- Steven Kwan has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 24 away games (+12.85 Units / 44% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the Runs Under in 30 of his last 43 games (+11.05 Units / 18% ROI)
- Cal Quantrill has hit the Strikeouts Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.45 Units / 43% ROI)
- Will Brennan has hit the Hits Over in his last 8 games (+10.05 Units / 63% ROI)
- Gabriel Arias has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 17 of his last 24 games (+9.80 Units / 32% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Angels Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Shohei Ohtani has hit the Runs Over in 19 of his last 23 games at home (+15.00 Units / 55% ROI)
- Luis Rengifo has hit the Hits Over in 32 of his last 42 games (+14.65 Units / 17% ROI)
- Luis Rengifo has hit the Total Bases Over in 26 of his last 42 games (+12.50 Units / 23% ROI)
- Mike Moustakas has hit the Runs Under in his last 11 games (+11.00 Units / 45% ROI)
- Chad Wallach has hit the Singles Under in his last 11 games at home (+11.00 Units / 44% ROI)
Angels vs Guardians Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Logan O'Hoppe | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -550 |
| Mike Moustakas | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -650 |
| Eduardo Escobar | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Steven Kwan | 0.5 +900 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Myles Straw | 0.5 +1200 | 0.5 |
Angels vs Guardians Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Logan O'Hoppe | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Mike Moustakas | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Eduardo Escobar | 0.5 -140 | 0.5 +105 |
| Steven Kwan | 1.5 +185 | 1.5 -250 |
| Myles Straw | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +120 |
Angels vs Guardians RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Logan O'Hoppe | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Mike Moustakas | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Eduardo Escobar | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
| Steven Kwan | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
| Myles Straw | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -500 |
Angels vs Guardians Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Lucas Giolito | 5.5 -140 | 5.5 +105 |
| Tyler Anderson | 4.5 +100 | 4.5 -135 |
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 56 of their last 100 games (+10.65 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 28 away games (+6.54 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 away games (+5.40 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 23 games (+4.05 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 6 of their last 8 away games (+3.80 Units / 39% ROI)
Angels Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Team Total Under in 27 of their last 39 games (+14.04 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Over in 34 of their last 56 games (+11.10 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 11 of their last 17 games (+3.03 Units / 14% ROI)
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Guardians have gone 72-70 against the Run Line (-1.6 Units / -0.89% ROI).
- 68-74 when betting on the Moneyline for -16.3 Units / -9.27% ROI
- 57-80 when betting on the total runs Over for -31.65 Units / -20.31% ROI
- 80-57 when betting on the total runs Under for +17.85 Units / 11.53% ROI
Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Angels have gone 64-78 against the Run Line (-23.25 Units / -12.85% ROI).
- 65-77 when betting on the Moneyline for -22.85 Units / -12.8% ROI
- 72-63 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.35 Units / 1.49% ROI
- 63-72 when betting on the total runs Under for -15.45 Units / -9.97% ROI
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Lucas Giolito has allowed a slugging percentage of .652 (144 Total Bases / 221 ABs) versus the top of the order this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .428 — second Percentile.
Lucas Giolito has allowed an OPS of 1.050 (251 PA’s) versus the top of the order this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .747 — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .139 (46-for-331) against Lucas Giolito with two-strikes this season — 8th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .167 — 87th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 37% (61/164) against Lucas Giolito in two-strike counts this season — tied for 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — eighth Percentile.
Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Tyler Anderson has thrown his changeup 32% of the time (186/575) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total CH; League Avg: 10% — 100th Percentile.
Tyler Anderson has allowed an OPS of 1.673 (113 PA’s) when he’s behind in the count this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total IP; League Avg: 1.093 — first Percentile.
Tyler Anderson has thrown his changeup 29% of the time (368/1,282) on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 12% — 100th Percentile.
Tyler Anderson has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 83.1 MPH on non-fastballs since last season (522 balls in play) — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 120 total IP; League Avg: 87.1
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Angels
keys to the game – away
Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Angels were just 3-13 (.188) when tied entering the 7th inning in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Angels are just 17-85 (.167) when allowing 10 or more hits since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .272.
The Angels are just 52-35 (.598) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .728.
The Angels are just 10-43 (.189) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .271.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
Guardians hitters have just 1,500 strikeouts in 8,338 PA’s (18%) against RHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Guardians hitters have missed on just 22% of swings since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Guardians hitters have just 705 strikeouts in 3,754 PA’s (19%) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Guardians hitters struck out just 795 times in 4,584 PA’s (17%) against RHP in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Angels Hitting Stats & Trends
Angels hitters have an OBP of just .274 (892 PA’s) against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .318.
Angels hitters have 2,848 strikeouts in 11,396 PA’s (25%) since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Angels hitters have an OBP of just .277 (1,347 PA’s) against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .317.
The Angels are batting just .221 with two outs since last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .237.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Guardians pitchers this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Guardians pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 89.6 MPH (3,609 batted balls) this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 89.1.
Guardians pitchers walked 88 of 1,460 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in 2022 — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Guardians pitchers have an ERA of 3.38 (1093.2 IP) against division opponents since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.11.
Angels Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Angels pitchers since last season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Angels pitchers have walked 1,095 of 11,569 batters (10%) since last season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Angels pitchers have walked 131 of 1,256 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Angels pitchers have walked 555 of 5,531 batters (10%) this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Angels vs. Guardians Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jordon Adell (Angels): Oblique, D60
- Michael Trout (Angels): Hand, D10
- Luis Rengifo (Angels): Bicep, Day-to-Day
- Jaime Barría (Angels): Hamstring, D15
- José Suarez (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- McKenzie Moniak (Angels): Back, Day-to-Day
- Shohei Ohtani (Angels): Oblique, Day-to-Day
- José Quijada (Angels): Elbow, D60
- Nolan Schanuel (Angels): Shoulder, Day-to-Day
- Zachary Neto (Angels): Back, D10
- Giovanny Urshela (Angels): Pelvis, D60
- Chase Silseth (Angels): Head, D7
- Austin Warren (Angels): Elbow, D60
- Christopher Cron (Angels): Back, D10
- Samuel Bachman (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- Chris Rodriguez (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- Anthony Rendon (Angels): Shin, D60
- Joseph Ward (Angels): Face, D60
- Benjamin Joyce (Angels): Arm, D60
- Michael Kelly (Guardians): Back, D15
- Shane Bieber (Guardians): Elbow, D60
- Triston McKenzie (Guardians): Elbow, D60
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