- The Astros are -175 favorites vs the Guardians
- Guardians starting pitcher: Noah Syndergaard
- Astros starting pitcher: Jonathan France
- Watch the game on SportsNet SW
The Cleveland Guardians (+145) visit Minute Maid Park to take on the Houston Astros (-175) on Monday, July 31, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Houston.
The Astros are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+105).
The Guardians vs Astros Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
This season, the Guardians are 53-53 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 54-52 ATS.
Guardians vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Guardians | +1.5 -130 | O 9 +100 | +145 |
| Astros | -1.5 +105 | U 9 -120 | -175 |
Guardians vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Monday‘s MLB matchup with 77.3% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Guardians and Astros and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Guardians vs Astros and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today:
- Josh Naylor has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 19 games (+15.45 Units / 41% ROI)
- Steven Kwan has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 26 games (+9.95 Units / 32% ROI)
- Oscar Gonzalez has hit the RBIs Under in 11 of his last 12 away games (+9.00 Units / 33% ROI)
- Aaron Civale has hit the Earned Runs Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+8.80 Units / 55% ROI)
- Josh Bell has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 18 away games (+8.60 Units / 26% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jeremy Pena has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 23 games at home (+12.30 Units / 46% ROI)
- Corey Julks has hit the Hits Under in his last 9 games (+11.80 Units / 106% ROI)
- Jeremy Pena has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 24 games at home (+11.50 Units / 23% ROI)
- Kyle Tucker has hit the Hits Over in 23 of his last 31 games (+11.30 Units / 17% ROI)
- Jose Abreu has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 15 games at home (+9.85 Units / 53% ROI)
Astros vs Guardians Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Abreu | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Will Brennan | 0.5 +1100 | 0.5 |
| Mauricio Dubon | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Steven Kwan | 0.5 +1150 | 0.5 |
| Kyle Tucker | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -650 |
Astros vs Guardians Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Abreu | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Will Brennan | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Mauricio Dubon | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Steven Kwan | 1.5 +180 | 1.5 -250 |
| Yordan Alvarez | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
Astros vs Guardians RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Abreu | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Will Brennan | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -300 |
| Mauricio Dubon | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Steven Kwan | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -375 |
| Kyle Tucker | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -155 |
Astros vs Guardians Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Noah Syndergaard | 3.5 +120 | 3.5 -160 |
| J.P. France | 3.5 -145 | 3.5 +105 |
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 53 of their last 90 games (+16.25 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 37 of their last 64 games (+11.95 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Over in 35 of their last 55 games (+11.75 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 13 of their last 19 games (+5.25 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 31 of their last 55 games (+3.30 Units / 5% ROI)
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 39 of their last 75 games (+8.50 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 42 of their last 71 games (+6.30 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 30 of their last 51 games (+5.55 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 19 of their last 31 games at home (+5.30 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 45 of their last 83 games (+5.05 Units / 6% ROI)
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Guardians have gone 53-53 against the Run Line (-0.3 Units / -0.22% ROI).
- 53-53 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.25 Units / -8.2% ROI
- 43-59 when betting on the total runs Over for -22.45 Units / -19.13% ROI
- 59-43 when betting on the total runs Under for +12.4 Units / 10.68% ROI
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 54-52 against the Run Line (-1.7 Units / -1.25% ROI).
- 59-47 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.2 Units / -2.01% ROI
- 52-52 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.85 Units / -4.94% ROI
- 52-52 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.35 Units / -3.78% ROI
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
86% of Domingo German’s called strikeouts were low in 2022 — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 49% — 99th Percentile.
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 38% (24/63) against Domingo German’s changeup in 2022 — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 51% — fifth Percentile.
Domingo German induced opposing hitters to ground into 8 double plays in 45 opportunities (18%) in 2022 — tied for 7th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 11% — 96th Percentile.
37 of Domingo German’s 58 strikeouts (64%) came on curveballs in 2022 — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 16% — 98th Percentile.
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
J.P. France has induced opposing hitters to ground into 5 double plays in 13 opportunities (39%) — best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 11% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 25% (28/114) against J.P. France vs left-handed batters this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 41 total IP; League Avg: 40% — 98th Percentile.
J.P. France has pitched 13.1 straight innings without allowing an earned run — Josh Hader has the longest active streak at 17.2.
Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of 64% (14/22) against J.P. France in late innings this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 41 total IP; League Avg: 39% — third Percentile.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Guardians are 27-89 (.233) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .128.
The Guardians are 5-43 (.104) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .049.
The Guardians are 16-8 (.667) after a home loss this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .503.
The Guardians are just 11-16 (.407) after a home win this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .543.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Astros are 67-35 (.657) after a loss since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .483.
The Astros are 32-17 (.653) after a road loss since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .453.
The Astros are 54-90 (.375) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .287.
The Astros are 50-24 (.676) after a loss as favorites since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .584.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
Guardians hitters have just 1,854 strikeouts in 10,169 PA’s (18%) since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Guardians hitters have just 1,317 strikeouts in 7,424 PA’s (18%) against RHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Guardians hitters have missed on just 21% of swings since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Guardians hitters have just 522 strikeouts in 2,840 PA’s (18%) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters have just 900 strikeouts in 5,042 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Astros hitters have just 520 strikeouts in 2,961 PA’s (18%) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Astros hitters have just 199 strikeouts in 1,111 PA’s (18%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Astros hitters are slugging .507 in lefty-lefty matchups since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .358.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Guardians pitchers have walked 157 of 2,413 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 40% with two-strikes this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Guardians pitchers have an ERA of 3.82 (1178.1 IP) on the road since last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 4.25.
Guardians pitchers have an ERA of 3.44 (481.0 IP) at home this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.20.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Astros pitchers this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Astros pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 33% of their games since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 45%.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes since last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Astros vs. Guardians Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Lance McCullers Jr. (Astros): Elbow, D60
- Luis Garcia (Astros): Elbow, D60
- Michael Brantley (Astros): Shoulder, D60
- José Urquidy (Astros): Shoulder, D60
- Shane Bieber (Guardians): Elbow, D60
- Cal Quantrill (Guardians): Shoulder, D15
- Triston McKenzie (Guardians): Elbow, D60
- Noah Syndergaard (Guardians): Finger, D15
- Peyton Battenfield (Guardians): Shoulder, D60
Bet now on Guardians vs Astros and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.
