- The Astros are -210 favorites vs the Guardians
- Guardians vs Astros Over / Under today: 7 Runs
- Guardians / Astros TV Channel: GDTV | SCHN | SCH2
The Cleveland Guardians (+170) visit Daikin Park to take on the Houston Astros (-210) on Tuesday, July 8, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Houston, TX.
This season, the Guardians are 41-48 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 47-44 ATS.
Guardians vs Astros Starting Pitchers Today:
- Guardians starting pitcher: Joey Cantillo 1-0, 3.41 ERA
- Astros starting pitcher: Hunter Brown 9-3, 1.81 ERA
Guardians vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Guardians | +1.5 -130 | O 7 +100 | +170 |
| Astros | -1.5 +110 | U 7 -120 | -210 |
Guardians vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 63.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today:
- Daniel Schneemann has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 20 games (+9.25 Units / 46% ROI)
- Daniel Schneemann has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 20 games (+8.85 Units / 42% ROI)
- Daniel Schneemann has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.40 Units / 50% ROI)
- Daniel Schneemann has hit the Runs Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 52% ROI)
- Daniel Schneemann has hit the Singles Under in 7 of his last 9 games (+3.50 Units / 25% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Hunter Brown has hit the Earned Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+16.30 Units / 56% ROI)
- Jake Meyers has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 20 games (+13.80 Units / 36% ROI)
- Jake Meyers has hit the Singles Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+12.70 Units / 40% ROI)
- Hunter Brown has hit the Hits Allowed Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+11.55 Units / 35% ROI)
- Hunter Brown has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+7.20 Units / 19% ROI)
Guardians Best Bets Today:
Astros Best Bets Today:
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 46-42 against the Run Line (-4.55 Units / -3.74% ROI).
- 41-48 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.95 Units / -7.91% ROI
- 36-48 when betting on the total runs Over for -15.55 Units / -16.31% ROI
- 48-36 when betting on the total runs Under for +8.35 Units / 8.5% ROI
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Astros are 47-44 against the Run Line (+5.42 Units / 4.8% ROI).
- 55-36 when betting on the Moneyline for +14.25 Units / 11.96% ROI
- 37-50 when betting on the total runs Over for -17.55 Units / -17.81% ROI
- 50-37 when betting on the total runs Under for +9.4 Units / 9.44% ROI
Astros vs Guardians Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yainer Diaz (HOU) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
| Isaac Paredes (HOU) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -750 |
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Cam Smith (HOU) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
| Jose Altuve (HOU) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -900 |
Astros vs Guardians Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yainer Diaz (HOU) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Steven Kwan (CLE) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +160 |
| Cam Smith (HOU) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Mauricio Dubon (HOU) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
Astros vs Guardians RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yainer Diaz (HOU) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -225 |
| Cam Smith (HOU) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -235 |
| Isaac Paredes (HOU) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Victor Caratini (HOU) | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -285 |
Astros vs Guardians Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Hunter Brown (HOU) | 6.5 -155 | 6.5 +120 |
| Joey Cantillo (CLE) | 4.5 -140 | 4.5 +105 |
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a chase rate of just 19% (33/177) against Joey Cantillo this season — lowest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 30% — first Percentile.
Joey Cantillo has a strike rate of just 59% (218/369) against right-handed batters this season — 3rd lowest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — third Percentile.
Joey Cantillo has a strike rate of just 58% (90/155) when he’s behind in the count this season — lowest among AL Relievers; League Avg: 69% — first Percentile.
Joey Cantillo has walked 14% of right-handed batters this season — 6th highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — sixth Percentile.
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right handed batters are hitting just .197 (35-for-178) against Hunter Brown this season — fourth best among qualified SPs– 95th Percentile. Right handed batters hit .279 (85-for-305) against him last season — fifth worst among qualified SPs– ninth Percentile.
Hunter Brown has allowed an OPS of just .297 (228 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .480 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of just 28% (36/127) against Hunter Brown’s fastball this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 47% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .102 (22-for-216) against Hunter Brown with two-strikes this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .161 — 98th Percentile.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Guardians are 20-0 (.952) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .747.
The Guardians are 104-5 (.954) when leading entering the 7th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .862.
The Guardians are 111-3 (.974) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .903.
The Guardians are just 6-103 (.055) when trailing entering the 8th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .096.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Astros are 27-8 (.771) after a loss this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .495.
The Astros were just 0-56 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Astros are 40-3 (.930) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .874.
The Astros are 32-15 (.681) at home this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .546.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
The Guardians are batting just .225 this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .245.
The Guardians are batting just .219 at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .250.
The Guardians are batting just .194 in righty-righty matchups this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .246.
Guardians hitters have a Hard-Hit Rate of just 32% over the last 14 days — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters are averaging just 3.68 pitches per plate appearance against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.
Astros hitters have put just 29% of balls in play to the right side of the field this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Astros hitters averaged just 3.65 pitches per plate appearance against RHP in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.
Astros hitters have put 46% of balls in play to the left side of the field this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .207 against Guardians pitchers with runners on base in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .262.
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 25% against the Guardians pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
The Guardians allowed 0.87 runs per game (140/161) in late innings in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.29.
Guardians pitchers have walked 12% of batters over the past seven days (7 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Astros pitchers since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Astros pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
More MLB Reading:
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