- The Guardians are -150 favorites vs the Athletics
- Guardians starting pitcher: Zach Plesac
- Athletics starting pitcher: James Kaprielian
- Watch the game on NBCS-CA
The Cleveland Guardians (-150) visit Oakland Coliseum to take on the Oakland Athletics (+125) on Monday, April 3, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Oakland.
The Guardians are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+110).
The Guardians vs Athletics Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
This season, the Guardians are 3-1 against the spread (ATS), while the Athletics are 1-2 ATS.
Guardians vs. Athletics Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Guardians | -1.5 +110 | O 8 -115 | -150 |
| Athletics | +1.5 -135 | U 8 -105 | +125 |
Guardians vs Athletics Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Monday‘s MLB matchup with 58.4% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Guardians and Athletics and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Guardians vs Athletics and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today:
- Oscar Gonzalez has hit the Runs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 39% ROI)
- Owen Miller has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.30 Units / 78% ROI)
- Luke Maile has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 41% ROI)
- Will Benson has hit the Singles Under in his last 2 away games (+2.00 Units / 39% ROI)
- Richie Palacios has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 35% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Athletics Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Kevin Smith has hit the Singles Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 43% ROI)
- Chad Pinder has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 95% ROI)
- Stephen Vogt has hit the Singles Under in his last 2 games at home (+2.00 Units / 44% ROI)
- Skye Bolt has hit the Runs Over in his last game (+1.95 Units / 195% ROI)
- Cristian Pache has hit the Singles Over in his last game (+1.55 Units / 155% ROI)
Athletics vs Guardians Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andres Gimenez | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Will Brennan | 0.5 +950 | 0.5 -10000 |
| Josh Naylor | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Jose Ramirez | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Amed Rosario | 0.5 +850 | 0.5 -5000 |
Athletics vs Guardians Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andres Gimenez | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Will Brennan | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +155 |
| Josh Naylor | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Jose Ramirez | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Amed Rosario | 1.5 +175 | 1.5 -225 |
Athletics vs Guardians RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andres Gimenez | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
| Will Brennan | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| Josh Naylor | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -225 |
| Jose Ramirez | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Amed Rosario | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
Athletics vs Guardians Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Zach Plesac | 4.5 +115 | 4.5 -150 |
| James Kaprielian | 3.5 +105 | 3.5 -140 |
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 99 of their last 173 games (+23.70 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 23 of their last 38 away games (+17.75 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 28 of their last 41 away games (+15.15 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 51 of their last 88 away games (+9.90 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Over in 22 of their last 38 away games (+3.98 Units / 9% ROI)
Athletics Best Bets Today:
- The Oakland Athletics have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 22 of their last 35 games (+13.45 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 17 of their last 45 games at home (+9.20 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Team Total Over in 27 of their last 44 games at home (+8.75 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 21 of their last 34 games (+7.70 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Under in 85 of their last 165 games (+4.20 Units / 2% ROI)
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Guardians have gone 3-1 against the Run Line (+2 Units / 31.75% ROI).
- 3-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.55 Units / 63.75% ROI
- 2-2 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.25 Units / -5.68% ROI
- 2-2 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.25 Units / -5.68% ROI
Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Athletics have gone 1-2 against the Run Line (-1.4 Units / -41.18% ROI).
- 1-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.2 Units / -6.67% ROI
- 1-2 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.4 Units / -40% ROI
- 2-1 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.9 Units / 29.03% ROI
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Zach Plesac allowed an OBP of .455 (99 PA’s) with runners in scoring position in 2022 — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .316 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents batted just .234 (15-for-64) against Zach Plesac on the first pitch of at-bats in 2022 — 6th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .338 — 96th Percentile.
Zach Plesac has allowed a slugging percentage of .587 (118 Total Bases / 201 ABs) with runners in scoring position since the 2021 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 130 total IP; League Avg: .406 — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .259 (38-for-147) against Zach Plesac on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2021 season — 6th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 130 total IP; League Avg: .339 — 96th Percentile.
Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
James Kaprielian walked 36 of 282 right-handed batters (13%) in 2022 — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.
Opponents batted just .210 (13-for-62) against James Kaprielian on the first pitch of at-bats in 2022 — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .338 — 98th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .258 (31-for-120) against James Kaprielian on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2021 season — 5th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 130 total IP; League Avg: .339 — 97th Percentile.
Opponents had a chase percentage of just 18% (137/760) against James Kaprielian in non-two strike counts in 2022 — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 24% — second Percentile.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics
The Guardians were 16-57 (.219) when trailing entering the 7th inning in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: .118.
The Guardians were 12-60 (.167) when trailing entering the 8th inning in 2022 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .085.
The Guardians were 46-35 (.568) on the road in 2022 — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .467.
The Guardians are 79-20 (.798) when totaling 10 or more hits since the 2021 season — tied for 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .733.
Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Athletics were just 3-80 (.036) when trailing entering the 8th inning in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .085.
The Athletics were just 7-46 (.132) when allowing 10 or more hits in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .272.
The Athletics were just 58-87 (.400) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits in 2022 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .533.
The Athletics are just 43-46 (.483) when scoring in the first inning since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .653.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
Guardians hitters struck out just 795 times in 4,584 PA’s (17%) against RHP in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Guardians hitters missed on just 21% of swings in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Guardians hitters had 93 extra-base hits out of 341 total hits (just 27%) against LHP in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Guardians hitters slugged just .343 against LHP in 2022 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .399.
Athletics Hitting Stats & Trends
Athletics hitters are slugging just .163 on pitches out of the zone since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.
The Athletics are batting just .218 at home since the 2021 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.
The Athletics batted just .208 at home in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .246.
The Athletics are batting just .122 on pitches out of the zone since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .153.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
The Guardians pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 35% of their games on the road in 2022 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Guardians pitchers walked 435 of 5,989 batters (7%) in 2022 — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Guardians pitchers walked 88 of 1,460 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in 2022 — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Guardians pitchers had an ERA of 3.30 (686.1 IP) against division opponents in 2022 — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.00.
Athletics Pitching Stats & Trends
Athletics pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 20% in 2022 — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Athletics have won just 25% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
The Athletics pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in 69% of their games at home in 2022 — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 54%.
Athletics pitchers won only 15% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home in 2022 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Athletics vs. Guardians Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Kirby Snead (Athletics): Shoulder, D60
- Drew Rucinski (Athletics): Undisclosed, D15
- Manuel Piña (Athletics): Wrist, D10
- Paul Blackburn (Athletics): Finger, D15
- Frederic Tarnok (Athletics): Undisclosed, D15
- Sam D. Hentges (Guardians): Shoulder, D15
- Triston McKenzie (Guardians): Shoulder, D15
- Cody Morris (Guardians): Shoulder, D60
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