- The Guardians are -190 favorites vs the Athletics
- Guardians starting pitcher: Shane Bieber
- Athletics starting pitcher: John Patrick Sears
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Cleveland Guardians (-190) visit Oakland Coliseum to take on the Oakland Athletics (+155) on Tuesday, April 4, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Oakland.
The Guardians are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-105).
The Guardians vs Athletics Over/Under is 7 total runs for the game.
This season, the Guardians are 4-1 against the spread (ATS), while the Athletics are 2-2 ATS.
Guardians vs. Athletics Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Guardians | -1.5 -105 | O 7 -120 | -190 |
| Athletics | +1.5 -115 | U 7 +100 | +155 |
Guardians vs Athletics Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 73.3% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Guardians and Athletics and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Guardians vs Athletics and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today:
- Oscar Gonzalez has hit the Runs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 39% ROI)
- Owen Miller has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.30 Units / 78% ROI)
- Luke Maile has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 41% ROI)
- Will Benson has hit the Singles Under in his last 2 away games (+2.00 Units / 39% ROI)
- Richie Palacios has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 35% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Athletics Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Kevin Smith has hit the Singles Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 43% ROI)
- Chad Pinder has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 95% ROI)
- Stephen Vogt has hit the Singles Under in his last 2 games at home (+2.00 Units / 44% ROI)
- Skye Bolt has hit the Runs Over in his last game (+1.95 Units / 195% ROI)
- Cristian Pache has hit the Singles Over in his last game (+1.55 Units / 155% ROI)
Athletics vs Guardians Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aledmys Diaz | 0.5 +800 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Jace Peterson | 0.5 +950 | 0.5 -10000 |
| Conner Capel | 0.5 +850 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Seth Brown | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Ramon Laureano | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
Athletics vs Guardians Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aledmys Diaz | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +110 |
| Jace Peterson | 0.5 -135 | 0.5 +105 |
| Conner Capel | 0.5 -120 | 0.5 -110 |
| Seth Brown | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +115 |
| Ramon Laureano | 0.5 -140 | 0.5 +105 |
Athletics vs Guardians RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aledmys Diaz | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -400 |
| Jace Peterson | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -550 |
| Conner Capel | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -650 |
| Seth Brown | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Ramon Laureano | 0.5 +275 | 0.5 -400 |
Athletics vs Guardians Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| JP Sears | 3.5 -110 | 3.5 -120 |
| Shane Bieber | 6.5 +105 | 6.5 -135 |
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 100 of their last 174 games (+24.70 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 51 of their last 89 away games (+8.90 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 38 of their last 89 away games (+6.40 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 47 of their last 89 away games (+4.00 Units / 4% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 43 of their last 89 away games (+0.05 Units / 0% ROI)
Athletics Best Bets Today:
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 51 of their last 82 games at home (+17.75 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Under in 85 of their last 166 games (+3.20 Units / 2% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Team Total Under in 3 of their last 4 games (+1.80 Units / 36% ROI)
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Guardians have gone 3-2 against the Run Line (+1 Units / 13.7% ROI).
- 4-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.55 Units / 64.55% ROI
- 3-2 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.75 Units / 13.39% ROI
- 2-3 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.25 Units / -23.15% ROI
Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Athletics have gone 2-2 against the Run Line (-0.4 Units / -8.51% ROI).
- 1-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.2 Units / -30% ROI
- 2-2 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.4 Units / -8.51% ROI
- 2-2 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.1 Units / -2.44% ROI
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a line drive rate of 34% (90/268) against Shane Bieber on fastballs since the 2021 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 130 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 0 Percentile.
Shane Bieber located 59% of his pitches away (471/793) on the first pitch of at-bats in 2022 — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 48% — 100th Percentile.
The last hit on a Shane Bieber cutter was October 2nd, 2022. Hitters are 0 for their last 21 in ABs ending on his cutter. — this is the longest active streak among active MLB players.
Opponents had a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of 56% (43/77) against Shane Bieber on elevated fastballs in 2022 — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 37% — first Percentile.
Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents had a line drive rate of just 20% (42/212) versus JP Sears in 2022 — tied for 10th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 94th Percentile.
33% of JP Sears’ strikeouts were looking in 2022 — tied for 13th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 93rd Percentile.
47% of JP Sears’ called strikeouts were elevated in 2022 — tied for 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 97th Percentile.
48% of JP Sears’ non-fastball strikeouts were located inside in 2022 — 14th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 30% — 92nd Percentile.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics
The Guardians were 16-57 (.219) when trailing entering the 7th inning in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: .118.
The Guardians were 18-37 (.327) when allowing 5 or more runs in 2022 — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .195.
The Guardians were 12-60 (.167) when trailing entering the 8th inning in 2022 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .085.
The Guardians are just 4-131 (.030) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2021 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .046.
Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Athletics were just 6-11 (.353) when moneyline favorites of less than -150 in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .547.
The Athletics are just 43-46 (.483) when scoring in the first inning since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .653.
The Athletics were just 54-5 (.915) when leading entering the 9th inning in 2022 — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .954.
The Athletics were just 20-22 (.476) when scoring in the first inning in 2022 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .664.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
Guardians hitters struck out just 795 times in 4,584 PA’s (17%) against RHP in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Guardians hitters missed on just 21% of swings in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Guardians hitters slugged just .343 against LHP in 2022 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .399.
Guardians hitters struck out just 1,122 times in 6,163 PA’s (18%) in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Athletics Hitting Stats & Trends
Athletics hitters are slugging just .163 on pitches out of the zone since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.
Athletics hitters had an OBP of just .278 (2,878 PA’s) at home in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .317.
The Athletics batted just .142 with two-strikes in 2022 — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .168.
The Athletics are batting just .122 on pitches out of the zone since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .153.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Guardians pitchers walked 88 of 1,460 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in 2022 — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Guardians pitchers walked 435 of 5,989 batters (7%) in 2022 — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Guardians pitchers had an ERA of 3.30 (686.1 IP) against division opponents in 2022 — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.00.
The Guardians pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 35% of their games on the road in 2022 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Athletics Pitching Stats & Trends
The Athletics have won just 24% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Athletics pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 20% in 2022 — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
In games when their opponents scored three or more runs in an inning, the Athletics won just just 12% of the time in 2022 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Athletics pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in 69% of their games at home in 2022 — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 54%.
Athletics vs. Guardians Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Kirby Snead (Athletics): Shoulder, D60
- Drew Rucinski (Athletics): Undisclosed, D15
- Manuel Piña (Athletics): Wrist, D10
- Paul Blackburn (Athletics): Finger, D15
- Frederic Tarnok (Athletics): Undisclosed, D15
- Sam D. Hentges (Guardians): Shoulder, D15
- Triston McKenzie (Guardians): Shoulder, D15
- Cody Morris (Guardians): Shoulder, D60
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