- The Guardians are -135 favorites vs the Athletics
- Guardians starting pitcher: Hunter Gaddis
- Athletics starting pitcher: Kyle Muller
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Cleveland Guardians (-135) visit Oakland Coliseum to take on the Oakland Athletics (+115) on Wednesday, April 5, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 3:37pm EDT in Oakland.
The Guardians are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).
The Guardians vs Athletics Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
This season, the Guardians are 4-2 against the spread (ATS), while the Athletics are 3-2 ATS.
Guardians vs. Athletics Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Guardians | -1.5 +135 | O 8 -105 | -135 |
| Athletics | +1.5 -160 | U 8 -115 | +115 |
Guardians vs Athletics Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Wednesday‘s MLB matchup with 61.3% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Guardians and Athletics and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Guardians vs Athletics and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today:
- Oscar Gonzalez has hit the Runs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 39% ROI)
- Owen Miller has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.30 Units / 78% ROI)
- Richie Palacios has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 35% ROI)
- Luke Maile has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 41% ROI)
- Will Benson has hit the Singles Under in his last 2 away games (+2.00 Units / 39% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Athletics Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Kevin Smith has hit the Singles Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 43% ROI)
- Chad Pinder has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 95% ROI)
- Stephen Vogt has hit the Singles Under in his last 2 games at home (+2.00 Units / 44% ROI)
- Skye Bolt has hit the Runs Over in his last game (+1.95 Units / 195% ROI)
- Cristian Pache has hit the Singles Over in his last game (+1.55 Units / 155% ROI)
Athletics vs Guardians Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nick Allen | 0.5 +1350 | 0.5 |
| Seth Brown | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| Tony Kemp | 0.5 +1000 | 0.5 |
| Steven Kwan | 0.5 +1150 | 0.5 |
| Amed Rosario | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -2500 |
Athletics vs Guardians Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nick Allen | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +120 |
| Seth Brown | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
| Tony Kemp | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Steven Kwan | 1.5 +175 | 1.5 -250 |
| Amed Rosario | 1.5 +160 | 1.5 -210 |
Athletics vs Guardians RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nick Allen | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -550 |
| Seth Brown | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Tony Kemp | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -500 |
| Steven Kwan | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
| Amed Rosario | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
Athletics vs Guardians Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Muller | 3.5 -165 | 3.5 +125 |
| Hunter Gaddis | 4.5 +100 | 4.5 -130 |
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 100 of their last 175 games (+22.90 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 51 of their last 90 away games (+7.80 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 39 of their last 90 away games (+7.40 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 48 of their last 90 away games (+5.00 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 43 of their last 90 away games (+0.05 Units / 0% ROI)
Athletics Best Bets Today:
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 51 of their last 83 games at home (+16.20 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Under in 85 of their last 167 games (+3.20 Units / 2% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Team Total Over in their last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 89% ROI)
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Guardians have gone 3-3 against the Run Line (-0.1 Units / -1.19% ROI).
- 4-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.75 Units / 23.97% ROI
- 3-2 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.75 Units / 11.28% ROI
- 2-3 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.25 Units / -19.08% ROI
Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Athletics have gone 3-2 against the Run Line (+0.6 Units / 10.34% ROI).
- 2-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.4 Units / 8% ROI
- 2-2 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.4 Units / -6.96% ROI
- 2-2 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.1 Units / -1.9% ROI
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 13% (5/38) against Hunter Gaddis this season — tied for 6th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — fifth Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 10% (2/20) against Hunter Gaddis this season — tied for 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — sixth Percentile.
Hunter Gaddis has a strike rate of 83% (19/23) with runners in scoring position this season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 63% — 96th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 12% (3/24) against Hunter Gaddis on non-fastballs this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 32% — third Percentile.
Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 13% (4/31) against Kyle Muller this season — 9th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — ninth Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 14% (5/36) against Kyle Muller this season — 9th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — sixth Percentile.
Kyle Muller has thrown low pitches 63% of the time (12/19) when behind in the count this season — tied for 8th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 42% — 92nd Percentile.
Kyle Muller has allowed an OPS of just .423 (17 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — 9th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .722 — 85th Percentile.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics
The Guardians were 16-57 (.219) when trailing entering the 7th inning in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: .118.
The Guardians are 17-57 (.230) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .119.
The Guardians were 18-37 (.327) when allowing 5 or more runs in 2022 — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .195.
The Guardians are 68-3 (.958) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .914.
Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Athletics were just 6-11 (.353) when moneyline favorites of less than -150 in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .547.
The Athletics were just 3-80 (.036) when trailing entering the 8th inning in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .085.
The Athletics were just 7-46 (.132) when allowing 10 or more hits in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .272.
The Athletics are just 7-48 (.127) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .272.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
Guardians hitters have just 829 strikeouts in 4,757 PA’s (17%) against RHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Guardians hitters struck out just 795 times in 4,584 PA’s (17%) against RHP in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Guardians hitters missed on just 21% of swings in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Guardians hitters have missed on just 21% of swings since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Athletics Hitting Stats & Trends
Athletics hitters are slugging just .163 on pitches out of the zone since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.
Athletics hitters had an OBP of just .278 (2,878 PA’s) at home in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .317.
The Athletics are batting just .218 at home since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.
The Athletics batted just .208 at home in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .246.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Guardians pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Guardians pitchers have walked 91 of 1,515 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Guardians pitchers walked 78 of 1,314 batters (6%) over the last 30 days of the regular season (35 games) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Guardians pitchers walked 88 of 1,460 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in 2022 — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Athletics Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Athletics pitchers since the 2021 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Athletics have won just 24% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
The Athletics won just 20% of home games in which their opponents scored first in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
The Athletics pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in 69% of their games at home in 2022 — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 54%.
Athletics vs. Guardians Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Kirby Snead (Athletics): Shoulder, D60
- Drew Rucinski (Athletics): Undisclosed, D15
- Manuel Piña (Athletics): Wrist, D10
- Paul Blackburn (Athletics): Finger, D15
- Frederic Tarnok (Athletics): Undisclosed, D15
- Sam D. Hentges (Guardians): Shoulder, D15
- Triston McKenzie (Guardians): Shoulder, D15
- Cody Morris (Guardians): Shoulder, D60
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