Guardians vs Blue Jays Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 12

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 12, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Blue Jays (60-50) are -165 favorites vs the Guardians (59-52)
  • Guardians starting pitcher: Cal Quantrill (8-5), 3.87 ERA
  • Blue Jays starting pitcher: José Berríos (8-4), 5.18 ERA
  • Watch the game on MLB Network

The Cleveland Guardians (+140) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-165) on Friday, August 12, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07pm EDT in Toronto.

The Blue Jays are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+115).

The Guardians vs Blue Jays Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Guardians are 59-52 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 48-62 ATS.

Guardians vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Guardians+1.5 -140O 8.5 -110+140
Blue Jays -1.5 +115U 8.5 -110-165

Guardians vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Friday‘s matchup with 60.6% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Guardians and Blue Jays and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Blue Jays vs Guardians and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Steven Kwan has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 31 games (+14.30 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Steven Kwan has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 31 games (+11.05 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Myles Straw has hit the Total Bases Under in 29 of his last 44 away games (+10.65 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Oscar Gonzalez has hit the Hits Over in his last 7 games (+9.50 Units / 81% ROI)
  • Josh Naylor has hit the Runs Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 58% ROI)

Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Singles Over in 35 of his last 53 games (+14.20 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has hit the Singles Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+12.95 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Over in 23 of his last 40 games (+11.45 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Danny Jansen has hit the Runs Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Bradley Zimmer has hit the Singles Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 44% ROI)

Blue Jays vs Guardians Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alejandro Kirk 0.5 +600 0.5 -1600
Bo Bichette 0.5 +500 0.5 -1100
Lourdes Gurriel 0.5 +475 0.5 -1000
Matt Chapman 0.5 +360 0.5 -650
Teoscar Hernandez 0.5 +350 0.5 -650

Blue Jays vs Guardians Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alejandro Kirk 0.5 -275 0.5 +180
Bo Bichette 1.5 +180 1.5 -275
Lourdes Gurriel 1.5 +165 1.5 -250
Matt Chapman 0.5 -165 0.5 +115
Teoscar Hernandez 0.5 -275 0.5 +180

Blue Jays vs Guardians RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alejandro Kirk 0.5 +155 0.5 -225
Bo Bichette 0.5 +140 0.5 -200
Lourdes Gurriel 0.5 +150 0.5 -225
Matt Chapman 0.5 +150 0.5 -225
Teoscar Hernandez 0.5 +130 0.5 -190

Blue Jays vs Guardians Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Cal Quantrill 3.5 -130 3.5 -110
Jose Berrios 4.5 +105 4.5 -150
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 52 of their last 92 games (+14.65 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 42 of their last 71 games (+12.10 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 9 away games (+8.50 Units / 75% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 31 of their last 58 away games (+6.70 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 50 of their last 92 games (+5.05 Units / 4% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 44 of their last 68 games (+21.80 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 43 of their last 69 games (+14.95 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.05 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+0.90 Units / 3% ROI)

Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Guardians have gone 58-53 against the Run Line (-0.1 Units / -0.07% ROI).

  • 59-52 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.7 Units / 7.19% ROI
  • 52-51 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.15 Units / -3.39% ROI
  • 51-52 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.1 Units / -4.99% ROI

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Guardians have gone 48-62 against the Run Line (-18.75 Units / -14.04% ROI).

  • 60-50 when betting on the Moneyline for -18.95 Units / -10.16% ROI
  • 57-52 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.4 Units / -0.33% ROI
  • 52-57 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.8 Units / -9.65% ROI

11 of Cal Quantrill’s 37 breaking pitch strikeouts (30%) have been backdoor this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 12% — 95th Percentile.

Cal Quantrill has a strikeout rate of just 31% (79 SO in 257 PAs) with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — third Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 15% (80/543) against Cal Quantrill this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — first Percentile.

Cal Quantrill has struck out just 12% (35/290) of right-handed batters he faced this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — first Percentile.

José Berríos: Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Jose Berrios has an ERA of 7.50 (54.0 IP) on the road this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 3.73 — third Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .370 (40-for-108) against Jose Berrios on inside fastballs this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .258 — fourth Percentile.

Jose Berrios has allowed a slugging percentage of .640 (57 Total Bases / 89 ABs) on elevated fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .365 — first Percentile.

Jose Berrios has a strike rate of 70% (636/907) against right-handed batters this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — 96th Percentile.

Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays

The Guardians are 9-45 (.167) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .087.

The Guardians are 41-1 (.976) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .886.

The Guardians are 39-3 (.929) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .796.

The Guardians are 40-2 (.952) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .913.

Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians

The Blue Jays are just 2-40 (.048) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .087.

The Blue Jays are 51-3 (.944) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .913.

The Blue Jays are just 7-11 (.389) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Blue Jays are 49-13 (.790) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .706.

Guardians hitters have missed on just 21% of swings this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Guardians hitters are slugging just .325 against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .398.

Guardians hitters have an OPS of just .617 (1,099 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .714.

Guardians hitters have put 41% of their swings in play with two-strikes this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.

Blue Jays hitters are slugging .667 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .572.

The Blue Jays are batting .265 with two outs since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .233.

Blue Jays hitters have an OPS of .783 (2,412 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .727.

The Blue Jays are batting .270 at home this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .246.

Guardians pitchers have walked 20 of 375 batters (5%) this month (10 games) — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Guardians pitchers have won only 15% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of 48% with two-strikes over the last 14 days (13 games) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Guardians pitchers have walked 3 of 119 batters (3%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days (13 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Blue Jays pitchers have walked 290 of 4,090 batters (7%) this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Blue Jays pitchers have walked 763 of 10,006 batters (8%) since the start of last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Blue Jays pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 50% of their games this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 37% against Blue Jays pitchers over the last 14 days (11 games) — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Blue Jays vs. Guardians Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Julian Merryweather (Blue Jays): Side, D60
  • Hyun Jin Ryu (Blue Jays): Forearm, D60
  • Nathan Pearson (Blue Jays): Mono, D60
  • Tayler Saucedo (Blue Jays): Hip, D60
  • Thomas Stripling (Blue Jays): Glute/Hip, D15
  • Timothy Mayza (Blue Jays): Shoulder, D15
  • George Springer (Blue Jays): Elbow, D10
  • Cody Morris (Guardians): Shoulder, D60
  • Anthony Gose (Guardians): Triceps, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.