- The Blue Jays (60-50) are -165 favorites vs the Guardians (59-52)
- Guardians starting pitcher: Cal Quantrill (8-5), 3.87 ERA
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: José Berríos (8-4), 5.18 ERA
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Cleveland Guardians (+140) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-165) on Friday, August 12, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07pm EDT in Toronto.
The Blue Jays are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+115).
The Guardians vs Blue Jays Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Guardians are 59-52 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 48-62 ATS.
Guardians vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Guardians | +1.5 -140 | O 8.5 -110 | +140 |
| Blue Jays | -1.5 +115 | U 8.5 -110 | -165 |
Guardians vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Friday‘s matchup with 60.6% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Guardians and Blue Jays and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Steven Kwan has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 31 games (+14.30 Units / 46% ROI)
- Steven Kwan has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 31 games (+11.05 Units / 22% ROI)
- Myles Straw has hit the Total Bases Under in 29 of his last 44 away games (+10.65 Units / 15% ROI)
- Oscar Gonzalez has hit the Hits Over in his last 7 games (+9.50 Units / 81% ROI)
- Josh Naylor has hit the Runs Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 58% ROI)
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Singles Over in 35 of his last 53 games (+14.20 Units / 22% ROI)
- Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has hit the Singles Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+12.95 Units / 39% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Over in 23 of his last 40 games (+11.45 Units / 19% ROI)
- Danny Jansen has hit the Runs Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 55% ROI)
- Bradley Zimmer has hit the Singles Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 44% ROI)
Blue Jays vs Guardians Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Kirk | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Bo Bichette | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Lourdes Gurriel | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Matt Chapman | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -650 |
| Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -650 |
Blue Jays vs Guardians Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Kirk | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +180 |
| Bo Bichette | 1.5 +180 | 1.5 -275 |
| Lourdes Gurriel | 1.5 +165 | 1.5 -250 |
| Matt Chapman | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +115 |
| Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +180 |
Blue Jays vs Guardians RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Kirk | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -225 |
| Bo Bichette | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -200 |
| Lourdes Gurriel | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -225 |
| Matt Chapman | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -225 |
| Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -190 |
Blue Jays vs Guardians Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cal Quantrill | 3.5 -130 | 3.5 -110 |
| Jose Berrios | 4.5 +105 | 4.5 -150 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Guardians Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 52 of their last 92 games (+14.65 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 42 of their last 71 games (+12.10 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 9 away games (+8.50 Units / 75% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 31 of their last 58 away games (+6.70 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 50 of their last 92 games (+5.05 Units / 4% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Blue Jays: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 44 of their last 68 games (+21.80 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 43 of their last 69 games (+14.95 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.05 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+0.90 Units / 3% ROI)
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Guardians have gone 58-53 against the Run Line (-0.1 Units / -0.07% ROI).
- 59-52 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.7 Units / 7.19% ROI
- 52-51 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.15 Units / -3.39% ROI
- 51-52 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.1 Units / -4.99% ROI
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Guardians have gone 48-62 against the Run Line (-18.75 Units / -14.04% ROI).
- 60-50 when betting on the Moneyline for -18.95 Units / -10.16% ROI
- 57-52 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.4 Units / -0.33% ROI
- 52-57 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.8 Units / -9.65% ROI
Cal Quantrill: Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
11 of Cal Quantrill’s 37 breaking pitch strikeouts (30%) have been backdoor this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 12% — 95th Percentile.
Cal Quantrill has a strikeout rate of just 31% (79 SO in 257 PAs) with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — third Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 15% (80/543) against Cal Quantrill this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — first Percentile.
Cal Quantrill has struck out just 12% (35/290) of right-handed batters he faced this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — first Percentile.
José Berríos: Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jose Berrios has an ERA of 7.50 (54.0 IP) on the road this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 3.73 — third Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .370 (40-for-108) against Jose Berrios on inside fastballs this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .258 — fourth Percentile.
Jose Berrios has allowed a slugging percentage of .640 (57 Total Bases / 89 ABs) on elevated fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .365 — first Percentile.
Jose Berrios has a strike rate of 70% (636/907) against right-handed batters this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — 96th Percentile.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Guardians are 9-45 (.167) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .087.
The Guardians are 41-1 (.976) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .886.
The Guardians are 39-3 (.929) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .796.
The Guardians are 40-2 (.952) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .913.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Blue Jays are just 2-40 (.048) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .087.
The Blue Jays are 51-3 (.944) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .913.
The Blue Jays are just 7-11 (.389) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Blue Jays are 49-13 (.790) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .706.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
Guardians hitters have missed on just 21% of swings this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Guardians hitters are slugging just .325 against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .398.
Guardians hitters have an OPS of just .617 (1,099 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .714.
Guardians hitters have put 41% of their swings in play with two-strikes this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
Blue Jays hitters are slugging .667 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .572.
The Blue Jays are batting .265 with two outs since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .233.
Blue Jays hitters have an OPS of .783 (2,412 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .727.
The Blue Jays are batting .270 at home this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .246.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Guardians pitchers have walked 20 of 375 batters (5%) this month (10 games) — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Guardians pitchers have won only 15% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of 48% with two-strikes over the last 14 days (13 games) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Guardians pitchers have walked 3 of 119 batters (3%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days (13 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 290 of 4,090 batters (7%) this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 763 of 10,006 batters (8%) since the start of last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 50% of their games this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 37% against Blue Jays pitchers over the last 14 days (11 games) — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Blue Jays vs. Guardians Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Julian Merryweather (Blue Jays): Side, D60
- Hyun Jin Ryu (Blue Jays): Forearm, D60
- Nathan Pearson (Blue Jays): Mono, D60
- Tayler Saucedo (Blue Jays): Hip, D60
- Thomas Stripling (Blue Jays): Glute/Hip, D15
- Timothy Mayza (Blue Jays): Shoulder, D15
- George Springer (Blue Jays): Elbow, D10
- Cody Morris (Guardians): Shoulder, D60
- Anthony Gose (Guardians): Triceps, D60
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