Guardians vs Blue Jays Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 13

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 13, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Guardians (60-52) are + favorites vs the Blue Jays (60-51)
  • Guardians starting pitcher: Triston McKenzie (8-8), 3.16 ERA
  • Blue Jays starting pitcher: Mitchell White (1-3), 3.85 ERA
  • Watch the game on MLB Network

The Cleveland Guardians (+) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (+) on Saturday, August 13, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 3:07pm EDT in Toronto.

The Guardians are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+155).

The Guardians vs Blue Jays Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Guardians are 60-52 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 48-63 ATS.

Guardians vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Guardians-1.5 +155O 8.5 -105+
Blue Jays +1.5 -190U 8.5 -115+

Guardians vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Saturday‘s matchup with 63.6% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Guardians and Blue Jays and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Blue Jays vs Guardians and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Steven Kwan has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 32 games (+13.30 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Steven Kwan has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 32 games (+12.05 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Oscar Gonzalez has hit the Hits Over in his last 8 games (+10.50 Units / 74% ROI)
  • Jose Ramirez has hit the Hits Over in 23 of his last 31 games (+8.75 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Steven Kwan has hit the Singles Over in 21 of his last 29 away games (+8.45 Units / 19% ROI)

Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Singles Over in 35 of his last 54 games (+12.95 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Over in 24 of his last 41 games (+12.45 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has hit the Singles Over in 20 of his last 26 games (+11.45 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Whit Merrifield has hit the Runs Under in 33 of his last 49 games at home (+10.05 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Danny Jansen has hit the Runs Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 55% ROI)

Blue Jays vs Guardians Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Bo Bichette 0.5 +360 0.5 -650
Danny Jansen 0.5 +320 0.5 -550
Lourdes Gurriel 0.5 +340 0.5 -600
Matt Chapman 0.5 +275 0.5 -450
Raimel Tapia 0.5 +875 0.5 -5000

Blue Jays vs Guardians Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Lourdes Gurriel 1.5 +190 1.5 -275
Matt Chapman 0.5 -145 0.5 +100
Raimel Tapia 0.5 -200 0.5 +140
Teoscar Hernandez 0.5 -225 0.5 +150
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.5 -275 0.5 +180

Blue Jays vs Guardians RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Bo Bichette 0.5 +145 0.5 -200
Danny Jansen 0.5 +155 0.5 -225
Lourdes Gurriel 0.5 +160 0.5 -250
Matt Chapman 0.5 +145 0.5 -200
Raimel Tapia 0.5 +230 0.5 -350

Blue Jays vs Guardians Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Mitch White 3.5 +120 3.5 -175
Triston McKenzie 4.5 -140 4.5 +100
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 53 of their last 93 games (+16.05 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 43 of their last 72 games (+13.10 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 10 away games (+9.95 Units / 81% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 32 of their last 59 away games (+7.70 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 51 of their last 93 games (+6.05 Units / 5% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 45 of their last 69 games (+22.80 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 43 of their last 70 games (+13.80 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+1.05 Units / 10% ROI)

Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Guardians have gone 59-53 against the Run Line (+0.9 Units / 0.64% ROI).

  • 60-52 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.1 Units / 8.16% ROI
  • 52-52 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.3 Units / -4.29% ROI
  • 52-52 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.1 Units / -4.14% ROI

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Guardians have gone 48-63 against the Run Line (-19.75 Units / -14.68% ROI).

  • 60-51 when betting on the Moneyline for -20.55 Units / -10.93% ROI
  • 57-53 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.55 Units / -1.28% ROI
  • 53-57 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.8 Units / -8.76% ROI

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 34% (113/337) against Triston McKenzie this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — fourth Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .197 (90-for-456) against Triston McKenzie this season — 6th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .236 — 92nd Percentile.

Triston McKenzie has allowed an OBP of just .259 (495 PA’s) this season — tied for 9th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .294 — 87th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .113 (55-for-487) against Triston McKenzie with two-strikes since the start of last season — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 136 total IP; League Avg: .167 — 97th Percentile.

Mitchell White: Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Mitch White has not allowed a home run in any of the last 18.0 innings he’s appeared — David Phelps has the longest active streak at 57.0.

Mitch White has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 58% (109/189) of opposing batters this season — 15th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 55 total IP; League Avg: 64% — ninth Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 15% (16/105) against Mitch White on elevated fastballs this season — 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 55 total IP; League Avg: 25% — third Percentile.

50% of Mitch White’s called strikeouts are inside this season — tied for 13th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 55 total IP; League Avg: 32% — 92nd Percentile.

Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays

The Guardians are 9-45 (.167) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .087.

The Guardians are 10-5 (.667) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Guardians are 16-2 (.889) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .793.

The Guardians are 9-43 (.173) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .114.

Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians

The Blue Jays are 51-3 (.944) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .913.

The Blue Jays are 34-22 (.607) at home this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .528.

The Blue Jays are just 7-11 (.389) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Blue Jays are 145-16 (.901) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .875.

Guardians hitters have missed on just 21% of swings this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Guardians hitters have just 775 strikeouts in 4,238 PA’s (18%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Guardians hitters are slugging just .325 against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .398.

Guardians hitters have an OBP of just .292 (1,099 PA’s) against LHP this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.

The Blue Jays are batting .265 with two outs since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .233.

Blue Jays hitters have 4 extra-base hits out of 6 total hits (67%) against LHP this month (6 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 36%.

Blue Jays hitters have an OPS of just .276 (29 PA’s) at home this month (1 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .744.

The Blue Jays are batting .268 at home this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .246.

Guardians pitchers have walked 8 of 204 batters (4%) over the past seven days (6 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Guardians pitchers have walked 20 of 404 batters (5%) this month (11 games) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .196 against Guardians pitchers with the shift since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .223.

Guardians pitchers have walked 3 of 119 batters (3%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days (13 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Blue Jays pitchers have walked 293 of 4,135 batters (7%) this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Blue Jays pitchers have walked 766 of 10,051 batters (8%) since the start of last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Blue Jays pitchers have an ERA of 8.00 (9.0 IP) at home this month (1 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.58.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 42% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Blue Jays vs. Guardians Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Julian Merryweather (Blue Jays): Side, D60
  • Hyun Jin Ryu (Blue Jays): Forearm, D60
  • Nathan Pearson (Blue Jays): Mono, D60
  • Tayler Saucedo (Blue Jays): Hip, D60
  • Thomas Stripling (Blue Jays): Glute/Hip, D15
  • Timothy Mayza (Blue Jays): Shoulder, D15
  • George Springer (Blue Jays): Elbow, D10
  • Cody Morris (Guardians): Shoulder, D60
  • Anthony Gose (Guardians): Triceps, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.