Guardians vs Blue Jays Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 14

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 14, 2022, 3:36 PM
  • The Blue Jays (61-51) are -155 favorites vs the Guardians (60-53)
  • Guardians starting pitcher: Shane Bieber (7-6), 3.21 ERA
  • Blue Jays starting pitcher: Kevin Gausman (8-8), 2.90 ERA
  • Watch the game on MLB Network

The Cleveland Guardians (+125) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-155) on Sunday, August 14, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 1:37pm EDT in Toronto.

The Blue Jays are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+140).

The Guardians vs Blue Jays Over/Under is 7 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Guardians are 60-53 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 48-64 ATS.

Guardians vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Guardians+1.5 -165O 7 +100+125
Blue Jays -1.5 +140U 7 -120-155

Guardians vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Sunday‘s matchup with 80.9% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Guardians and Blue Jays and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Blue Jays vs Guardians and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Steven Kwan has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 33 games (+12.30 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Steven Kwan has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 33 games (+11.05 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Myles Straw has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+9.70 Units / 97% ROI)
  • Triston McKenzie has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+9.20 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Steven Kwan has hit the Runs Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+8.65 Units / 31% ROI)

Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Over in 25 of his last 42 games (+13.45 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Singles Over in 35 of his last 55 games (+11.90 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Danny Jansen has hit the Runs Under in his last 11 games (+11.00 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Total Bases Over in 40 of his last 68 games (+10.90 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Alejandro Kirk has hit the Runs Under in 12 of his last 13 games (+10.70 Units / 55% ROI)

Blue Jays vs Guardians Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Lourdes Gurriel 0.5 +425 0.5 -800
Matt Chapman 0.5 +333 0.5 -600
Raimel Tapia 0.5 +950 0.5 -10000
Santiago Espinal 0.5 +900 0.5 -5000
Teoscar Hernandez 0.5 +325 0.5 -550

Blue Jays vs Guardians Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Lourdes Gurriel 0.5 -250 0.5 +170
Matt Chapman 0.5 -160 0.5 +115
Raimel Tapia 0.5 -250 0.5 +160
Santiago Espinal 0.5 -175 0.5 +125
Teoscar Hernandez 0.5 -225 0.5 +155

Blue Jays vs Guardians RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Lourdes Gurriel 0.5 +155 0.5 -225
Matt Chapman 0.5 +160 0.5 -250
Raimel Tapia 0.5 +240 0.5 -375
Santiago Espinal 0.5 +210 0.5 -350
Teoscar Hernandez 0.5 +140 0.5 -200

Blue Jays vs Guardians Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Gausman 4.5 -155 4.5 +110
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 53 of their last 94 games (+15.05 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 44 of their last 73 games (+14.10 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 11 away games (+8.85 Units / 66% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 52 of their last 94 games (+7.05 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 32 of their last 60 away games (+6.65 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 45 of their last 70 games (+21.75 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 43 of their last 71 games (+12.70 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 11 games at home (+0.30 Units / 1% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 9 games at home (+0.05 Units / 0% ROI)

Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Guardians have gone 60-53 against the Run Line (+1.9 Units / 1.32% ROI).

  • 60-53 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.1 Units / 7.38% ROI
  • 52-53 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.4 Units / -5.13% ROI
  • 53-52 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.1 Units / -3.3% ROI

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Guardians have gone 48-64 against the Run Line (-20.75 Units / -15.31% ROI).

  • 61-51 when betting on the Moneyline for -19.55 Units / -10.33% ROI
  • 57-54 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.65 Units / -2.17% ROI
  • 54-57 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.8 Units / -7.87% ROI

Shane Bieber has allowed an OBP of just .040 (25 PA’s) with two-strikes — 2nd best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .234 — 98th Percentile.

Opponents have a two strike miss rate of 32% (107/336) against Shane Bieber this season — tied for 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 93rd Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of 35% (95/270) against Shane Bieber on fastballs since the start of 2020 — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 166 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 0 Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 51% (67/132) against Shane Bieber in two-strike counts this season — 10th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 86th Percentile.

Kevin Gausman: Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Kevin Gausman has a strike rate of 72% (579/800) vs left-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a chase percentage of 41% (386/948) against Kevin Gausman this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.

Kevin Gausman has allowed a BABIP of .434 against right-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .291 — first Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a swing rate of 58% (462/800) against Kevin Gausman this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 48% — 100th Percentile.

Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays

The Guardians are 9-46 (.164) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .088.

The Guardians are 10-5 (.667) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Guardians are 9-43 (.173) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .114.

The Guardians are 41-2 (.953) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .912.

Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians

The Blue Jays are 35-22 (.614) at home this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .528.

The Blue Jays are 48-2 (.960) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .886.

The Blue Jays are 52-3 (.945) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .912.

The Blue Jays are 50-13 (.794) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .706.

Guardians hitters have missed on just 21% of swings this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Guardians hitters have just 782 strikeouts in 4,275 PA’s (18%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Guardians hitters are slugging just .512 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .572.

Guardians hitters have an OPS of just .499 (386 PA’s) against left-handed relievers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .693.

Blue Jays hitters have 4 extra-base hits out of 6 total hits (67%) against LHP this month (6 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 36%.

The Blue Jays are batting .267 at home this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .246.

Blue Jays hitters have an OPS of .823 (3,575 PA’s) in the first 3 innings since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .726.

Blue Jays hitters are slugging .665 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .572.

Guardians pitchers have walked 3 of 110 batters (3%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this month (12 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .222 against Guardians pitchers with runners on base since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .246.

Guardians pitchers have walked 9 of 200 batters (4%) over the past seven days (6 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Guardians pitchers have won only 15% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Blue Jays pitchers have walked 297 of 4,172 batters (7%) this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Blue Jays pitchers have walked 770 of 10,088 batters (8%) since the start of last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 38% against Blue Jays pitchers over the last 14 days (11 games) — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Blue Jays vs. Guardians Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Julian Merryweather (Blue Jays): Side, D60
  • Hyun Jin Ryu (Blue Jays): Forearm, D60
  • Nathan Pearson (Blue Jays): Mono, D60
  • Tayler Saucedo (Blue Jays): Hip, D60
  • Thomas Stripling (Blue Jays): Glute/Hip, D15
  • Timothy Mayza (Blue Jays): Shoulder, D15
  • George Springer (Blue Jays): Elbow, D10
  • Cody Morris (Guardians): Shoulder, D60
  • Anthony Gose (Guardians): Triceps, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.