- The Blue Jays are -160 favorites vs the Guardians
- Guardians starting pitcher: Tanner Bibee
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Christopher Bassitt
- Watch the game on SNET
The Cleveland Guardians (+135) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-160) on Friday, August 25, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07pm EDT in Toronto.
The Blue Jays are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).
The Guardians vs Blue Jays Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Guardians are 60-68 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 60-68 ATS.
Guardians vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Guardians | +1.5 -155 | O 8.5 -115 | +135 |
| Blue Jays | -1.5 +125 | U 8.5 -105 | -160 |
Guardians vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Friday‘s MLB matchup with 68.4% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Guardians and Blue Jays and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Guardians vs Blue Jays and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jose Ramirez has hit the RBIs Under in 34 of his last 46 games (+10.55 Units / 11% ROI)
- Steven Kwan has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 25 away games (+10.25 Units / 32% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the Total Bases Under in 34 of his last 50 games (+9.65 Units / 13% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 29 games (+9.60 Units / 24% ROI)
- Tyler Freeman has hit the Total Bases Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.50 Units / 47% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Matt Chapman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 30 of his last 45 games (+13.00 Units / 25% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Under in 20 of his last 24 games at home (+12.75 Units / 23% ROI)
- George Springer has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 14 games at home (+12.70 Units / 61% ROI)
- Brandon Belt has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 17 games (+11.80 Units / 40% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 24 games (+10.50 Units / 30% ROI)
Blue Jays vs Guardians Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Will Brennan | 0.5 +1000 | 0.5 |
| Kevin Kiermaier | 0.5 +825 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| George Springer | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Steven Kwan | 0.5 +1050 | 0.5 |
Blue Jays vs Guardians Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Will Brennan | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Kevin Kiermaier | 0.5 -140 | 0.5 +110 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +130 |
| George Springer | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Steven Kwan | 1.5 +155 | 1.5 -200 |
Blue Jays vs Guardians RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Will Brennan | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Kevin Kiermaier | 0.5 +275 | 0.5 -400 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -225 |
| George Springer | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Steven Kwan | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
Blue Jays vs Guardians Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Chris Bassitt | 4.5 -140 | 4.5 +105 |
| Tanner Bibee | 5.5 +115 | 5.5 -150 |
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 48 of their last 86 games (+10.75 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.80 Units / 49% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 8 of their last 11 away games (+4.20 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 11 away games (+2.63 Units / 21% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 63 of their last 103 games (+19.94 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 34 of their last 58 games at home (+12.20 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 15 of their last 22 games at home (+6.50 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 20 of their last 37 games (+5.95 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 21 of their last 37 games (+3.37 Units / 8% ROI)
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Guardians have gone 64-64 against the Run Line (-1.5 Units / -0.93% ROI).
- 60-68 when betting on the Moneyline for -20.55 Units / -12.76% ROI
- 50-73 when betting on the total runs Over for -31 Units / -22.06% ROI
- 73-50 when betting on the total runs Under for +18.6 Units / 13.36% ROI
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 60-68 against the Run Line (-8.85 Units / -5.56% ROI).
- 70-58 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.6 Units / -4.79% ROI
- 51-71 when betting on the total runs Over for -26.2 Units / -18.88% ROI
- 71-51 when betting on the total runs Under for +14.6 Units / 10.37% ROI
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .318 (7-for-22) against Tanner Bibee with two-strikes — 3rd highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .171 — third Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 28% (10/36) against Tanner Bibee — 4th lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 44% — fourth Percentile.
Tanner Bibee has thrown off-speed pitches 72% of the time (28/39) when he’s behind in the count over the last 14 days (2 games) — highest in AL over the last two weeks; League Avg: 40% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .225 (9-for-40) against Tanner Bibee on the first pitch of at-bats this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 50 total IP; League Avg: .352 — 98th Percentile.
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Chris Bassitt has allowed a slugging percentage of just .294 (86 Total Bases / 293 ABs) against right-handed batters this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .397 — 96th Percentile.
Chris Bassitt has allowed a slugging percentage of .460 (58 Total Bases / 126 ABs) on low non-fastballs this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .310 — third Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 19% (109/567) against Chris Bassitt this season — 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — ninth Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .172 (16-for-93) against Chris Bassitt’s elevated fastball this season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .223 — 92nd Percentile.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Guardians are 29-101 (.223) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .131.
The Guardians are just 5-12 (.294) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Guardians are just 5-12 (.294) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Guardians are just 8-32 (.200) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .276.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Blue Jays are 17-11 (.607) after a loss as underdogs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .406.
The Blue Jays are 65-95 (.406) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .285.
The Blue Jays are just 7-30 (.189) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .276.
The Blue Jays are just 5-40 (.111) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .218.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
team hitters – away
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
team hitters – home
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Guardians pitchers have walked 176 of 2,607 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Guardians pitchers have an ERA of 3.80 (1142.0 IP) this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 4.33.
Guardians pitchers have an ERA of 3.41 (607.0 IP) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.21.
The Guardians pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 39% of their games on the road since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 45%.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Blue Jays pitchers have won only 14% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Blue Jays pitchers have an ERA of 3.47 (540.0 IP) at home this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.21.
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 808 of 10,884 batters (7%) since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays vs. Guardians Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Adam Cimber (Blue Jays): Shoulder, D60
- Otto Lopez (Blue Jays): Oblique, D60
- Hagen Danner (Blue Jays): Oblique, D15
- Chad Green (Blue Jays): Elbow, D60
- Michael Kelly (Guardians): Back, D15
- Shane Bieber (Guardians): Elbow, D60
- Cal Quantrill (Guardians): Shoulder, D15
- Triston McKenzie (Guardians): Elbow, D60
- David Fry (Guardians): Hamstring, D10
- Joshua-Douglas Naylor (Guardians): Side, D10
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