- The Blue Jays are -175 favorites vs the Guardians
- Guardians starting pitcher: Logan Allen
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Hyun Jin Ryu
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Cleveland Guardians (+145) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-175) on Saturday, August 26, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 3:07pm EDT in Toronto.
The Blue Jays are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+110).
The Guardians vs Blue Jays Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
This season, the Guardians are 61-68 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 60-69 ATS.
Guardians vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Guardians | +1.5 -135 | O 8 +100 | +145 |
| Blue Jays | -1.5 +110 | U 8 -120 | -175 |
Guardians vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Saturday‘s MLB matchup with 70.5% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Guardians and Blue Jays and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jose Ramirez has hit the RBIs Under in 35 of his last 47 games (+11.55 Units / 12% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 30 games (+10.60 Units / 26% ROI)
- Steven Kwan has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 22 away games (+8.60 Units / 32% ROI)
- Tyler Freeman has hit the Total Bases Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.50 Units / 47% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 27 of his last 45 games (+8.00 Units / 16% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Matt Chapman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 31 of his last 46 games (+14.00 Units / 26% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Under in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+11.75 Units / 21% ROI)
- Matt Chapman has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+11.40 Units / 32% ROI)
- Matt Chapman has hit the RBIs Under in his last 11 games (+11.00 Units / 48% ROI)
- George Springer has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 15 games at home (+10.80 Units / 47% ROI)
Blue Jays vs Guardians Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Davis Schneider | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Tyler Freeman | 0.5 +950 | 0.5 -10000 |
| George Springer | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Myles Straw | 0.5 +1250 | 0.5 |
| Andres Gimenez | 0.5 +825 | 0.5 -5000 |
Blue Jays vs Guardians Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Davis Schneider | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +120 |
| Tyler Freeman | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| George Springer | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Myles Straw | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Andres Gimenez | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Blue Jays vs Guardians RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Davis Schneider | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Tyler Freeman | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
| George Springer | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -225 |
| Myles Straw | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -350 |
| Andres Gimenez | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
Blue Jays vs Guardians Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Hyun-Jin Ryu | 3.5 -130 | 3.5 +100 |
| Logan Allen | 4.5 +110 | 4.5 -145 |
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 49 of their last 87 games (+11.75 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.80 Units / 53% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Over in 13 of their last 21 away games (+3.40 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 8 of their last 12 away games (+3.15 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 away games (+2.05 Units / 40% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 64 of their last 104 games (+20.94 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 35 of their last 59 games at home (+13.20 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 16 of their last 23 games at home (+7.50 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 20 of their last 38 games (+4.95 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 21 of their last 38 games (+2.27 Units / 5% ROI)
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Guardians have gone 65-64 against the Run Line (-0.5 Units / -0.31% ROI).
- 61-68 when betting on the Moneyline for -19.15 Units / -11.81% ROI
- 50-74 when betting on the total runs Over for -32 Units / -22.61% ROI
- 74-50 when betting on the total runs Under for +19.6 Units / 13.96% ROI
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 60-69 against the Run Line (-9.85 Units / -6.15% ROI).
- 70-59 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.2 Units / -5.63% ROI
- 51-72 when betting on the total runs Over for -27.2 Units / -19.46% ROI
- 72-51 when betting on the total runs Under for +15.6 Units / 10.99% ROI
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Logan Allen has walked 15 of 117 batters (13%) over the last 30 days (5 games) — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — sixth Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .120 (3 GB hits out of 25 GBs) against Logan Allen with runners in scoring position this season — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 50 total IP; League Avg: .250 — 97th Percentile.
Logan Allen has allowed a slugging percentage of just .276 (51 Total Bases / 185 ABs) on non-fastballs this season — 9th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 50 total IP; League Avg: .389 — 92nd Percentile.
Logan Allen had a strike rate of just 58% (57/99) — 5th lowest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 65% — fifth Percentile.
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Hyun Jin Ryu has pitched 14.0 straight innings without allowing an earned run — Josh Hader has the longest active streak at 22.1.
Hyun Jin Ryu has not allowed a HR in any of his last three starts dating back to August 7th — Scott Alexander has the longest active streak at 12.
Hyun Jin Ryu has allowed no extra-base hits in his last 9.1 innings pitched — Justin Topa has the longest active streak at 22.2.
Hyun Jin Ryu has allowed three-ball counts to 2% of batters they faced (13/706 PA’s) against right-handed batters since the 2021 season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 180 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 97th Percentile.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Guardians are 29-101 (.223) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .131.
The Guardians are just 5-12 (.294) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Guardians are just 5-12 (.294) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Guardians were 16-57 (.219) when trailing entering the 7th inning in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: .118.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Blue Jays are 17-11 (.607) after a loss as underdogs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .407.
The Blue Jays are 11-5 (.688) after a loss as underdogs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .423.
The Blue Jays are 31-45 (.408) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .269.
The Blue Jays are just 5-41 (.109) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .217.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
Guardians hitters have just 630 strikeouts in 3,354 PA’s (19%) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Guardians hitters have a swing rate of 65% with two-strikes this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 60%.
Guardians hitters have just 1,425 strikeouts in 7,938 PA’s (18%) against RHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Guardians hitters have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 34% against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 40%.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
Blue Jays hitters have an OPS of just .324 (116 PA’s) in innings 7-9 over the last 14 days (11 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .757.
The Blue Jays are batting .264 on the road since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .242.
The Blue Jays are batting .262 on the road since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .241.
Blue Jays hitters have just 1,332 strikeouts in 6,788 PA’s (20%) in righty-righty matchups since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Guardians pitchers have walked 176 of 2,616 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Guardians pitchers have an ERA of 3.41 (607.0 IP) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.21.
Guardians pitchers have an ERA of 3.61 (2607.0 IP) since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 4.13.
Guardians pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 89.7 MPH (3,221 batted balls) this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 89.1.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 36% against Blue Jays pitchers over the last 14 days (11 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Blue Jays pitchers have an ERA of 3.49 (549.0 IP) at home this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.21.
Blue Jays vs. Guardians Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Adam Cimber (Blue Jays): Shoulder, D60
- Otto Lopez (Blue Jays): Oblique, D60
- Hagen Danner (Blue Jays): Oblique, D15
- Chad Green (Blue Jays): Elbow, D60
- Michael Kelly (Guardians): Back, D15
- Shane Bieber (Guardians): Elbow, D60
- Cal Quantrill (Guardians): Shoulder, D15
- Triston McKenzie (Guardians): Elbow, D60
- William Brennan (Guardians): Knee, Day-to-Day
- David Fry (Guardians): Hamstring, D10
- Joshua-Douglas Naylor (Guardians): Side, D10
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