- The Blue Jays are -250 favorites vs the Guardians
- Guardians starting pitcher: Noah Syndergaard
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Yusei Kikuchi
- Watch the game on SNET
The Cleveland Guardians (+190) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-250) on Sunday, August 27, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 1:37pm EDT in Toronto.
The Blue Jays are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-110).
The Guardians vs Blue Jays Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
This season, the Guardians are 61-69 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 61-69 ATS.
Guardians vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Guardians | +1.5 -110 | O 9 -135 | +190 |
| Blue Jays | -1.5 -110 | U 9 +110 | -250 |
Guardians vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Sunday‘s MLB matchup with 79.7% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Guardians and Blue Jays and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jose Ramirez has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 31 games (+9.35 Units / 22% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the RBIs Under in 35 of his last 48 games (+9.20 Units / 9% ROI)
- Steven Kwan has hit the Hits Over in 10 of his last 18 away games (+7.90 Units / 34% ROI)
- Steven Kwan has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 28 games (+7.50 Units / 19% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 27 of his last 46 games (+7.00 Units / 13% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Matt Chapman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 31 of his last 47 games (+12.65 Units / 23% ROI)
- Matt Chapman has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 23 games at home (+11.60 Units / 35% ROI)
- Bo Bichette has hit the Runs Under in 32 of his last 48 games (+10.45 Units / 16% ROI)
- Brandon Belt has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 18 games (+10.20 Units / 33% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Under in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+9.75 Units / 18% ROI)
Blue Jays vs Guardians Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eric Haase | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -700 |
| George Springer | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Myles Straw | 0.5 +1400 | 0.5 |
| Brandon Belt | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -700 |
Blue Jays vs Guardians Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eric Haase | 0.5 -135 | 0.5 +100 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| George Springer | 1.5 +175 | 1.5 -250 |
| Myles Straw | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +130 |
| Brandon Belt | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Blue Jays vs Guardians RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eric Haase | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| George Springer | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Myles Straw | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -450 |
| Brandon Belt | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
Blue Jays vs Guardians Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yusei Kikuchi | 6.5 +100 | 6.5 -130 |
| Noah Syndergaard | 4.5 +130 | 4.5 -165 |
| Yusei Kikuchi | 5.5 -140 | 5.5 +110 |
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 49 of their last 88 games (+10.40 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.60 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 13 away games (+2.38 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 8 of their last 13 away games (+2.15 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 away games (+2.05 Units / 40% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 64 of their last 105 games (+19.69 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 35 of their last 60 games at home (+12.00 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 16 of their last 24 games at home (+6.30 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 21 of their last 39 games (+6.10 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 22 of their last 39 games (+3.27 Units / 7% ROI)
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Guardians have gone 65-65 against the Run Line (-1.85 Units / -1.13% ROI).
- 61-69 when betting on the Moneyline for -20.15 Units / -12.35% ROI
- 51-74 when betting on the total runs Over for -31 Units / -21.75% ROI
- 74-51 when betting on the total runs Under for +18.4 Units / 12.99% ROI
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 61-69 against the Run Line (-8.7 Units / -5.4% ROI).
- 71-59 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.2 Units / -5.03% ROI
- 52-72 when betting on the total runs Over for -26.2 Units / -18.61% ROI
- 72-52 when betting on the total runs Under for +14.4 Units / 10.06% ROI
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Carlos Rodon had a strikeout rate of 33% (237/710) in 2022 — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Noah Syndergaard has had second base stolen on him 28 times this season — most in MLB — 100th Percentile.
Carlos Rodon elevated 47% of his pitches (924/1,981) in non-two strike counts in 2022 — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 29% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 35% (69/195) against Carlos Rodon in two-strike counts in 2022 — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 46% — fourth Percentile.
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Yusei Kikuchi has not allowed a home run in any of the last 42.0 innings he’s appeared — Tanner Scott has the longest active streak at 50.0.
Yusei Kikuchi has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.4 MPH on pitches out of the zone since last season (120 balls in play) — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 115 total IP; League Avg: 80.6
11 of Yusei Kikuchi’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor on breaking pitches this season — tied for 9th most among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: nan — 85th Percentile.
Yusei Kikuchi has allowed an OPS of just .486 (105 PA’s) with runners in scoring position this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .711 — 100th Percentile.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Guardians are 29-102 (.221) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .130.
The Guardians are just 5-12 (.294) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Guardians are just 5-12 (.294) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Guardians are 35-5 (.875) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .797.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Blue Jays are 17-11 (.607) after a loss as underdogs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .406.
The Blue Jays are 65-96 (.404) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .284.
The Blue Jays are 4-45 (.082) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .051.
The Blue Jays are 27-10 (.730) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .575.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
Guardians hitters have just 1,430 strikeouts in 7,950 PA’s (18%) against RHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Guardians hitters have missed on just 22% of swings since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Guardians hitters have put just 34% of balls in play to the left side of the field this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.
Guardians hitters have just 2,038 strikeouts in 11,023 PA’s (18%) since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
27% of Blue Jays hitters strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Blue Jays are batting .262 on the road since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .241.
Blue Jays hitters have 79 extra-base hits out of 262 total hits (just 30%) against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Blue Jays hitters have just 782 strikeouts in 3,908 PA’s (20%) against LHP since the 2021 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Guardians pitchers have an ERA of 3.41 (607.0 IP) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.21.
Guardians pitchers have walked 177 of 2,624 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Guardians pitchers have an ERA of 3.82 (1159.0 IP) this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 4.33.
Guardians pitchers have an ERA of 2.95 (353.1 IP) against division opponents this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.28.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 810 of 10,954 batters (7%) since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 176 of 2,618 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Blue Jays vs. Guardians Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Adam Cimber (Blue Jays): Shoulder, D60
- Otto Lopez (Blue Jays): Oblique, D60
- Matt Chapman (Blue Jays): Undisclosed, Day-to-Day
- Erik Swanson (Blue Jays): Spine, D15
- Bo Bichette (Blue Jays): Quad, Day-to-Day
- Hagen Danner (Blue Jays): Oblique, D15
- Chad Green (Blue Jays): Elbow, D60
- Michael Kelly (Guardians): Back, D15
- Shane Bieber (Guardians): Elbow, D60
- Cal Quantrill (Guardians): Shoulder, D15
- Triston McKenzie (Guardians): Elbow, D60
- William Brennan (Guardians): Knee, Day-to-Day
- David Fry (Guardians): Hamstring, D10
- Joshua-Douglas Naylor (Guardians): Side, D10
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