- The Braves are -140 favorites vs the Guardians
- Guardians vs Braves Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Guardians / Braves TV Channel: GDTV | BRVN
The Cleveland Guardians (+115) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-140) on April 10, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15 pm in Atlanta, GA.
This season, the Guardians are 8-5 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 8-5 ATS.
Guardians vs Braves Starting Pitchers Today:
- Guardians starting pitcher: Slade Cecconi 0-1, 5.23 ERA
- Braves starting pitcher: Bryce Elder 1-1, 0.00 ERA
Guardians vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Guardians vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Friday‘s MLB game with 51.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today:
- Chase DeLauter has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 6 away games (+15.00 Units / 250% ROI)
- Kyle Manzardo has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+10.15 Units / 34% ROI)
- Kyle Manzardo has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+8.95 Units / 29% ROI)
- Kyle Manzardo has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 25 games (+8.55 Units / 34% ROI)
- Steven Kwan has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 20 games (+7.15 Units / 35% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Drake Baldwin has hit the RBIs Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+19.70 Units / 79% ROI)
- Dominic Smith has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 games at home (+19.50 Units / 217% ROI)
- Drake Baldwin has hit the Runs Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+13.60 Units / 54% ROI)
- Michael Harris II has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+12.35 Units / 42% ROI)
- Drake Baldwin has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 25 games (+10.50 Units / 42% ROI)
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 33 of their last 50 games (+21.00 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 26 of their last 40 games (+13.35 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 26 of their last 40 games (+12.50 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 32 of their last 50 away games (+11.90 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 15 games (+7.90 Units / 43% ROI)
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 35 of their last 50 games at home (+17.25 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 28 of their last 45 games (+13.55 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 18 games at home (+9.60 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Under in 16 of their last 23 games at home (+8.55 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 25 games (+4.90 Units / 13% ROI)
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 8-5 against the Run Line (+1.95 Units / 10.8% ROI).
- 8-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.2 Units / 45.93% ROI
- 5-8 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.7 Units / -26.15% ROI
- 8-5 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.25 Units / 15.46% ROI
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Braves are 8-5 against the Run Line (+6 Units / 45.45% ROI).
- 8-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 5.48% ROI
- 5-8 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.7 Units / -25.69% ROI
- 8-5 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.7 Units / 19.01% ROI
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Guardians were 33-4 (.868) when they had 10 or more hits in the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .743.
The Guardians are 35-4 (.875) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .748.
The Guardians are 51-4 (.927) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .805.
The Guardians were 50-8 (.847) when they scored 5 or more runs in the 2025 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .797.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Braves are 1-5 (.167) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .030.
The Braves are just 14-72 (.163) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .294.
The Braves were just 7-40 (.149) when allowing 2 or more home runs in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .301.
The Braves are just 7-41 (.146) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .298.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
The Guardians batted just .226 in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
The Guardians are batting just .225 since the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
Guardians hitters had an OPS of just .545 (690 PA’s) in righty-righty matchups in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.
The Guardians batted just .186 in righty-righty matchups in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
Braves hitters are slugging .346 with two-strikes this season — best in MLB.
Braves hitters slugged .501 in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .414.
Braves hitters slugged .751 on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .596.
The Braves are 1-5 (.167) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .030.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a chase percentage of just 26% against the Guardians pitchers in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.
Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of 30% this season — best in MLB.
Guardians pitchers had an ERA of 3.72 (706.0 IP) on the road in the 2025 season — tied for best in MLB.
Guardians pitchers are throwing 4.21 pitches per plate appearance this season — highest in MLB.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .124 against Braves pitchers this season — best in MLB.
Braves pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into 15 double plays in 75 opportunities (20%) this season — 2nd best in MLB.
The Braves pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in 56% of their games on the road in the 2025 season — 2nd highest in MLB.
Braves pitchers have walked 7% of batters this season — 4th best in MLB.
More MLB Reading:
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