- The Guardians are +100 favorites vs the Braves
- Guardians vs Braves Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Guardians / Braves TV Channel: GDTV | BRVN
The Cleveland Guardians (+100) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-120) on April 11, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15 pm in Atlanta, GA.
This season, the Guardians are 8-6 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 9-5 ATS.
Guardians vs Braves Starting Pitchers Today:
- Guardians starting pitcher: Parker Messick 1-0, 0.82 ERA
- Braves starting pitcher: Martin Perez 0-0, 3.86 ERA
Guardians vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Guardians | -1.5 +165 | O 8 -105 | +100 |
| Braves | +1.5 -200 | U 8 -115 | -120 |
Guardians vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 52.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today:
- Chase DeLauter has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 away games (+14.00 Units / 200% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the RBIs Over in 10 of his last 20 away games (+6.95 Units / 35% ROI)
- Bo Naylor has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+6.90 Units / 58% ROI)
- Steven Kwan has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 25 away games (+6.85 Units / 16% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+6.70 Units / 18% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Drake Baldwin has hit the RBIs Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+19.70 Units / 79% ROI)
- Drake Baldwin has hit the Runs Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+13.30 Units / 53% ROI)
- Drake Baldwin has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 games at home (+12.20 Units / 174% ROI)
- Drake Baldwin has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+11.15 Units / 34% ROI)
- Drake Baldwin has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 25 games (+10.25 Units / 41% ROI)
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 33 of their last 50 games (+21.00 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 26 of their last 40 games (+13.05 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 30 of their last 45 away games (+12.85 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 40 games (+10.40 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 20 away games (+8.35 Units / 41% ROI)
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 35 of their last 50 games at home (+17.20 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 29 of their last 45 games (+16.10 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 19 games at home (+8.50 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Under in 16 of their last 24 games at home (+7.25 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 30 games (+5.70 Units / 13% ROI)
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 8-6 against the Run Line (+0.2 Units / 1.01% ROI).
- 8-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.2 Units / 35.86% ROI
- 6-8 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.7 Units / -17.7% ROI
- 8-6 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.15 Units / 7.35% ROI
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Braves are 9-5 against the Run Line (+7.55 Units / 53.17% ROI).
- 9-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +2 Units / 10.18% ROI
- 6-8 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.7 Units / -17.42% ROI
- 8-6 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.6 Units / 10.46% ROI
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Guardians were 24-2 (.923) when they had 5 or more XBH in the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .799.
The Guardians were just 73-5 (.936) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2025 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .956.
The Guardians are 35-4 (.875) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .749.
The Guardians were 12-6 (.667) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Braves are 1-5 (.167) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .027.
The Braves are just 7-41 (.146) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .297.
The Braves are 9-5 (.643) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Braves were 10-67 (.130) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .090.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
The Guardians batted just .186 in righty-righty matchups in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.
The Guardians are batting just .194 in righty-righty matchups since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.
The Guardians batted just .226 in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
Guardians hitters had an OPS of just .545 (690 PA’s) in righty-righty matchups in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
Braves hitters are slugging .365 with two-strikes this season — best in MLB.
Braves hitters have an OPS of .649 (282 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — best in MLB.
Braves hitters have an OPS of .779 (374 PA’s) against RHP this season — 4th best in MLB.
Braves hitters have an OPS of .697 (187 PA’s) with two-strikes this month (9 games) — best in MLB.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a chase percentage of just 26% against the Guardians pitchers in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.
Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of 29% this month (8 games) — best in MLB.
Guardians pitchers have an ERA of 2.51 (498.1 IP) against division opponents since the 2025 season — best in MLB.
Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of 28% over the past seven days (6 games) — best in MLB.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .132 against Braves pitchers this season — best in MLB.
Braves pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into 16 double plays in 78 opportunities (20%) this season — 2nd best in MLB.
Braves pitchers have an ERA of 2.25 (124.0 IP) this season — best in MLB.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Braves pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.
More MLB Reading:
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