• The Braves are -200 favorites vs the Guardians
• Guardians vs Braves Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
• Guardians / Braves TV Channel: NBC | PEAC

The Cleveland Guardians (+165) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-200) on April 12, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:20 pm in Atlanta, GA.

This season, the Guardians are 9-6 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 9-6 ATS.

Guardians vs Braves Starting Pitchers Today:

• Guardians starting pitcher: Tanner Bibee 0-1, 3.22 ERA
• Braves starting pitcher: Chris Sale 2-1, 3.94 ERA

Guardians vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Guardians vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 61.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Guardians vs Braves and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today:

• Chase DeLauter has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 away games (+13.00 Units / 162% ROI)
• Steven Kwan has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 25 games (+7.90 Units / 24% ROI)
• Bo Naylor has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+6.90 Units / 58% ROI)
• Jose Ramirez has hit the RBIs Over in 10 of his last 20 away games (+6.85 Units / 34% ROI)
• Steven Kwan has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 25 games (+6.85 Units / 27% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Drake Baldwin has hit the RBIs Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+19.70 Units / 79% ROI)
• Dominic Smith has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games at home (+18.50 Units / 185% ROI)
• Drake Baldwin has hit the Runs Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+13.35 Units / 53% ROI)
• Drake Baldwin has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+10.90 Units / 33% ROI)
• Dominic Smith has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 20 games at home (+10.35 Units / 51% ROI)

Guardians Best Bets Today:

• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 34 of their last 50 games (+23.20 Units / 41% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 33 of their last 50 away games (+13.90 Units / 23% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 32 of their last 50 games (+13.80 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 26 of their last 40 games (+12.60 Units / 28% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 18 of their last 35 away games (+9.45 Units / 26% ROI)

Braves Best Bets Today:

• The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 35 of their last 50 games at home (+17.40 Units / 29% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 28 of their last 45 games (+13.25 Units / 24% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 20 games at home (+9.50 Units / 43% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Under in 17 of their last 25 games at home (+8.35 Units / 29% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 30 games (+5.85 Units / 13% ROI)

Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 9-6 against the Run Line (+1.5 Units / 7.21% ROI).

• 9-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.2 Units / 40% ROI
• 6-9 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.8 Units / -23.24% ROI
• 9-6 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.15 Units / 12.84% ROI

Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Braves are 9-6 against the Run Line (+6.05 Units / 38.54% ROI).

• 9-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.8 Units / 3.84% ROI
• 6-9 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.8 Units / -22.89% ROI
• 9-6 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.6 Units / 15.85% ROI

Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Braves

The Guardians are just 2-6 (.250) after a win this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .532.

The Guardians are just 0-6 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .026.

The Guardians are 35-4 (.875) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .748.

The Guardians were 66-5 (.930) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .875.

Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians

The Braves are 1-6 (.143) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .026.

The Braves were just 7-40 (.149) when allowing 2 or more home runs in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .301.

The Braves are 9-6 (.600) this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Braves are just 14-72 (.163) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .294.

Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends

The Guardians batted just .186 in righty-righty matchups in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

Guardians hitters had an OPS of just .545 (690 PA’s) in righty-righty matchups in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

Guardians hitters struck out in 32% of their PA’s in righty-righty matchups in the 2025 season — highest in MLB.

Guardians hitters have struck out in just 14% of their PA’s against RHP this month (9 games) — best in MLB.

Braves Hitting Stats & Trends

Braves hitters slugged .521 against LHP in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .419.

Braves hitters had an OPS of .870 (1,425 PA’s) against LHP in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .742.

Braves hitters have 25 extra-base hits out of 50 total hits (50%) with two-strikes this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Braves hitters are slugging .446 on the road this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends

Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of 28% this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of 29% this month (9 games) — best in MLB.

Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .207 against Guardians pitchers with runners on base in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .262.

Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of 32% in late innings this season — best in MLB.

Braves Pitching Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .128 against Braves pitchers this season — best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Braves pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Braves pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into 17 double plays in 83 opportunities (20%) this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Opponents had a miss rate of 27% against Braves pitchers in the 2025 season — 4th best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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