- The Cubs are -160 favorites vs the Guardians
- Guardians vs Cubs Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Guardians / Cubs TV Channel: ESPN
The Cleveland Guardians (+135) visit Wrigley Field to take on the Chicago Cubs (-160) on Wednesday, July 2, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 8:05pm EDT in Chicago, IL.
This season, the Guardians are 40-43 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 42-43 ATS.
Guardians vs Cubs Starting Pitchers Today:
- Guardians starting pitcher: Tanner Bibee 4-8, 3.92 ERA
- Cubs starting pitcher: Shota Imanaga 4-2, 2.54 ERA
Guardians vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Guardians | +1.5 -170 | O 8 -102 | +135 |
| Cubs | -1.5 +140 | U 8 -118 | -160 |
Guardians vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 57.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jose Ramirez has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 15 games (+12.25 Units / 59% ROI)
- Steven Kwan has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 25 games (+9.10 Units / 24% ROI)
- David Fry has hit the Total Bases Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.40 Units / 60% ROI)
- Steven Kwan has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 25 games (+8.40 Units / 34% ROI)
- Lane Thomas has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 9 of his last 10 away games (+7.70 Units / 55% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Nico Hoerner has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 games (+36.00 Units / 514% ROI)
- Seiya Suzuki has hit the Singles Under in 22 of his last 25 games at home (+18.00 Units / 55% ROI)
- Dansby Swanson has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+7.95 Units / 19% ROI)
- Michael Busch has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+7.90 Units / 18% ROI)
- Michael Busch has hit the RBIs Over in 6 of his last 8 games (+7.80 Units / 98% ROI)
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 22 away games (+14.60 Units / 59% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Under in 48 of their last 80 games (+12.89 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 19 away games (+6.35 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 12 away games (+3.70 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 7 of their last 10 away games (+3.55 Units / 31% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 43 of their last 83 games (+12.20 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 48 of their last 79 games (+10.95 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 32 games (+6.95 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in their last 6 games at home (+6.20 Units / 92% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Over in 46 of their last 80 games (+5.95 Units / 6% ROI)
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 41-41 against the Run Line (-7.55 Units / -6.61% ROI).
- 40-43 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.95 Units / -3.09% ROI
- 34-45 when betting on the total runs Over for -14.3 Units / -15.89% ROI
- 45-34 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.65 Units / 8.26% ROI
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 42-43 against the Run Line (-1.33 Units / -1.3% ROI).
- 50-35 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.85 Units / 7.14% ROI
- 43-37 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.75 Units / 2.96% ROI
- 37-43 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.45 Units / -11.09% ROI
Cubs vs Guardians Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Kyle Tucker (CHC) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Ian Happ (CHC) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -625 |
Cubs vs Guardians Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Kyle Tucker (CHC) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +180 |
| Steven Kwan (CLE) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Nico Hoerner (CHC) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
Cubs vs Guardians RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Kyle Tucker (CHC) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Michael Busch (CHC) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Cubs vs Guardians Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shota Imanaga (CHC) | 4.5 -145 | 4.5 +110 |
| Tanner Bibee (CLE) | 5.5 +110 | 5.5 -145 |
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Tanner Bibee has not walked any of the 59 batters that he has faced in his last two starts — tied for best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.
Tanner Bibee has allowed a slugging percentage of just .170 (9 Total Bases / 53 ABs) on fastballs away this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .367 — 96th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 17% (26/149) against Tanner Bibee this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 98th Percentile.
Tanner Bibee has a strike rate of just 56% when ahead in the count (fourth lowest)– fifth Percentile and 73% when behind in the count this season (ninth highest among qualified SPs)– 88th Percentile.
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Hitters have swung at 54% of Shota Imanaga’s pitches (417/770) this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 33 total IP; League Avg: 48% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 29% (18/62) against Shota Imanaga in two-strike counts this season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 33 total IP; League Avg: 44% — second Percentile.
Opponents batted just .062 (1-for-16) against Shota Imanaga in his last start — 5th best in MLB over the last week; League Avg: .225 — 96th Percentile.
Opponents had a swing rate of 51% (919/1,787) against Shota Imanaga in non-two strike counts in the 2024 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Guardians are 19-0 (.950) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .749.
The Guardians are 103-5 (.954) when leading entering the 7th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .861.
The Guardians are just 6-100 (.056) when trailing entering the 8th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .097.
The Guardians are 110-3 (.973) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .902.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Cubs are 18-5 (.783) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses this season They play the Guardians (Ranks 25th runs scored) today.
The Cubs are 52-16 (.765) when they’ve scored in the first inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .638.
The Cubs are 50-35 (.588) this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cubs are 20-6 (.769) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .631.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
The Guardians are batting just .198 in righty-righty matchups this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Guardians hitters have chased 42% of pitches out of the zone with two-strikes this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
The Guardians are batting just .294 in hitter’s counts since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .336.
Guardians hitters have struck out in 32% of their PA’s in righty-righty matchups this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
Cubs hitters are slugging .477 on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .391.
Cubs hitters have drawn walks in 4% of their PA’s against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Cubs hitters have an OBP of just .223 (198 PA’s) against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.
Cubs hitters have 105 extra-base hits out of 260 total hits (40%) with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .207 against Guardians pitchers with runners on base in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .262.
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 25% against the Guardians pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Guardians pitchers have walked 10% of batters this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .223 against Guardians pitchers in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Cubs pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 31% with two-strikes over the last 14 days — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Cubs pitchers have walked 7% of batters this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Cubs pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 16% over the last 14 days — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 35% against Cubs pitchers over the last 14 days — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 41%.
More MLB Reading:
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