- The Dodgers (39-24) are -250 favorites vs the Guardians (33-27)
- Guardians starting pitcher: Cal Quantrill (4-3), 3.37 ERA
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Julio Urías (3-6), 2.79 ERA
- Watch the game on FOX
The Cleveland Guardians (+200) visit Dodger Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (-250) on Saturday, June 18, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15pm EDT in Los Angeles.
The Dodgers are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-120).
The Guardians vs Dodgers Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Guardians are 33-27 against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers are 35-28 ATS.
Guardians vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Guardians | +1.5 +100 | O 8 +100 | +200 |
| Dodgers | -1.5 -120 | U 8 -120 | -250 |
Guardians vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Saturday‘s matchup with 50.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Guardians and Dodgers and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Dodgers vs Guardians Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Chris Taylor | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -650 |
| Cody Bellinger | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -650 |
| Freddie Freeman | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -700 |
| Gavin Lux | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Justin Turner | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
Dodgers vs Guardians Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Chris Taylor | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +125 |
| Cody Bellinger | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +105 |
| Freddie Freeman | 1.5 +165 | 1.5 -250 |
| Gavin Lux | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +110 |
| Justin Turner | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
Dodgers vs Guardians RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Chris Taylor | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -250 |
| Cody Bellinger | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -250 |
| Freddie Freeman | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -200 |
| Gavin Lux | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -350 |
| Justin Turner | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
Dodgers vs Guardians Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Julio Urias | 4.5 -130 | 4.5 -110 |
| Cal Quantrill | 3.5 -145 | 3.5 +105 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Guardians Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
Positive Betting Trends for the Dodgers: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Guardians have gone 33-27 against the Run Line (+5.15 Units / 6.93% ROI).
- 33-27 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.05 Units / 9.74% ROI
- 28-28 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.1 Units / -4.66% ROI
- 28-28 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.75 Units / -4.18% ROI
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Guardians have gone 35-28 against the Run Line (+4.05 Units / 5.44% ROI).
- 39-24 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.1 Units / -8.75% ROI
- 24-35 when betting on the total runs Over for -14.65 Units / -21% ROI
- 35-24 when betting on the total runs Under for +8.7 Units / 12.6% ROI
Cal Quantrill: Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 12% (38/303) against Cal Quantrill this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — first Percentile.
Cal Quantrill has a strikeout rate of just 30% (40 SO in 135 PAs) with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 42% — second Percentile.
Cal Quantrill has struck out just 12% (19/158) of right-handed batters he faced this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 17% (84/501) against Cal Quantrill this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — third Percentile.
Julio Urías: Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Julio Urias has a strike rate of 73% (706/972) vs left-handed batters since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 111 total IP; League Avg: 64% — 100th Percentile.
Julio Urias has allowed a slugging percentage of .500 (33 Total Bases / 66 ABs) on low non-fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .290 — first Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 20% (6/30) against Julio Urias on low breaking pitches this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 50% — first Percentile.
Julio Urias has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 81% (158/196) of left-handed hitters since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 111 total IP; League Avg: 63% — 100th Percentile.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Guardians are 22-3 (.880) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .796.
The Guardians are 16-10 (.615) at home this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .512.
The Guardians are 23-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .925.
The Guardians are 5-20 (.200) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .100.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Dodgers are 15-4 (.789) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — tied for 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .716.
The Dodgers are 29-3 (.906) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .796.
The Dodgers are 36-2 (.947) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .900.
The Dodgers are 19-11 (.633) at home this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .512.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
Guardians hitters have just 281 strikeouts in 1,619 PA’s (17%) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Guardians hitters have missed on just 21% of swings this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Guardians hitters have just 405 strikeouts in 2,262 PA’s (18%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
27% of Guardians hitters strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
Dodgers hitters have chased 24% of pitches out of the zone since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Dodgers hitters have chased 24% of pitches out of the zone against RHP since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Dodgers hitters have 26 extra-base hits out of 48 total hits (54%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
The Dodgers have a winning percentage of 69% at home since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Guardians pitchers have walked 34 of 534 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .190 against Guardians pitchers with the shift since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .222.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .190 against Guardians pitchers with the shift since the start of 2020 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .224.
Guardians pitchers have walked 3 of 118 batters (3%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days (13 games) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
Dodgers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 2.93 (1004.1 IP) on the road since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.36.
The Dodgers pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.2 MPH since the start of last season (5,157 balls in play) — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.7
Dodgers pitchers have walked 163 of 2,274 batters (7%) this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Dodgers vs. Guardians Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
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