Guardians vs Dodgers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 18

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 18, 2022, 11:16 AM
  • The Dodgers (39-24) are -250 favorites vs the Guardians (33-27)
  • Guardians starting pitcher: Cal Quantrill (4-3), 3.37 ERA
  • Dodgers starting pitcher: Julio Urías (3-6), 2.79 ERA
  • Watch the game on FOX

The Cleveland Guardians (+200) visit Dodger Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (-250) on Saturday, June 18, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15pm EDT in Los Angeles.

The Dodgers are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-120).

The Guardians vs Dodgers Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Guardians are 33-27 against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers are 35-28 ATS.

Guardians vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Guardians+1.5 +100O 8 +100+200
Dodgers -1.5 -120U 8 -120-250

Guardians vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Saturday‘s matchup with 50.1% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Guardians and Dodgers and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Dodgers vs Guardians and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Jose Ramirez has hit the Total Bases Over in 32 of his last 56 games (+9.70 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Jose Ramirez has hit the Hits Over in 25 of his last 34 away games (+7.65 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Steven Kwan has hit the Singles Over in his last 7 games (+7.35 Units / 82% ROI)
  • Oscar Gonzalez has hit the RBIs Under in 8 of his last 9 away games (+6.90 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Steven Kwan has hit the Hits Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+6.00 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today

    And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Justin Turner has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 12 games (+12.20 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Freddie Freeman has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 22 games (+11.45 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Trea Turner has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+8.75 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Justin Turner has hit the RBIs Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+8.55 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Freddie Freeman has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+8.15 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Dodgers vs Guardians Home Run Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Chris Taylor 0.5 +375 0.5 -650
    Cody Bellinger 0.5 +360 0.5 -650
    Freddie Freeman 0.5 +400 0.5 -700
    Gavin Lux 0.5 +700 0.5 -2500
    Justin Turner 0.5 +400 0.5 -750

    Dodgers vs Guardians Total Hits Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Chris Taylor 0.5 -175 0.5 +125
    Cody Bellinger 0.5 -155 0.5 +105
    Freddie Freeman 1.5 +165 1.5 -250
    Gavin Lux 0.5 -160 0.5 +110
    Justin Turner 0.5 -250 0.5 +175

    Dodgers vs Guardians RBI Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Chris Taylor 0.5 +160 0.5 -250
    Cody Bellinger 0.5 +170 0.5 -250
    Freddie Freeman 0.5 +140 0.5 -200
    Gavin Lux 0.5 +210 0.5 -350
    Justin Turner 0.5 +145 0.5 -200

    Dodgers vs Guardians Strikeout Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Julio Urias 4.5 -130 4.5 -110
    Cal Quantrill 3.5 -145 3.5 +105
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 41 games (+12.00 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 15 of their last 20 games (+10.85 Units / 49% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 25 of their last 41 games (+10.30 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 29 games (+6.40 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 17 games (+5.50 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Under in 35 of their last 63 games (+8.70 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.95 Units / 50% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 36 of their last 59 games (+5.90 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 34 of their last 60 games (+5.60 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+0.55 Units / 4% ROI)
  • Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Against the spread this MLB season, the Guardians have gone 33-27 against the Run Line (+5.15 Units / 6.93% ROI).

    • 33-27 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.05 Units / 9.74% ROI
    • 28-28 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.1 Units / -4.66% ROI
    • 28-28 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.75 Units / -4.18% ROI

    Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Against the spread this MLB season, the Guardians have gone 35-28 against the Run Line (+4.05 Units / 5.44% ROI).

    • 39-24 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.1 Units / -8.75% ROI
    • 24-35 when betting on the total runs Over for -14.65 Units / -21% ROI
    • 35-24 when betting on the total runs Under for +8.7 Units / 12.6% ROI

    Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 12% (38/303) against Cal Quantrill this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — first Percentile.

    Cal Quantrill has a strikeout rate of just 30% (40 SO in 135 PAs) with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 42% — second Percentile.

    Cal Quantrill has struck out just 12% (19/158) of right-handed batters he faced this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — first Percentile.

    Opponents have a miss rate of just 17% (84/501) against Cal Quantrill this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — third Percentile.

    Julio Urías: Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

    Julio Urias has a strike rate of 73% (706/972) vs left-handed batters since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 111 total IP; League Avg: 64% — 100th Percentile.

    Julio Urias has allowed a slugging percentage of .500 (33 Total Bases / 66 ABs) on low non-fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .290 — first Percentile.

    Opponents have a groundball rate of just 20% (6/30) against Julio Urias on low breaking pitches this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 50% — first Percentile.

    Julio Urias has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 81% (158/196) of left-handed hitters since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 111 total IP; League Avg: 63% — 100th Percentile.

    Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers

    The Guardians are 22-3 (.880) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .796.

    The Guardians are 16-10 (.615) at home this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .512.

    The Guardians are 23-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .925.

    The Guardians are 5-20 (.200) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .100.

    Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians

    The Dodgers are 15-4 (.789) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — tied for 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .716.

    The Dodgers are 29-3 (.906) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .796.

    The Dodgers are 36-2 (.947) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .900.

    The Dodgers are 19-11 (.633) at home this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .512.

    Guardians hitters have just 281 strikeouts in 1,619 PA’s (17%) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

    Guardians hitters have missed on just 21% of swings this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

    Guardians hitters have just 405 strikeouts in 2,262 PA’s (18%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

    27% of Guardians hitters strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 21%.

    Dodgers hitters have chased 24% of pitches out of the zone since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.

    Dodgers hitters have chased 24% of pitches out of the zone against RHP since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.

    Dodgers hitters have 26 extra-base hits out of 48 total hits (54%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 36%.

    The Dodgers have a winning percentage of 69% at home since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 53%.

    Guardians pitchers have walked 34 of 534 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

    Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .190 against Guardians pitchers with the shift since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .222.

    Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .190 against Guardians pitchers with the shift since the start of 2020 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .224.

    Guardians pitchers have walked 3 of 118 batters (3%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days (13 games) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

    Dodgers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

    Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 2.93 (1004.1 IP) on the road since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.36.

    The Dodgers pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.2 MPH since the start of last season (5,157 balls in play) — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.7

    Dodgers pitchers have walked 163 of 2,274 batters (7%) this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

    Dodgers vs. Guardians Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Blake Treinen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
  • Edwin Ríos (Dodgers): Hamstring, D10
  • Victor González (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Walker Buehler (Dodgers): Elbow, D15
  • Dustin May (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Kevin Pillar (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
  • James Nelson (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Thomas Kahnle (Dodgers): Forearm, D60
  • Andrew Heaney (Dodgers): Shoudler, D10
  • Markus Betts (Dodgers): Rib, Day-to-Day
  • Daniel Duffy (Dodgers): Hand, D60
  • James Karinchak (Guardians): Shoulder, D60
  • Cody Morris (Guardians): Shoulder, D60
  • Carlos Vargas (Guardians): Undisclosed, D60
  • Franmil Reyes (Guardians): Hamstring, D10
  • Aaron Civale (Guardians): Left Glute, D15

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    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.