Guardians vs Dodgers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 19

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 19, 2022, 11:07 AM
  • The Dodgers (40-24) are -155 favorites vs the Guardians (33-28)
  • Guardians starting pitcher: Shane Bieber (3-3), 3.01 ERA
  • Dodgers starting pitcher: Andrew Heaney (1-0), 0.00 ERA
  • Watch the game on MLB Network

The Cleveland Guardians (+125) visit Dodger Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (-155) on Sunday, June 19, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Los Angeles.

The Dodgers are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).

The Guardians vs Dodgers Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Guardians are 33-28 against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers are 36-28 ATS.

Guardians vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Guardians+1.5 -155O 7.5 -105+125
Dodgers -1.5 +125U 7.5 -115-155

Guardians vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Sunday‘s matchup with 50.1% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Guardians and Dodgers and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Dodgers vs Guardians and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Oscar Gonzalez has hit the RBIs Under in 9 of his last 10 away games (+7.90 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Steven Kwan has hit the Singles Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+6.35 Units / 63% ROI)
  • Oscar Gonzalez has hit the Runs Under in 8 of his last 10 away games (+5.40 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Oscar Gonzalez has hit the Singles Over in 8 of his last 10 away games (+5.30 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Oscar Gonzalez has hit the Total Bases Under in 6 of his last 7 away games (+5.05 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today

    And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Justin Turner has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 13 games (+10.40 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Freddie Freeman has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 23 games (+9.00 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Freddie Freeman has hit the RBIs Under in his last 8 games at home (+8.00 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Trea Turner has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 26 games (+7.05 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Gavin Lux has hit the Singles Under in his last 7 games at home (+7.00 Units / 62% ROI)
  • Dodgers vs Guardians Home Run Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Chris Taylor 0.5 +350 0.5 -650
    Cody Bellinger 0.5 +350 0.5 -650
    Freddie Freeman 0.5 +425 0.5 -800
    Gavin Lux 0.5 +750 0.5 -3000
    Justin Turner 0.5 +375 0.5 -700

    Dodgers vs Guardians Total Hits Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Chris Taylor 0.5 -135 0.5 -105
    Cody Bellinger 0.5 -145 0.5 +100
    Freddie Freeman 1.5 +175 1.5 -250
    Gavin Lux 0.5 -150 0.5 +105
    Justin Turner 0.5 -200 0.5 +145

    Dodgers vs Guardians RBI Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Chris Taylor 0.5 +190 0.5 -275
    Cody Bellinger 0.5 +185 0.5 -275
    Freddie Freeman 0.5 +160 0.5 -250
    Gavin Lux 0.5 +260 0.5 -400
    Justin Turner 0.5 +155 0.5 -225

    Dodgers vs Guardians Strikeout Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Andrew Heaney 4.5 -155 4.5 +110
    Shane Bieber 6.5 -110 6.5 -130
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 42 games (+11.00 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 15 of their last 21 games (+9.85 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 25 of their last 42 games (+9.30 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 30 games (+6.40 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 18 games (+4.50 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Under in 35 of their last 64 games (+8.70 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 37 of their last 60 games (+6.90 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 35 of their last 61 games (+6.60 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.95 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+1.55 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Against the spread this MLB season, the Guardians have gone 33-28 against the Run Line (+4.15 Units / 5.51% ROI).

    • 33-28 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.05 Units / 8.25% ROI
    • 28-28 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.1 Units / -4.59% ROI
    • 28-28 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.75 Units / -4.11% ROI

    Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Against the spread this MLB season, the Guardians have gone 36-28 against the Run Line (+5.05 Units / 6.67% ROI).

    • 40-24 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.1 Units / -7.79% ROI
    • 24-35 when betting on the total runs Over for -14.65 Units / -20.71% ROI
    • 35-24 when betting on the total runs Under for +8.7 Units / 12.38% ROI

    Shane Bieber has located his pitches away 67% of the time (196/293) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 47% — 98th Percentile.

    Shane Bieber has a strikeout rate of 49% (45 SO in 92 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — 96th Percentile.

    Opponents have a two strike miss rate of 35% (165/465) against Shane Bieber since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 111 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 98th Percentile.

    8 of Shane Bieber’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor on breaking pitches this season — tied for 5th most among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: nan — 94th Percentile.

    Andrew Heaney: Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

    Andrew Heaney has allowed a slugging percentage of .951 (58 Total Bases / 61 ABs) on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 111 total IP; League Avg: .583 — 0 Percentile.

    Opponents are hitting .388 (19-for-49) against Andrew Heaney in late innings since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 111 total IP; League Avg: .232 — first Percentile.

    Opponents have a groundball rate of just 35% (59/170) against Andrew Heaney in two-strike counts since the start of last season — 7th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 111 total IP; League Avg: 45% — fifth Percentile.

    Andrew Heaney has allowed an OPS of 1.022 (214 PA’s) versus the 2-3-4 hitters since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 111 total IP; League Avg: .777 — first Percentile.

    Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers

    The Guardians are 20-1 (.952) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .721.

    The Guardians are 22-3 (.880) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .795.

    The Guardians are 5-21 (.192) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .099.

    The Guardians are 16-10 (.615) at home this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .509.

    Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians

    The Dodgers are 99-43 (.697) at home since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .534.

    The Dodgers are 19-4 (.826) when scoring in the first inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .673.

    The Dodgers are just 1-20 (.048) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .074.

    The Dodgers are 38-10 (.792) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .705.

    Guardians hitters have missed on just 21% of swings this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

    Guardians hitters have just 283 strikeouts in 1,625 PA’s (17%) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

    Guardians hitters have just 414 strikeouts in 2,294 PA’s (18%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

    Guardians hitters have put 40% of their swings in play this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.

    Dodgers hitters have chased 24% of pitches out of the zone since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.

    Dodgers hitters have drawn 185 walks in 1,731 PA’s (11%) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

    Dodgers hitters have drawn 634 walks in 6,144 PA’s (10%) against RHP since the start of last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

    Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .334 (6,144 PA’s) against RHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .314.

    The Guardians have won 50% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.

    Guardians pitchers have an ERA of 3.13 (236.0 IP) at home this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 3.86.

    In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Guardians have have still managed to win 41% of the time this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

    Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .190 against Guardians pitchers with the shift since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .222.

    Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 2.93 (1004.1 IP) on the road since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.36.

    Dodgers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

    Dodgers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

    The Dodgers pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.2 MPH this season (1,490 balls in play) — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.7

    Dodgers vs. Guardians Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Markus Betts (Dodgers): Rib, D10
  • Blake Treinen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
  • Edwin Ríos (Dodgers): Hamstring, D10
  • Victor González (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Walker Buehler (Dodgers): Elbow, D15
  • Dustin May (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Kevin Pillar (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
  • James Nelson (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Thomas Kahnle (Dodgers): Forearm, D60
  • Andrew Heaney (Dodgers): Shoudler, D10
  • Daniel Duffy (Dodgers): Hand, D60
  • José Ramírez (Guardians): Thumb, Day-to-Day
  • James Karinchak (Guardians): Shoulder, D60
  • Cody Morris (Guardians): Shoulder, D60
  • Carlos Vargas (Guardians): Undisclosed, D60
  • Franmil Reyes (Guardians): Hamstring, D10
  • Aaron Civale (Guardians): Left Glute, D15

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    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.