- The Dodgers (40-24) are -155 favorites vs the Guardians (33-28)
- Guardians starting pitcher: Shane Bieber (3-3), 3.01 ERA
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Andrew Heaney (1-0), 0.00 ERA
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Cleveland Guardians (+125) visit Dodger Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (-155) on Sunday, June 19, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Los Angeles.
The Dodgers are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).
The Guardians vs Dodgers Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Guardians are 33-28 against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers are 36-28 ATS.
Guardians vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Guardians | +1.5 -155 | O 7.5 -105 | +125 |
| Dodgers | -1.5 +125 | U 7.5 -115 | -155 |
Guardians vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Sunday‘s matchup with 50.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Guardians and Dodgers and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Dodgers vs Guardians Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Chris Taylor | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -650 |
| Cody Bellinger | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -650 |
| Freddie Freeman | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Gavin Lux | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Justin Turner | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -700 |
Dodgers vs Guardians Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Chris Taylor | 0.5 -135 | 0.5 -105 |
| Cody Bellinger | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +100 |
| Freddie Freeman | 1.5 +175 | 1.5 -250 |
| Gavin Lux | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +105 |
| Justin Turner | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
Dodgers vs Guardians RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Chris Taylor | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -275 |
| Cody Bellinger | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -275 |
| Freddie Freeman | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -250 |
| Gavin Lux | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -400 |
| Justin Turner | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -225 |
Dodgers vs Guardians Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew Heaney | 4.5 -155 | 4.5 +110 |
| Shane Bieber | 6.5 -110 | 6.5 -130 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Guardians Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
Positive Betting Trends for the Dodgers: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Guardians have gone 33-28 against the Run Line (+4.15 Units / 5.51% ROI).
- 33-28 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.05 Units / 8.25% ROI
- 28-28 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.1 Units / -4.59% ROI
- 28-28 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.75 Units / -4.11% ROI
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Guardians have gone 36-28 against the Run Line (+5.05 Units / 6.67% ROI).
- 40-24 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.1 Units / -7.79% ROI
- 24-35 when betting on the total runs Over for -14.65 Units / -20.71% ROI
- 35-24 when betting on the total runs Under for +8.7 Units / 12.38% ROI
Shane Bieber: Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Shane Bieber has located his pitches away 67% of the time (196/293) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 47% — 98th Percentile.
Shane Bieber has a strikeout rate of 49% (45 SO in 92 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — 96th Percentile.
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of 35% (165/465) against Shane Bieber since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 111 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 98th Percentile.
8 of Shane Bieber’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor on breaking pitches this season — tied for 5th most among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: nan — 94th Percentile.
Andrew Heaney: Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Andrew Heaney has allowed a slugging percentage of .951 (58 Total Bases / 61 ABs) on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 111 total IP; League Avg: .583 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .388 (19-for-49) against Andrew Heaney in late innings since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 111 total IP; League Avg: .232 — first Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 35% (59/170) against Andrew Heaney in two-strike counts since the start of last season — 7th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 111 total IP; League Avg: 45% — fifth Percentile.
Andrew Heaney has allowed an OPS of 1.022 (214 PA’s) versus the 2-3-4 hitters since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 111 total IP; League Avg: .777 — first Percentile.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Guardians are 20-1 (.952) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .721.
The Guardians are 22-3 (.880) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .795.
The Guardians are 5-21 (.192) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .099.
The Guardians are 16-10 (.615) at home this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .509.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Dodgers are 99-43 (.697) at home since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .534.
The Dodgers are 19-4 (.826) when scoring in the first inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .673.
The Dodgers are just 1-20 (.048) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .074.
The Dodgers are 38-10 (.792) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .705.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
Guardians hitters have missed on just 21% of swings this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Guardians hitters have just 283 strikeouts in 1,625 PA’s (17%) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Guardians hitters have just 414 strikeouts in 2,294 PA’s (18%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Guardians hitters have put 40% of their swings in play this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
Dodgers hitters have chased 24% of pitches out of the zone since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Dodgers hitters have drawn 185 walks in 1,731 PA’s (11%) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Dodgers hitters have drawn 634 walks in 6,144 PA’s (10%) against RHP since the start of last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .334 (6,144 PA’s) against RHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
The Guardians have won 50% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Guardians pitchers have an ERA of 3.13 (236.0 IP) at home this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 3.86.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Guardians have have still managed to win 41% of the time this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .190 against Guardians pitchers with the shift since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .222.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 2.93 (1004.1 IP) on the road since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.36.
Dodgers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Dodgers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Dodgers pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.2 MPH this season (1,490 balls in play) — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.7
Dodgers vs. Guardians Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
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