- The Dodgers are -165 favorites vs the Guardians
- Guardians starting pitcher: Zach Plesac, 11.25 ERA
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Michael Grove, 1.50 ERA
- Watch the game on SportsNet LA
The Cleveland Guardians (+140) visit Camelback Ranch to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (-165) on Monday, March 13, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05pm EDT in Phoenix.
The Dodgers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+115).
The Guardians vs Dodgers Over/Under is 11 total runs for the game.
During Spring Training, the Guardians are 4-7 against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers are 5-7 ATS.
Guardians vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Guardians | +1.5 -135 | O 11 -110 | +140 |
| Dodgers | -1.5 +115 | U 11 -110 | -165 |
Guardians vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Monday‘s Spring Training matchup with 68.3% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Guardians and Dodgers and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical be
Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Hits Under in 4 of his last 6 games at home (+3.90 Units / 44% ROI)
- Trea Turner has hit the RBIs Over in 3 of his last 5 games at home (+3.85 Units / 77% ROI)
- Trea Turner has hit the Hits Over in 3 of his last 7 games at home (+0.25 Units / 3% ROI)
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 89 of their last 150 games (+26.10 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 23 of their last 38 away games (+17.75 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 28 of their last 41 away games (+15.15 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 37 of their last 61 away games (+11.05 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 36 of their last 63 games (+9.45 Units / 14% ROI)
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 97 of their last 163 games (+25.80 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 26 of their last 37 games at home (+18.35 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 90 of their last 162 games (+17.65 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 67 of their last 93 games (+14.65 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 27 games (+7.80 Units / 26% ROI)
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Guardians have gone 4-7 against the Run Line (-3.95 Units / -29.26% ROI).
- 4-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.75 Units / -26.6% ROI
- 4-5 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.5 Units / -12.35% ROI
- 5-4 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.65 Units / 5.39% ROI
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Dodgers have gone 5-7 against the Run Line (-1.7 Units / -13.49% ROI).
- 6-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.8 Units / 10.11% ROI
- 5-6 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.55 Units / -11.61% ROI
- 6-5 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.65 Units / 4.98% ROI
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Zach Plesac allowed an OPS of 1.064 (99 PA’s) with runners in scoring position last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .719 — 0 Percentile.
Zach Plesac allowed an OBP of .455 (99 PA’s) with runners in scoring position last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .316 — 0 Percentile.
Zach Plesac had a strikeout rate of just 8% (8/101) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs last season — tied for lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 24% — first Percentile.
Zach Plesac located 60% of his pitches away (339/569) on the first pitch of at-bats last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 47% — 98th Percentile.
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Michael Grove allowed a slugging percentage of .478 (22 Total Bases / 46 ABs) with two-strikes over the last 30 days of the regular season (4 games) — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 13 total IP; League Avg: .253 — third Percentile.
Michael Grove allowed an OPS of .738 (50 PA’s) with two-strikes over the last 30 days of the regular season (4 games) — 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 13 total IP; League Avg: .483 — fourth Percentile.
Michael Grove walked 2 of 54 left-handed batters (4%) over the last 30 days of the regular season (4 games) — 9th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 13 total IP; League Avg: 8% — 90th Percentile.
Michael Grove threw breaking pitches 50% of the time (156/314) over the last 30 days of the regular season (4 games) — 13th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 13 total IP; League Avg: 32% — 92nd Percentile.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Guardians are 16-57 (.219) when trailing entering the 7th inning last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .119.
The Guardians are 12-60 (.167) when trailing entering the 8th inning last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .085.
The Guardians are 52-7 (.881) when totaling 10 or more hits last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .727.
The Guardians are 63-3 (.955) when leading entering the 7th inning last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .881.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Dodgers are 25-89 (.219) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .125.
The Dodgers are 100-20 (.833) when allowing 4 or fewer runs last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .704.
The Dodgers are 124-68 (.646) on the road since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .462.
The Dodgers are 54-27 (.667) on the road last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .468.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
Guardians hitters struck out just 795 times in 4,584 PA’s (17%) against RHP last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Guardians hitters missed on just 21% of swings last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Guardians hitters slugged just .343 against LHP last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .399.
Guardians hitters had 93 extra-base hits out of 341 total hits (just 27%) against LHP last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
Dodgers hitters had an OBP of .337 (4,473 PA’s) against RHP last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .310.
Dodgers hitters have chased 24% of pitches out of the zone against RHP since the start of the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .336 (8,886 PA’s) against RHP since the start of the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .313.
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .764 (3,757 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since the start of the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .694.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Guardians pitchers walked 88 of 1,460 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
The Guardians pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 35% of their games on the road last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Guardians pitchers walked 435 of 5,989 batters (7%) last season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .225 against Guardians pitchers with runners on base since the start of the 2021 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .246.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 2.80 (1435.1 IP) on the road since the start of the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.29.
Dodgers pitchers had an ERA of 2.54 (718.1 IP) on the road last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.13.
The Dodgers allowed 2.90 runs per game (235/81) on the road last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.31.
The Dodgers pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.3 MPH since the start of the 2021 season (7,469 balls in play) — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.7
Dodgers vs. Guardians Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jonathon Feyereisen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Blake Treinen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Walker Buehler (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Cleveland Guardians – No Injuries Reported
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