- The Giants are -145 favorites vs the Guardians
- Guardians starting pitcher: Gavin Williams
- Giants starting pitcher: Alexander Cobb
- Watch the game on NBCS-BA
The Cleveland Guardians (+120) visit Oracle Park to take on the San Francisco Giants (-145) on Monday, September 11, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 9:45pm EDT in San Francisco.
The Giants are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+145).
The Guardians vs Giants Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Guardians are 68-76 against the spread (ATS), while the Giants are 67-75 ATS.
Guardians vs. Giants Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Guardians | +1.5 -175 | O 7.5 -105 | +120 |
| Giants | -1.5 +145 | U 7.5 -115 | -145 |
Guardians vs Giants Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Monday‘s MLB matchup with 65.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Guardians and Giants and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jose Ramirez has hit the Runs Under in 31 of his last 45 games (+10.70 Units / 17% ROI)
- Cal Quantrill has hit the Strikeouts Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.45 Units / 43% ROI)
- Will Brennan has hit the Hits Over in his last 8 games (+10.05 Units / 63% ROI)
- Gabriel Arias has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 15 away games (+9.95 Units / 38% ROI)
- Steven Kwan has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 25 away games (+9.85 Units / 35% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Logan Webb has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 20 of his last 28 games (+12.45 Units / 35% ROI)
- Paul DeJong has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 14 of his last 16 games at home (+11.90 Units / 49% ROI)
- Casey Schmitt has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 19 games at home (+11.90 Units / 44% ROI)
- Paul DeJong has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 15 games at home (+11.75 Units / 72% ROI)
- Paul DeJong has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 15 games at home (+11.65 Units / 71% ROI)
Giants vs Guardians Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Crawford | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Will Brennan | 0.5 +1350 | 0.5 |
| Mike Yastrzemski | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Steven Kwan | 0.5 +1400 | 0.5 |
| LaMonte Wade Jr | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
Giants vs Guardians Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Crawford | 0.5 -140 | 0.5 +105 |
| Will Brennan | 1.5 +200 | 1.5 -275 |
| Mike Yastrzemski | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Steven Kwan | 1.5 +125 | 1.5 -160 |
| LaMonte Wade Jr | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +130 |
Giants vs Guardians RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Crawford | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -350 |
| Will Brennan | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Mike Yastrzemski | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| Steven Kwan | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| LaMonte Wade Jr | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
Giants vs Guardians Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Cobb | 3.5 +115 | 3.5 -150 |
| Gavin Williams | 4.5 -155 | 4.5 +115 |
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 56 of their last 102 games (+8.65 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 25 games (+6.05 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 30 away games (+3.99 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 4 of their last 5 away games (+3.00 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 13 away games (+2.35 Units / 16% ROI)
Giants Best Bets Today:
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 59 of their last 96 games (+18.13 Units / 16% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 41 of their last 66 games (+13.13 Units / 17% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 31 of their last 64 games at home (+3.21 Units / 3% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.63 Units / 30% ROI)
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Guardians have gone 72-72 against the Run Line (-3.6 Units / -1.98% ROI).
- 68-76 when betting on the Moneyline for -19.35 Units / -10.82% ROI
- 57-82 when betting on the total runs Over for -33.9 Units / -21.45% ROI
- 82-57 when betting on the total runs Under for +19.85 Units / 12.65% ROI
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 67-75 against the Run Line (-16.15 Units / -8.79% ROI).
- 72-70 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.2 Units / -4.47% ROI
- 61-78 when betting on the total runs Over for -25.95 Units / -16.4% ROI
- 78-61 when betting on the total runs Under for +11.95 Units / 7.74% ROI
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .062 (1-for-16) against Gavin Williams over the past seven days (1 games) — 2nd best in AL over the last week; League Avg: .235 — 98th Percentile.
Gavin Williams has walked 4 of 20 batters (20%) over the past seven days (1 games) — 2nd highest in AL over the last week; League Avg: 8% — third Percentile.
Opponents batted just .062 (1-for-16) against Gavin Williams — 5th best in MLB over the last week; League Avg: .235 — 96th Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 39% of Gavin Williams’ pitches (35/89) over the past seven days (1 games) — 2nd lowest in AL over the last week; League Avg: 49% — fourth Percentile.
Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Alex Cobb has walked 8 of 302 right-handed batters (3%) this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — 97th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 60% (524/879) against Alex Cobb since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 121 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 99th Percentile.
Alex Cobb has thrown his changeup 48% of the time (575/1,198) vs left-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 20% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 57% (256/445) against Alex Cobb this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 98th Percentile.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Guardians are 33-106 (.237) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .130.
The Guardians are just 5-15 (.250) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Guardians are 22-114 (.162) when trailing entering the 8th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .093.
The Guardians were 16-57 (.219) when trailing entering the 7th inning in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: .118.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Giants are 62-1 (.984) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .947.
The Giants are 31-29 (.517) after a win as underdogs since last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .415.
The Giants are just 22-41 (.349) after a loss as underdogs since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .405.
The Giants are just 30-54 (.357) after a road loss since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .454.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
Guardians hitters have put just 34% of balls in play to the left side of the field this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.
Guardians hitters have an OPS of just .655 (1,615 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .744.
Guardians hitters have an OBP of just .294 (1,615 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .324.
Guardians hitters are slugging just .361 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .420.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
Giants hitters have an OPS of just .473 (2,907 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .524.
Giants hitters have 410 strikeouts in 1,603 PA’s (26%) against LHP this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Giants hitters have an OPS of just .686 (1,603 PA’s) against LHP this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .744.
The Giants are batting just .152 with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .173.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Guardians pitchers this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Guardians pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 89.6 MPH (3,654 batted balls) this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 89.1.
Guardians pitchers have allowed an exit velocity of 95 MPH or greater 1,495 times this season — 5th most in MLB.
Guardians pitchers have an ERA of 3.51 (407.1 IP) against division opponents this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 4.31.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers since the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Giants pitchers have walked 360 of 5,290 batters (7%) this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Giants vs. Guardians Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Roberto Pérez (Giants): Shoulder, D60
- Mark Mathias (Giants): Shoulder, D60
- Patrick Bailey (Giants): Concussion, D7
- Thomas Szapucki (Giants): Arm, D60
- Cole Waites (Giants): Elbow, D60
- Anthony DeSclafani (Giants): Elbow, D60
- Thomas Stripling (Giants): Back, D15
- Michael Conforto (Giants): Hamstring, D10
- Michael Kelly (Guardians): Back, D15
- Shane Bieber (Guardians): Elbow, D60
- Triston McKenzie (Guardians): Elbow, D60
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