- The Giants are -185 favorites vs the Guardians
- Guardians starting pitcher: Cal Quantrill
- Giants starting pitcher: Sean Manaea
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Cleveland Guardians (+150) visit Oracle Park to take on the San Francisco Giants (-185) on Tuesday, September 12, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 9:45pm EDT in San Francisco.
The Giants are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+110).
The Guardians vs Giants Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Guardians are 68-77 against the spread (ATS), while the Giants are 68-76 ATS.
Guardians vs. Giants Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Guardians | +1.5 -135 | O 8.5 -110 | +150 |
| Giants | -1.5 +110 | U 8.5 -110 | -185 |
Guardians vs Giants Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Giants will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 60.5% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Guardians and Giants and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today:
- Cal Quantrill has hit the Strikeouts Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.45 Units / 43% ROI)
- Tanner Bibee has hit the Earned Runs Under in 16 of his last 21 games (+9.50 Units / 36% ROI)
- Gabriel Arias has hit the Singles Under in 11 of his last 12 away games (+9.40 Units / 46% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the Runs Under in 31 of his last 46 games (+9.40 Units / 15% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the RBIs Under in 31 of his last 41 games (+9.20 Units / 10% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Logan Webb has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 20 of his last 28 games (+12.45 Units / 35% ROI)
- Paul DeJong has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 14 of his last 16 games at home (+11.90 Units / 49% ROI)
- Casey Schmitt has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 19 games at home (+11.90 Units / 44% ROI)
- Thairo Estrada has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 26 games (+11.85 Units / 25% ROI)
- Paul DeJong has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 15 games at home (+11.75 Units / 72% ROI)
Giants vs Guardians Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Crawford | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Tyler Freeman | 0.5 +1000 | 0.5 |
| Mike Yastrzemski | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -900 |
| LaMonte Wade Jr | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Steven Kwan | 0.5 +1400 | 0.5 |
Giants vs Guardians Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Crawford | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +115 |
| Tyler Freeman | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Mike Yastrzemski | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| LaMonte Wade Jr | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
| Steven Kwan | 1.5 +165 | 1.5 -225 |
Giants vs Guardians RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Crawford | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
| Tyler Freeman | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| Mike Yastrzemski | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| LaMonte Wade Jr | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
| Steven Kwan | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
Giants vs Guardians Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Sean Manaea | 3.5 -125 | 3.5 -105 |
| Cal Quantrill | 3.5 -150 | 3.5 +115 |
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 77 of their last 129 games (+23.50 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 57 of their last 103 games (+9.65 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Over in 19 of their last 31 away games (+4.99 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 7 of their last 11 away games (+2.75 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 14 away games (+1.35 Units / 9% ROI)
Giants Best Bets Today:
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 59 of their last 97 games (+16.53 Units / 14% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 74 of their last 130 games (+16.50 Units / 12% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 41 of their last 67 games (+12.13 Units / 16% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 39 games at home (+7.65 Units / 13% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the Run Line in 34 of their last 65 games at home (+6.20 Units / 8% ROI)
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Guardians have gone 73-72 against the Run Line (-2.6 Units / -1.41% ROI).
- 68-77 when betting on the Moneyline for -19.3 Units / -10.67% ROI
- 58-83 when betting on the total runs Over for -34 Units / -21.23% ROI
- 83-58 when betting on the total runs Under for +19.65 Units / 12.34% ROI
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 68-76 against the Run Line (-16.25 Units / -8.71% ROI).
- 74-70 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.25 Units / -3.88% ROI
- 62-79 when betting on the total runs Over for -25.95 Units / -16.2% ROI
- 79-62 when betting on the total runs Under for +11.65 Units / 7.43% ROI
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Carlos Rodon allowed an OPS of just .571 (710 PA’s) in 2022 — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .664 — 93rd Percentile.
Carlos Rodon had a strikeout rate of 33% (237/710) in 2022 — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 35% (148/417) against Carlos Rodon in 2022 — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — fourth Percentile.
Carlos Rodon elevated 49% of his pitches (296/606) when ahead in the count in 2022 — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 29% — 100th Percentile.
Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Sean Manaea has allowed a slugging percentage of .786 (22 Total Bases / 28 ABs) on low fastballs this season — 2nd highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .408 — second Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of 31% (51/165) against Sean Manaea this season — 5th highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 23% — fifth Percentile.
Sean Manaea has thrown elevated pitches 50% of the time (164/330) when behind in the count this season — highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 20% (35/172) against Sean Manaea in late innings since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 122 total IP; League Avg: 31% — first Percentile.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Guardians are 33-107 (.236) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .130.
The Guardians are just 5-15 (.250) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Guardians are 7-63 (.100) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .053.
The Guardians are just 5-15 (.250) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Giants are 31-29 (.517) after a win as underdogs since last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .416.
The Giants are 18-12 (.600) after a road win this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .496.
The Giants are 19-15 (.559) after a win as underdogs this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .433.
The Giants are just 14-26 (.350) after a road loss this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .464.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
team hitters – away
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
Giants hitters have 892 strikeouts in 3,547 PA’s (25%) against LHP since last season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Giants are batting just .152 with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .172.
Giants hitters have drawn 110 walks in 1,615 PA’s (7%) against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Giants hitters are slugging just .244 with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .274.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Guardians pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 89.6 MPH (3,654 batted balls) this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 89.1.
Guardians pitchers have an ERA of 3.51 (407.1 IP) against division opponents this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 4.32.
Guardians pitchers have allowed 138 stolen bases this season — tied for 2nd most in MLB.
Guardians pitchers walked 88 of 1,460 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in 2022 — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers since the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Giants pitchers have walked 365 of 5,368 batters (7%) this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Giants vs. Guardians Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Roberto Pérez (Giants): Shoulder, D60
- Mark Mathias (Giants): Shoulder, D60
- Patrick Bailey (Giants): Concussion, D7
- Thomas Szapucki (Giants): Arm, D60
- Cole Waites (Giants): Elbow, D60
- Anthony DeSclafani (Giants): Elbow, D60
- Thomas Stripling (Giants): Back, D15
- Michael Conforto (Giants): Hamstring, D10
- Michael Kelly (Guardians): Back, D15
- Shane Bieber (Guardians): Elbow, D60
- Triston McKenzie (Guardians): Elbow, D60
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