- The Giants are -145 favorites vs the Guardians
- Guardians starting pitcher: Logan Allen
- Giants starting pitcher: Kyle Harrison
- Watch the game on NBCS-BA
The Cleveland Guardians (+120) visit Oracle Park to take on the San Francisco Giants (-145) on Wednesday, September 13, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 3:45pm EDT in San Francisco.
The Giants are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+145).
The Guardians vs Giants Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Guardians are 69-77 against the spread (ATS), while the Giants are 68-77 ATS.
Guardians vs. Giants Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Guardians | +1.5 -175 | O 7.5 -105 | +120 |
| Giants | -1.5 +145 | U 7.5 -115 | -145 |
Guardians vs Giants Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Giants will win Wednesday‘s MLB matchup with 58.6% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Guardians and Giants and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today:
- Cal Quantrill has hit the Strikeouts Under in 14 of his last 16 games (+11.45 Units / 45% ROI)
- Gabriel Arias has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 13 away games (+10.40 Units / 47% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the Runs Under in 32 of his last 47 games (+10.40 Units / 16% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the RBIs Under in 32 of his last 42 games (+10.20 Units / 11% ROI)
- Tanner Bibee has hit the Earned Runs Under in 16 of his last 21 games (+9.50 Units / 36% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Logan Webb has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 20 of his last 28 games (+12.45 Units / 35% ROI)
- Paul DeJong has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 14 of his last 16 games at home (+11.90 Units / 49% ROI)
- Casey Schmitt has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 19 games at home (+11.90 Units / 44% ROI)
- Paul DeJong has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 15 games at home (+11.75 Units / 72% ROI)
- Paul DeJong has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 15 games at home (+11.65 Units / 71% ROI)
Giants vs Guardians Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Freeman | 0.5 +1050 | 0.5 |
| J.D. Davis | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Steven Kwan | 0.5 +1250 | 0.5 |
| Myles Straw | 0.5 +1450 | 0.5 |
| Luis Matos | 0.5 +825 | 0.5 -5000 |
Giants vs Guardians Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Freeman | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +155 |
| J.D. Davis | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
| Steven Kwan | 1.5 +150 | 1.5 -200 |
| Myles Straw | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
| Luis Matos | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
Giants vs Guardians RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Freeman | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| J.D. Davis | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Steven Kwan | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| Myles Straw | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -450 |
| Luis Matos | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
Giants vs Guardians Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Logan Allen | 4.5 -110 | 4.5 -115 |
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 78 of their last 130 games (+24.50 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 58 of their last 104 games (+10.65 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Over in 19 of their last 32 away games (+3.89 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 5 of their last 7 away games (+2.95 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 15 away games (+2.85 Units / 17% ROI)
Giants Best Bets Today:
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 60 of their last 98 games (+17.53 Units / 15% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 75 of their last 131 games (+17.50 Units / 12% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 42 of their last 68 games (+13.13 Units / 17% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 40 games at home (+6.00 Units / 10% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the Run Line in 34 of their last 66 games at home (+5.20 Units / 7% ROI)
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Guardians have gone 74-72 against the Run Line (-1.6 Units / -0.86% ROI).
- 69-77 when betting on the Moneyline for -17.8 Units / -9.79% ROI
- 58-84 when betting on the total runs Over for -35.05 Units / -21.74% ROI
- 84-58 when betting on the total runs Under for +20.65 Units / 12.87% ROI
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 68-77 against the Run Line (-17.25 Units / -9.19% ROI).
- 74-71 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.9 Units / -4.72% ROI
- 62-80 when betting on the total runs Over for -27 Units / -16.75% ROI
- 80-62 when betting on the total runs Under for +12.65 Units / 8.01% ROI
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 24% (17/72) against Logan Allen on sliders this season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 57 total IP; League Avg: 37% — 97th Percentile.
Logan Allen has allowed a slugging percentage of just .281 (57 Total Bases / 203 ABs) on non-fastballs this season — 9th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 57 total IP; League Avg: .391 — 92nd Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 64% (42/66) against Logan Allen’s changeup this season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 57 total IP; League Avg: 51% — 94th Percentile.
Logan Allen has allowed an OPS of just .551 (219 PA’s) on non-fastballs this season — 14th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 57 total IP; League Avg: .671 — 88th Percentile.
Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kyle Harrison has 9 three-pitch strikeouts over the last 30 days (4 games) — tied for 8th most among pitchers in MLB — 98th Percentile.
Kyle Harrison has struck out 38% (26/68) of right-handed batters he faced over the last 30 days (4 games) — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 29% (15/52) against Kyle Harrison over the last 30 days (4 games) — tied for 7th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: 43% — fourth Percentile.
Hitters batting in the top of the order have hit just .129 against Kyle Harrison over the last 30 days (4 games) — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: .259 — 98th Percentile.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Guardians are 33-107 (.236) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .130.
The Guardians are 17-50 (.254) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .144.
The Guardians are just 5-15 (.250) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Guardians are 7-63 (.100) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .053.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Giants are 127-3 (.977) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .951.
The Giants are 19-15 (.559) after a win as underdogs this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .433.
The Giants are 39-28 (.582) after a road win since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .494.
The Giants are just 22-41 (.349) after a loss as underdogs since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .406.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
Guardians hitters have just 1,512 strikeouts in 8,403 PA’s (18%) against RHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Guardians hitters have just 2,154 strikeouts in 11,651 PA’s (18%) since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Guardians hitters have just 1,032 strikeouts in 5,488 PA’s (19%) this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Guardians hitters have an OPS of just .648 (3,248 PA’s) against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .727.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
Giants hitters have an OPS of just .475 (2,955 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .523.
Giants hitters are slugging just .245 with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .274.
Giants hitters have an OBP of just .230 (2,955 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .250.
Giants hitters have 892 strikeouts in 3,547 PA’s (25%) against LHP since last season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Guardians pitchers have allowed an exit velocity over 110 MPH 98 times since last season — 3rd fewest in MLB.
The Guardians pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 35% of their games on the road in 2022 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Guardians pitchers have allowed 232 stolen bases since last season — 3rd most in MLB.
Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 16% with runners in scoring position over the last 14 days (13 games) — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 50% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers since the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Giants pitchers have walked 367 of 5,403 batters (7%) this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Giants vs. Guardians Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Roberto Pérez (Giants): Shoulder, D60
- Mark Mathias (Giants): Shoulder, D60
- Thomas Szapucki (Giants): Arm, D60
- Cole Waites (Giants): Elbow, D60
- Anthony DeSclafani (Giants): Elbow, D60
- Thomas Stripling (Giants): Back, D15
- Michael Conforto (Giants): Hamstring, D10
- Michael Kelly (Guardians): Back, D15
- Shane Bieber (Guardians): Elbow, D60
- Triston McKenzie (Guardians): Elbow, D60
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